Jasper Jolly 

Global stock markets rise after US coronavirus treatment approval – as it happened

Rolling live coverage of business, economics and financial markets
  
  

People walk across London Bridge with the office towers of the City of London in the background.
People walk across London Bridge with the office towers of the City of London in the background. Photograph: Tolga Akmen/AFP/Getty Images

Closing summary: Wall Street records follow Covid-19 treatment approval

Global markets gained on Monday on the back of US regulatory approval for a blood plasma treatment for Covid-19, as investors hoped for an effective response to the virus.

US President Donald Trump is clearly hoping that his administration can take effective steps against the virus before the November presidential election, and investors also appeared to take heart from the announcement.

Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index hit record highs in early trading on Monday. The FTSE 100 had gained 1.4% by mid-afternoon, while stocks in Germany and France both gained about 2%.

Here were some of the other important developments today from the business world:

  • In the UK gains for blue-chip stocks were led by BT, as the telecoms company reportedly hired investment bank advisors to plan for potential takeover interest, following declines in its share price that might make it an attractive target.
  • The British retail industry was also in the spotlight. First of all came the news that Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group has paid £37m for assets from the collapsed DW Sports chain.
  • Footfall figures from Springboard suggested that the return of UK shoppers is accelerating, with footfall up 4.1% year-on-year in the week to 22 August.
  • Tesco said it will make permanent 16,000 new hires made at the height of the pandemic, in a sign of the growth in online grocery shopping triggered by the UK’s lockdown.
  • Oil rigs braced for major storms of the coast in the Gulf of Mexico, helping to support oil prices.

You can continue to follow our coverage of coronavirus, politics and international affairs across the world:

In the UK, Boris Johnson has urged parents to send children back to school in September

In the US, Donald Trump will be formally nominated for election as Republican convention gets underway

In our international coverage, France is to impose reciprocal quarantine on travellers returning from the UK

Thank you as ever for following our live coverage of business, economics and financial markets, and please do join me bright and early tomorrow morning for more of the same. JJ

S&P 500 opens at record high as treatment hopes boost market

The S&P 500, the main Wall Street benchmark, has pushed to a new record high amid optimism over the prospects for a treatment for Covid-19 using the blood plasma of recovered patients.

The index gained 27.21 points, or 0.8% in opening trades to hit 3,424.37 points.

The index surpassed its previous all-time high last week, capping an extraordinary recovery in the stock market despite the massive cost of the pandemic to the real economy and the companies who service it.

However, stocks have been propelled by the huge stimulus of central banks around the world.

It’s a few minutes until Wall Street begins its week, and it looks like shares are going to follow the risk-on lead from the rest of the world’s major stock indices.

Futures trades suggest the S&P 500 benchmark will gain 0.9%, while the Dow Jones industrial average and the Nasdaq could jump by 1% at the opening bell.

Microsoft has joined the court battle between Apple and Epic Games, filing a legal brief supporting the Fortnite developer’s right to carry on developing software for Mac and iOS while the case continues.

The submission, signed by Kevin Gammill, the executive in charge of supporting developers on Microsoft’s Xbox console, is further evidence that the lawsuit over in-app purchases in Fortnite is set to become a proxy war over the future of the App Store.

Gammill wrote:

Epic Games’ Unreal Engine is critical technology for numerous game creators including Microsoft. Apple’s discontinuation of Epic’s ability to develop and support Unreal Engine for iOS or macOS will harm game creators and gamers.

You can read the full report here:

Britons’ spending on subscription services - including meal kits and video streaming packages - soared during lockdown, as consumers paid for entertainment while confined to their homes.

Spending on subscriptions rose by 39.4% for the year to July, according to data from credit card firm Barclaycard Payments.

Their research into credit and debit card data showed that the average Briton spends £46 on subscriptions per month, a figure which is rapidly rising, and that almost two-thirds (65%) of UK homes are signed up to subscription services.

