Graeme Wearden 

US jobless claims jump as Covid-19 fears hit markets – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as US weekly jobless claims hit a seven-week high
  
  

A school bus passes by empty tables of a restaurant in the Brooklyn Borough of New York City last week.
A school bus passes by empty tables of a restaurant in the Brooklyn Borough of New York City last week. Photograph: Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images

Closing summary

Time to wrap up. Here’s the main stories of the day:

The number of new US jobless claims jumped last week, fuelling concerns that America’s labor market is faltering. The initial claims total rose to 898,000, from 845,000, as firms continued to lay off staff.

UK pub chain Marston’s is cutting staff too. More than 2,000 furloughed workers face losing their job, due to the restrictions imposed on UK hospitality venues.

It told shareholders this morning:

Inevitably, and regrettably, recent restrictions will impact jobs. Since the start of the pandemic, our objectives have included protecting the health and livelihoods of our teams. Government support over the summer was vital, and around 10,000 colleagues have so far returned to work.

However, because of the recent additional restrictions, we have reluctantly concluded that around 2,150 pub-based roles currently subject to furlough are going to be impacted.

Budget airline Ryanair has warned of redundancies, as it clashes its winter flight plans again:

Stock markets in Europe have fallen sharply, on concerns that a second wave of Covid-19 infections will derail the recovery.

The FTSE 100 has closed at a three-week low, down 102 points at 5,832, a fall of 1.7%, having been over 2.3% lower at one stage.

Investors are also disappointed that US politicians haven’t agreed a stimulus package. Treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin insists the White House hasn’t given up, but time is running short....

Health and beauty chain Boots has reported that sales slumped almost 30% in the UK in the last quarter, as people kept away from high streets, airports and railway stations.

The UK government’s former homelessness adviser has warned that country faces a “period of destitution”, due to the limited support available to people who can’t work due to local lockdowns.

In another blow to struggling families, the cost of credit is likely to rise this Christmas....

...as many firms report that turnover is much weaker than a year ago.

Goodnight. GW

Updated

European markets close in the red

European investors can breath a sigh of relief - the worst day’s trading in several weeks is over.

Renewed fears over Covid-19 hit stocks across the region, as tighter restrictions were imposed in the face of rising infections.

Britain’s FTSE 100 index has closed down 1.7% at 5832, a drop of 102 points. That’s its lowest level in three weeks (since 24 September), and the biggest one-day fall since 21st September.

After a choppy day, the top Footsie faller was packaging firm Mondi, down 4.5%, followed by educational publisher Pearson (-4.3%) and luxury fashion firm Burberry (-4.3%). Miners and energy producers were also among the fallers, as fears over the global economy knocked oil prices.

In Frankfurt, the German DAX index shed 2.5% the day after Angela Merkel announced tighter rules on mask use, social gatherings and bar opening hours. Italy’s FTSE MIB dropped 2.7%, as traders digested PM Giuseppe Conti’s new restrictions on meetings.

Spain’s IBEX lost 1.55%, taking its losses for 2020 to over 28%.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, says the selloff was triggered by disappointment over possible US stimulus and the new lockdowns across Europe.

“A broader risk-off tone has enveloped markets this morning, as yesterday’s losses in the US are amplified in Europe where lockdown restrictions are spreading once again.

“Investors in airlines are very jumpy at present, and Ryanair’s news this morning has prompted another flurry of selling in the sector. easyJet, Ryanair and IAG have all tumbled, with airlines on the continent feeling the pressure too.

“It looks like we have a tough winter ahead of us, with commensurate pressure on airlines as travellers cancel bookings and consumers think twice about a winter getaway.”

Edward Moya of trading firm OANDA reckons the markets will avoid a major slump -- supported by the prospect of Democratic Party success in next month’s elections.

US stocks are tumbling as the economic outlook for the rest of the year looks bleak due to second wave virus fears and permanent labor market damage. Wall Street appears convinced a return of restrictive measures will yield further economic damage that will threaten the labor market recovery.

Traders are not holding their breath for a virus stimulus bill this side of the election so risky assets will have a hard time rallying. A significant selloff however seems unlikely as Wall Street prices in a Biden presidency and massive infrastructure spending.