The subscription economy in the UK, covering payments for items such as magazines, groceries and home entertainment, is now estimated to be worth about £323m.

If the Brent crude futures price gains another cent to the $46.23 per barrel mark it will represent the highest level since early March - in a sign that investors believe the worst of the economic turmoil has hit.

The latest price of the North Sea benchmark, at $44.82, is almost triple the lowest level hit in April (when the North American counterpart contract, West Texas Intermediate, briefly but dramatically turned negative). However, it is still far below the $70 per barrel mark hit in early January - an indication of the expectations of slower economic output for a while yet.

Oil rigs in Gulf of Mexico brace for hurricane

More than half the oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico have shut down ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Marco and Tropical Storm Laura, wiping about 1 million barrels of oil a day in oil production from the US.

As oil producers including Shell and BP have hunkered down, oil prices have climbed higher. By early afternoon the price of Brent crude climbed to almost $45 a barrel in response to the lower production - a gain of 1% for the day.

However, the ongoing impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the global economy and oil demand has kept a lid on the market’s gains. Artem Abramov, an analyst at Rystad Energy, said the Gulf shutdowns are “not unique” for this time of year, and are “typically factored in by the market before the start of hurricane season”.

Almost every year we get 1 to 2 major storm events which result in material production loss during the several days. [But] volumes then come back quickly and the total underperformance in average daily figures for the whole month rarely exceeds 200,000 barrels a day.

In normal years the market impact of the shutdowns would have been greater, according to Rystad’s head of oil markets, Bjornar Tonhaugen.

Oil traders may be seizing the opportunity to trade at slightly higher prices, but Tonhaugen said that the oil market will struggle to break above the $45 a barrel mark while Covid-19 continues to sap demand for transport fuels.

“It would take either a significant change in production or an unlikely collapse of the pandemic,” he added.

The FTSE 100 rally is showing no signs of letting up: London’s blue chips have now gained 1.9% today.

It reflects a general positive mood on global stock markets after the US approved a blood plasma treatment for Covid-19. In the absence of much other data investors are in risk-on mode.

In France the Cac 40 is up by 2.4%, and in Germany the Dax is up by 2.6%.

Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG, a spreadbetting company, said:

European markets have kicked off the week in style, with the FDA’s decision to approve the convalescent plasma coronavirus treatment raising hopes that we could see a vaccine fast-tracked before long.

With the US election looming large for Donald Trump, we are likely to continue seeing a proactive approach from the president as he seeks to expedite the provision of treatments and vaccines in a bid to overcome this virus before the polls open in November.

Rio Tinto executives will pay for the destruction of an Aboriginal heritage site in Australia - but they will still keep their jobs.

Rio Tinto chief executive Jean-Sébastien Jacques has lost almost $5m in bonuses and the head of Rio Tinto’s Australian iron ore group will lose more than $1m over the destruction of a 46,000-year-old Aboriginal heritage site at Juukan Gorge, after an internal review found “systemic failures in the cultural heritage management system”.

The mining company destroyed two rock shelters in Juukan Gorge in the Pilbara region of Western Australia on 24 May, despite having received five separate reports on the significance of the sites, both archeologically and to the local Puutu Kunti Kurrama and Pinikura (PKKP) people, since 2013.

You can read the full report here:

With two bits of good news for the retail sector, should we be counting on a V-shaped recovery for the economy?

At first glance, the Springboard footfall figures are support that impression, according to James Smith, developed markets economist at ING, an investment bank. However, dig a little deepper and the numbers “reveal consumers are still cautious about returning to the high street”.

He gives three reasons why caution is warranted about interpreting the figures:

  1. “Unsurprisingly, online sales have been the major ‘winner’ from lockdown, and remain 44% higher than they were at the turn of the year,” he said. “The flip side is sales at many traditional retailers are still well down on pre-virus levels.”
  2. “The effect of pent-up demand appears to be fading,” he said, as evidenced by Bank of England payments data which spiked as the lockdown eased but appears to be tapering (see chart).
  3. “It’s worth remembering that retail sales are only one part of the story - and spending on services (restaurants, hospitality etc) have also been hard-hit,” he said. The eat out to help out shceme will have boosted takings, but that will end soon - although it could help to make consumers more willing to spend again.

Tesco permanently hires 16,000 workers amid online order surge

Tesco is permanently hiring 16,000 extra staff taken on during the pandemic to help support a surge in online grocery trade.

The roles include 10,000 pickers, who select and pack grocery orders for home delivery, and 3,000 drivers as well as a variety of other jobs in stores and distribution centres.

The UK’s biggest supermarket said it had already hired 4,000 other permanent staff since the start of the pandemic, during which it hired more than 20,000 temporary workers to help out.

The new permanent roles come as online groceries have risen to 16% of Tesco’s sales during the pandemic, up from about 9% at the beginning of the year.

The supermarket is expecting Tesco online sales of £5.5bn this year, up from £3.3bn last year.

Tesco UK and Ireland chief executive Jason Tarry said:

Since the start of the pandemic, our colleagues have helped us to more than double our online capacity, safely serving nearly 1.5m customers every week and prioritising vulnerable customers to ensure they get the food they need.

These new roles will help us continue to meet online demand for the long term, and will create permanent employment opportunities for 16,000 people across the UK.

Return of UK shoppers accelerates in boost to retailers

Footfall across all retail destinations throughout the UK rose by +4.1% last week from the week before, according to data from tracking company Springboard that will boost hopes about the pace of the UK’s economic recovery.

The retail industry has been among the hardest hit during the pandemic, but Springboard said there had been a significant acceleration in footfall after it rose 0.8% in the previous week and and by 1.8% in the same week last year.

The overall UK result was driven by rises in footfall of 6.8% in Greater London and 7.1% in the South East.

Retail parks - where social distancing is easier - have been the most resilient, with traffic only 10.6% lower than 2019. In shopping centres footfall is 32.4% lower year-on-year while on high streets it is 39.1% lower.

Diane Wehrle, insights director at Springboard, said:

It seems that the increased quarantine measures imposed last week on a number of overseas destinations are having a positive impact on UK footfall. Footfall in UK retail destinations last week not only rose on a week on week basis, but the uplift was more than four times as large as the week before, and two and a half times as large as the same week last year.

The outcome is a further incremental recovery in footfall compared with 2019, and the sixteenth consecutive week in which the annual decline has lessened which offers a glimmer of hope for retailers.

If the UK had Dominic Cummings’s Barnard Castle eye test, Ireland has perhaps outdone it with “golfgate”, a controversy that has already claimed a minister and has the EU’s powerful trade commissioner, Phil Hogan, under serious pressure.

Hogan, who plays a key role in trade talks including on Brexit, yesterday apologised for attending the 80-person dinner - contravening social distancing rules - but has made it clear he doesn’t want to resign. It also emerged that police had cautioned him for using a phone while driving.

However, the pressure is mounting. European Commission prseident Ursula von der Leyen has asked him to report to her, and Taoiseach Micheál Martin on Monday called on Hogan to clarify how he did not breach lockdown rules.

Martin on Monday said Hogan needed to give a full account of his movements through locked down Country Kildare, given there was a discrepancy between the commissioner’s public statements on the issue, according to Reuters.

“I need absolute ... the public needs absolute assurances that the restrictions that were imposed in Kildare were not breached. That to me would be very, very serious indeed,” Martin, who called for Hogan to consider his position on Saturday, told national broadcaster RTE.

Bunzl, a distributor of products such as medical supplies and food packaging, is the second biggest riser on the FTSE 100 (after BT) after reinstating its dividend.

The company felt comfortable giving payouts to investors again after demand for facemasks and other hygiene supplies pushed up profits.