With an hour to go, European stock markets are heading for their lowest close in over a fortnight.

The Stoxx 600 index is down 2.2%, dragged down by big losses in Italy (-2.95%) and Germany (-2.7%).

In London, the FTSE 100 is currently down 115 points, or 1,.9%, at 5820 points. That’s a small recovery on its earlier lows, but it’s not finished the day lower since 21 September.

Today’s jump in US jobless claims comes two days after UK unemployment hit a three-year high, and in a week where Covid-19 cases are rising alarmingly in many countries.

Our economics editor Larry Elliott has written about the challenge of saving lives while also protecting the economy:

Every country in the world is trying to find the sweet spot where the virus is suppressed with the minimum amount of economic damage, and most are making a better fist of it than the UK. Take South Korea, which has so far had just 438 deaths. It has had clusters of cases, and is projected by the IMF to see its economy contract by no more than 1.9% this year.

There are, clearly, lessons to be learned. Sweden shows the merits of a clear strategy and sticking to it. This is in marked contrast to the UK, where the government initially downplayed the threat, imposed some of the world’s toughest restrictions, eased up as the economic cost mounted, actively encouraged people to eat out to help the hospitality sector, and is now back to where it started. Here the mixed messaging has left people confused, and in the circumstances it is surprising compliance with the restrictions is as high as it is. That, though, may have more to do with people taking steps to safeguard themselves voluntarily than any faith in the government.

Wall Street falls in early trading

The New York stock market is open...and there’s plenty of red ink on the boards.

The S&P 500 index of US stocks has fallen 45 points, or 1.3%, at the open to 3,442.97 points.

The jump in jobless claims, along with the lack of a stimulus deal and tightening Covid-19 restrictions in Europe, are all weighing on stocks.

The Dow Jones industrial average is also sliding, down 1.1% or 318 points at 28,195.

The tech-focused Nasdaq index has lost almost 1.5%, down 170 points at 11 1,597.

Mnuchin: Not giving up on stimulus talks

Jason Brooks of KCBS Radio suspects that the rise in jobless claims could spur the White House to push harder for a stimulus package...

..and bang on cue, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has declared that he’ll keep trying to reach agreement with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Mnuchin told CNBC that disagreement over Covid-19 tests won’t derail talks:

“When I speak to Pelosi today I’m going to tell her that we’re not going to let the testing issue stand in the way, that we’ll fundamentally agree with their testing language subject to some minor issues. This issue is being overblown.”

The bigger problem, though, is that the White House hasn’t backed the Democrats’ $2.2trn package, and is only offering a smaller deal....

Wall Street is on track to fall over 1% when trading begins in around 20 minutes time.

The jump in unemployment claims has further darkened the mood, on top of fears over rising Covid-19 cases and disappointment over the stimulus talk deadlock.

In London, the FTSE 100 has sunk back below 5,800 points - currently down 142 points or 2.4% at 5792.

Germany’s DAX is being harder hit, down over 3%.

US recovery 'losing momentum' as jobless claims rise

Today’s jobless figures are a clear sign that America’s economic recovery is losing steam, says Richard Flynn, UK Managing Director at Charles Schwab.

“With continuing jobless claims, businesses struggling and concerns about a COVID-19 winter wave on the rise, it is evident that the U.S. economic recovery is losing some momentum.

“In the U.S., employers have rehired workers, job cut announcements have dropped and job openings are up since the worst of the pandemic, but the number of permanent job losses has grown. And without further fiscal stimulus, these permanent job losses are likely to become more widespread.

“With Congress unlikely to stimulate the economy until after the election, the Fed staring down the limits of its influence and the future course of interest rates uncertain, investors are right to remain cautious. There is a wide range of potential outcomes for the economy and for policy, so diversification will be critical for investors to protect portfolios against the ups and downs of market volatility.”

Neil Birrell, Chief Investment Officer at Premier Miton Investors, warns that the figures will add to pessimism in the markets...

“On a day when major European cities are tightening up lockdown measures and worries continue over US stimulus measures, the jobless claims are not at the top of the list.