However, it is one of the few companies giving income investors a reason to go to work: overall the amount paid out by big companies to their investors plummeted between April and June as firms cancelled or cut their dividends to conserve cash during the coronavirus pandemic crisis.

Total shareholder payouts made globally slumped by $108.1bn (£82.6bn) to $382.2bn, a fall of 22%, writes the Guardian’s Joanna Partridge.

A quarter (27%) of companies expected to pay a dividend in the second quarter slashed their payments, while half of that group cancelled the payout altogether.

Analysts at the asset manager Janus Henderson studied dividends paid by the world’s 1,200 largest companies, and found the largest quarterly drop in their global dividend index since its creation at the end of 2009 following the global financial crisis.

You can read the full report on the dividend slump here:

At the middle of the morning it is turning into a pleasant day for investors on the FTSE 100: the index has now gained 1.9%, or 112 points, to hit 6,114.

Only six companies have lost ground, illustrating the broad risk-on sentiment thanks in part to the US approval of a treatment for Covid-19 using the blood plasma of recovered patients.

Across Europe the Stoxx 600 is up 1.7%. Germany’s Dax and France’s Cac 40 benchmark are up 2.1%.

Pearson, the education publisher, has appointed former Disney executive Andy Bird as its new chief executive as it continues to move towards digital sales.

Bird was appointed to the Pearson board on 1 May, and will take over as chief executive on 19 October.

Bird was previously chairman of Walt Disney International, responsible for the expanding the company’s businesses outside of the US.

Pearson will pay Bird base salary and payments in lieu of a pension of $1.45m per year, although from 2021 he will be eligible for bonus payments of as much as $2.5m

Before Disney, Bird worked at AOL Time Warner, Piccadilly Radio and Virgin Broadcasting Company, among others. He said:

Since joining the board earlier this year I have quickly come to see the enormous potential across the company’s businesses, the strength and dedication of the people who work here, and the great opportunities that exist for Pearson to become a digital first learning company.

JD Wetherspoon’s sales have fallen by almost a fifth since the reopening of its chain of pubs last month and the company warned it will report a loss for its financial year because of the coronavirus pandemic.

The group, which has reopened 844 of its 873 pubs, said that bar and food sales were down 16.9% year on year in the 44-day period to 16 August.

Wetherspoons said the government’s eat out to help out scheme, which gives diners 50% off to a maximum of £10 per person on Monday to Wednesday, had boosted sales.

You can read the full report here:

BT shares jump after report of takeover defence preparations

BT, the telecoms company, is the biggest riser on the FTSE 100 this morning after a report at the weekend that it has hired advisers to fend off potential takeover attempts.

Its shares have gained 7% so far this morning, after Sky News reported that it had hired investment bankers Goldman Sachs and Robey Warshaw to “update its bid defence strategy”.

BT shares have languished in the last few years, amid concerns over the scale of the £12bn in investment planned by 2030 and the cancellation of its dividend after it warned that the coronavirus pandemic will hurt its revenues.

The steep decline in shares - down from more than 260p in late 2018 to only 107p on Monday - has made it ripe for takeover speculation, with some analysts arguing that the Openreach provider of broadband network infrastructure is worth over twice the £10bn market value of the business.

Shares in Amigo Holdings, the controversial guarantor loans provider, have tumbled by a quarter this morning after the latest salvo in a brutal battle for control of the business.

Amigo’s founder, James Benamor, remains the largest shareholder through his Richmond Group vehicle. On Friday he wrote a blog post calling for himself to be appointed as chief executive of the lender’s parent company, while keeping on newly appointed chief executive Glen Crawford as head of the lending subsidiary, Amigo Loans Ltd.

Amigo was built by Benamor to target poorer customers who might not otherwise be able to gain credit. It allows friends or relatives of borrowers to stand as guarantor, which the company argues widens access to finance. However, the sector has faced heavy criticism for its high-cost loans and regulators have clamped down, causing the share price to tumble.