However, claims jumped last week, much more than expected and last week’s number was adjusted upwards; that will grab attention and add to the downbeat mood of the day.”

Glassdoor chief economist Dr. Andrew Chamberlain points out that four times as many Americans lost their jobs last week than a year ago:

“The latest figures on new workers claiming unemployment insurance (UI) cast a dark cloud over the nation’s slow economic recovery. The number of new claims last week is more than four times higher than the pace of workers filing for unemployment a year ago — a sign that COVID-19 continues to deal heavy blows to the nation’s labor market.

The worsening of the pace of UI claims this week reinforces the message from the latest September jobs report that the economy’s pace of recovery is slowing down amid the ongoing pandemic. America is unlikely to see a full recovery and a return to low unemployment until the pace of weekly UI claims dials back significantly. As the virus remains in the driver’s seat, today’s elevated claims cast a shadow over the fate of the U.S. labor market in the next half year.”

The jump in US jobless claims last week is “another warning sign for the U.S. lawmakers to get their act together”, says Naeem Aslam of AvaTrade.

The sad fact is that this situation is only going to get worse if we do not get any help in terms of another stimulus package.

US jobless claims rise: snap reaction

Several commentators are concerned that the weekly US jobless claims total has hit its highest level since August.

Marketwatch’s Jeffry Bartash fears the recovery may be slowing down...

.. as does Bloomberg’s Steve Mathews

Greg Daco of Oxford Economics says the increase is worrying, as Congress is struggling to agree a stimulus package.

US initial jobless claims jump to 898,000

Newsflash: The number of Americans filing new claims for jobless support has risen - and remains alarmingly high.

A total of 898,000 initial claims for unemployment were filed last week, up sharply on the 845,000 in the previous seven days (this is on a seasonally-adjusted basis).

Economists had expected a fall, to 825,000.

This suggests that the US labor market is struggling, just a few weeks before the US presidential election.

Before this year, the record number of initial jobless claims was below 700,000 -- it’s now been above that level every week since March.

On a seasonally-unadjusted basis, the initial claims total jumped to 886,000.

In addition, another 373,000 people signing on for the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) programme because they don’t qualify for regular jobless help.

More details and reaction to follow....

Many UK’s nightclubs fear they will soon go out of business unless the government provides more support.

A survey of 100 venues by the campaign group #SaveNightclubs found that four-fifths expect to close permanently by Christmas. More than half fear they could close within a month.

Some nightclubs have not been allowed to reopen since the lockdown was lifted, although members clubs have ropened, and others have moved to daytime opening.

Few nightclubs are receiving any help from the UK’s Culture Recovery Fund, so #SaveNightclubs is pushing for three measures:

  • Provide a financial survival package beyond the Recovery Fund, helping the sector weather COVID’s impact of the coronavirus and assist in future reopening
  • Introduce protection from eviction for nightclubs during and immediately after the crisis
  • Extend business rate relief to April 2022, enabling nightclubs to get back on their feet in 2021

Heads-up: My colleague Simon Murphy reports that Italy is poised to be removed from England’s travel corridor.

That would mean holidaymakers would need to quarantine for a fortnight on their return from the country, probably scuppering a few half-term breaks.....

Boots UK sales slide 29%

British health and beauty retailer Boots has suffered a near 30% slump in sales in the last quarter, as the Covid-19 pandemic continued to hit its business.

Owner Walgreens Boots Alliance has reported that UK like-for-like sales fell 29.2% in the three months to the end of August, compared to a year ago. That’s an improvement from the previous quarter when comparable sales slumped 48%.

Online sales surged by 155% as more people shopped on the internet. However, that didn’t make up for a slump in visits to stores - which has already prompted 4,000 job cuts back in July.

The company says:

Boots UK comparable retail sales decreased 29.2 percent on a constant currency basis as footfall in stores continued to be significantly reduced due to COVID-19, particularly in major high street, train station and airport locations. Footfall did, however, improve steadily in the fourth quarter compared with the third quarter.

Boots UK market share was lower in all categories except beauty, as the pandemic continued to impact heavily on buying habits and consumers temporarily shifted purchasing to one-stop grocery shopping.

Boots.com sales growth accelerated to 155 percent compared with the year-ago quarter, partially offsetting the reduced footfall.

Here’s our news story on the job losses at Marston’s:

There’s now a solitary riser on the FTSE 100 -- Just Eat, the online food ordering and delivery operator.

Just Eat has gained 1% today, bucking the selloff, to a new record high. Yesterday it reported a 46% surge in global sales in the third quarter, including 43% in the UK. That sales growth is likely to continue if further lockdown measures are introduced across Europe.

On the FTSE 250, the top riser is another online player - AO World. The white goods and electricals vendor reported a 57% surge in revenues in the last six months as the pandemic boosted demand.

Its shares have surged 20% today to a five-year high.

Sheena Tandy, restructuring expert at law firm Shakespeare Martineau, says Marston’s woes shows no hospitality company is safe from the impact of Covid-19:

“The new restrictions placed on the country were always going to hit hospitality hard, and Marston’s has shown that even industry giants aren’t safe.

“Confusion caused by the new tier system will only exacerbate hardships already faced by hospitality venues, with no one certain when things will return to normal. Although the new localised furlough scheme provides some relief, job cuts are still being made, showing just how close to the edge many pubs, bars and restaurants are.

“Sector leaders are likely to try and challenge these restrictions, but in the meantime, they should review their business models, assessing what changes can be made and what support is available. These latest restrictions may be unwelcomed by the sector, but they don’t have to mean certain death.”

Simon Underwood, business recovery partner at accountancy firm Menzies LLP, says the sweeping job cuts at Marston’s shows the ‘thin line’ between protecting health and the economy.

“Closely following a wave of job cuts by rival pub chain, Greene King, this announcement is a reminder of the thin line Government is treading between protecting lives and livelihoods. Monday’s tightening of restrictions across large swathes of the country is likely to trigger more restructuring plans in the hospitality and leisure sector.

“The disproportionate impact that local lockdowns are having on hospitality businesses across the UK raises questions about whether moving to a sector-focused approach, as opposed to a geographical one, would be more appropriate.

“With it now clear that the coronavirus isn’t going away as fast as we might have hoped, managers must reappraise their business plans and forecasts as they strive to protect cashflow and stay viable through the tough winter months and beyond. Conducting cashflow forecasts for at least the next 2-3 years is vital and will help to ensure they’re fit enough to survive.”

Updated

If the FTSE 100 falls much further, we could be looking at the lowest closing level since mid-May.

There’s still time to turn things around, though.....

FTSE 100 at three-week low

After three hours of hefty selling pressure, the FTSE 100 is still languishing at a near-three-week low.

The index is currently down 133 points, or 2.25%, at 5,801 - on track for its its biggest one-day loss in close to four weeks (since the selloff on 21 September).

The top fallers are currently investment group Pershing Square (-5.4%), hotel chain Whitbread (-5.3%), luxury fashion chain Burberry (-5.3%), sportwear retailer JD Sports (-5%) and oil giants BP and Shell (both down 4.3%).

Health worries are rocking the markets today, warns David Madden of CMC Markets, as tighter Covid-19 restrictions will hit the economic recovery (which already appeared to be slowing):

Renewed health concerns and tighter restrictions around Europe are hammering stocks this morning. In recent weeks, the chatter surrounding a possible stimulus package in the US grabbed traders’ attention, but all the while the health situation was deteriorating.

We now find ourselves in a scenario whereby the pandemic is back in centre stage, while the prospects of a US relief package this side of the Presidential election seem very low. Dealers are dumping stocks for fear that economic activity will drop off because of the tighter restrictions in various parts of Europe.

Banks are expected to increase the cost of credit card borrowing in the run up to Christmas following a recovery in demand for unsecured loans by British households.

The latest Bank of England survey found that lenders increased the cost of loans in the third quarter and planned to continue increasing average interest rates during the fourth quarter.

Lenders are also expected to restrict their loan products in the fourth quarter, though not by as much as in the third quarter, further limiting access to vital loans as the second wave of the virus hits many regions of the UK.