Benamor said he wanted to move Amigo towards areas not regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, but Amigo on Monday said Benamor’s return would result in Crawford’s immediate resignation.

Mr Crawford has made it clear to the board that he is not prepared to work with Amigo in any circumstances where Mr Benamor returns to Amigo’s governance structure in a position of influence, and that Mr Crawford’s decision to return as CEO was predicated on the clear statement from Mr Benamor that he was selling down Richmond Group Limited’s controlling shareholding in Amigo to a position of zero.

In the event that Mr Benamor elects to requisition a general meeting for shareholders to vote on his proposals, and should he be successful in gaining shareholder approval for his proposals, the board has agreed with Mr Crawford that he may terminate his employment contract immediately. The board is strongly of the view that such an outcome would be materially detrimental to the interests of the company and its shareholders taken as a whole.

Mike Ashley's Frasers buys DW Sports assets for £37m

Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group will use the newly purchased Dave Whelan Sports gyms to expand its Everlast fitness brand, it said on Monday.

Frasers, which was formerly named Sports Direct after the most successful part of the business, will pay £37m in cash for some parts of DW Sports, but it will not own the brand of the sports retail and gyms business, which collapsed at the start of the month.

It is part of Ashley’s strategy to move the company more upmarket - a so-called “elevation” strategy - having initially built the business around cheap sports gear at Sports Direct.

The transaction compliments [sic] the existing gym and fitness club portfolio within the company’s group and is consistent with the group’s elevation strategy. Frasers Group looks forward to elevating the gym and fitness assets acquired pursuant to the transaction under the group’s existing iconic Everlast brand, and is also pleased to have saved a number of jobs.

The final price could rise by £6.9m depending on how many leaseholds the company ends up buying.

The FTSE 100 has jumped by 1.2% at the opening bell, up 69 points at about 6,071 points.

The Euro Stoxx index, which measures shares including the FTSE and other major European companies, gained 1.2%. It was helped by a gain of 1.3% on France’s Cac 40 and 1.4% for Germany’s Dax index.

Stocks boosted by blood plasma treament approval

Good morning, and welcome to our live coverage of business, economics and financial markets.

Stock markets in Asia have risen across the board, with investor optimism at least in part ascribed to new hopes around coronavirus treatment options.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index jumped 1.4%, while Korea’s Kospi 200 gained 1% and China’s CSI 300 gained 0.8%. Gains were more restrained in Japan, amid concerns over the health of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe following a hospital visit. The broad-based Topix index rose by 0.2% and the Nikkei 225 gained 0.3%.

S&P 500 futures suggest stocks on Wall Street’s benchmark index will gain 0.4% when they open later today. Futures for the Nasdaq and Dow Jones industrial average show similar increases.

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA), the regulator of treatments in the US, on Sunday granted “emergency use authorisation” to a method that uses the blood plasma of recovered patients to fight the virus.

The FDA cited early evidence suggesting blood plasma can decrease mortality and improve the health of patients.

US President Donald Trump hailed the decision, which represents a boost ahead of the Republican party’s convention. Trump welcomed the treatment on Sunday night with characteristic bombast:

This is what I’ve been looking to do for a long time. Today I’m pleased to make a truly historic announcement in our battle against the China virus that will save countless lives.

In UK corporate news, Mike Ashley’s Frasers has bought parts of retailer DW Sports out of administration for £37m - suggesting the retail magnate’s appetite for acquisition has not dimmed even during the pandemic.

And the pub chain JD Wetherspoon reported that like-for-like bar and food sales are down by 16.9% for the 44 days to 16 August, and suggested a tough wintermay lie ahead once the government’s “eat out to help out” stimulus ends next week. The company expects “a period of more subdued sales”.

It is a very quiet late August day on the data front, with only the Chicago Fed’s national activity index at 1:30pm BST with any potential for nudging the market.

Updated

 

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