This trend tracks a return to more normal levels of demand for consumer loans in the third and fourth quarters after a collapse in the appetite for spending with credit during the second quarter that coincided with the worst of the Covid-19 lockdown.

Nearly half of UK businesses are suffering lower turnover than a year ago, as the Covid-19 pandemic continues to hurt trading.

That’s according to the latest survey of the UK economy from the Office for National Statistics.

It found that 9% had seen turnover more than halve, compared to a year ago, with 15% saying takings are down by between a fifth and a half, and other 24% reporting a lesser decease in turnover

Reminder, Marston’s reported that sales were down 10% year-on-year in July-September, after it reopened.

The ONS also found that more than a tenth of firms still haven’t reopened (out of the 5,000 companies who responded to the survey):

  • 83% of businesses had been trading for more than the last two weeks
  • 2% of businesses had started trading within the last two weeks after a pause in trading
  • 2% of businesses had paused trading but intend to restart in the next two weeks
  • 11% of businesses had paused trading and do not intend to restart in the next two weeks
  • 3% of businesses had permanently ceased trading.

The ONS also reports that:

Of businesses that have not permanently stopped trading, 41% said they had less than six months’ cash reserves and 4% said they had none. 35% said they had more than six months’ cash reserves and 20% were not sure.

Every stock on the German DAX index has also fallen this morning.

Car makers are leading the selloff, with Volkswagen, Daimler and BMW all losing over 4.5%.

Chemicals giant BASF (-4%) and engineering group Siemens (-3.7) are also among the top fallers.

Germany posted a record daily increase in confirmed coronavirus infections, with 6,638 new cases, bringing the total since the start of the pandemic to 341,223. Anxiety over the economic outlook is driving investors out of stocks, and into safe-haven German government debt:

Lloyds Banking Group is adding to the pile of job losses announced this morning, with plans to cut 125 office staff.

The cuts will hit its group internal audit team and retail chief operating office, according to one of its staff unions, Accord.

Around 62 new roles are being created, meaning there will be an overall net loss of 63 employees. Lloyds employs a total of 65,000 people, across its Halifax, Bank of Scotland and Lloyds brands.

The announcement comes around a month after Lloyds announced it was pushing ahead with plans to simplify parts of the business, resulting 865 job cuts - mainly across its insurance and wealth management divisions. It said it was also creating 226 new roles, resulting in a net loss of 639 jobs.

Commenting on the latest round of cuts, Accord’s general secretary Ged Nichols said:

“As always, our immediate concern is for the union members who may be at risk of redundancy as a result of the changes. We’ll be contacting all of the Accord members who are impacted by today’s news to offer advice and support.”

The UK government’s former homelessness adviser has a very grim warning for ministers today -- the country faces a “period of destitution” in which families “can’t put shoes on” their children’s feet.

Dame Louise Casey told the BBC that the government isn’t providing enough support to people who can’t work due to local Covid-19 curbs. It means “we are looking at a period of destitution”, she fears.

The latest scheme, in which the government covers two-thirds of workers’ wages for businesses forced to shut under local lockdown restrictions, simply isn’t enough, Dame Louise warned.

It will mean that people who were struggling on low-paid jobs before, and trying to get on, before will be pulled into poverty:

“It’s like you’re saying to people, ‘You can only afford two-thirds of your rent, you can only afford two-thirds of the food that you need to put on the table.’

“There’s this sense from Downing Street and from Westminster that people will make do. Well, they weren’t coping before Covid.”

Here’s a clip of the interview:

The Europe-wide Stoxx 600 index has now fallen to a two-week low, down 2%.

That’s its biggest daily drop since 21st September, as fears over the Covid-19 pandemic and the deadlock over a new US stimulus package hit confidence.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, says investors are recognising that the pandemic could still be raging well into 2021, making economic prospects even more clouded.

“There were also negative comments from US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin that a big stimulus deal was unlikely before next month’s Presidential election, in line with previous comments from Donald Trump.

“Ultimately investors are unnerved by what’s going on with Covid-19 and how that is negatively impacting jobs and the ability for many businesses to succeed.

Today’s market selloff is also due to fading hopes of an early US stimulus package, to fight the impact of Covid-19.

Last night, US treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin said he and House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi were “far apart” on some details of another coronavirus relief package.

That meant an agreement would be hard to reach before the 3 November election, Mnuchin added.

That knocked shares on Wall Street last night, and is weighing on Europe too.

Energy and consumer stocks are the worst performers in London, followed by industrial companies (but every sector is down)

Stock markets hit by Covid-19 fears

Stock markets across Europe have fallen sharply this morning, following the latest government restrictions to fight rising Covid-19 cases.

in London, the FTSE 100 has slumped to a three-week low, with every member of the blue-chip index. It’s currently down 112 points, or 1.9%, at 5821.

Top fallers include hotel chain Whitbread (-5.5%), airline group IAG, and energy giant Royal Dutch Shell (-3.5%).

There are similar losses across Europe, with Germany’s DAX losing 2.2%.

Last night, French president Emmanuel Macron announced a night time curfew in nine cities, including Paris, while Germany announced that bars and restaurants in higher-risk areas must close early.

These tougher Covid-19 restrictions, along with similar moves in other countries, are spooking investors, says Connor Campbell of SpreadEx.

The headline announcement was the imposition of a 9pm to 6am curfew in Paris, and 8 other French cities, that will be in place for at least six weeks. In Germany – which just saw its own record daily case increase – the new restrictions were less severe, but still include limits on the number of people at private gatherings, and curfews on bars and restaurants in the worst hit areas.

And the tightening continued, with bar and restaurant closures in the northeastern region of Catalonia in Spain, new mask restrictions in the Netherlands, and the shuttering of non-essential retailers, gyms and leisure centres in Ireland.

Marston's job cuts: early reaction

Sky News warns that job cuts across the hospitality industry are mounting fast.

The jobs warning is the latest sign of the strain facing Britain’s hospitality sector as a result of the coronavirus jobs crisis - coming after rival Greene King said it planned to cut 800 jobs and a day after a rescue deal for Gourmet Burger Kitchen which will see 26 restaurants close and 362 roles axed.

Sky’s tracker of publicly-announced job cuts during the crisis suggests the sector is fast catching up with aviation and retail as the worst affected, with more than 30,000 now hit.

Marston’s, which owns 1,400 pubs around the UK including the Pitcher & Piano bar brand and also brews beers including Pedigree, Courage, McEwan’s and Brakspear, employs around 14,000 people.

The Financial Times says:

Marston’s, the UK pub group, is set to lay off 2,150 staff after a swath of new restrictions on trading in pubs and bars hit consumer confidence.

Marston’s described the regulations, which include mandatory table service, a 10pm curfew and limits on group sizes across the country, as “hugely disappointing”.

Despite opening 99 per cent of its pubs over the summer, it has since had to shut 21 pubs in Scotland following further measures there and said that trading in 18 pubs in Liverpool was now affected by local rules that dictate pubs can only stay open if they serve a ‘substantial meal’.

The Telegraph points out that Wolverhampton-based Marston’s is set to cut around 15% of its total staff, adding:

The hospitality industry was hit hard during the first wave of the pandemic and demand was slow to pick up during the summer. The sector is now facing further shutdowns as case numbers rise once again.

Budget airline Ryanair is also warning of job cuts, as the pandemic hits demand for flights.

Ryanair is scaling back its winter schedule because of Covid flight restrictions across the EU. It will only run 40% as many flights as last year from November to March, down from the 60% capacity previously planned.

Ryanair chief executive, Michael O’Leary, says:

“There will regrettably be more redundancies at those small number of cabin crew bases, where we have still not secured agreement on working time and pay cuts, which is the only alternative,”

“While we deeply regret these winter schedule cuts they have been forced upon us by government mismanagement of EU air travel.”

The airline said it was “inevitable” that pilots and cabin crew would also have to take more unpaid leave and participate in job sharing this winter, but said it was a better outcome than “mass job losses”.

Britain’s hospitality sector has been warning for weeks that there will be heavy job cuts, once the furlough scheme ends in a fortnight.

The boss of trade body UKHospitality told MPs last week that 900,000 staff were still on furlough - and that ‘many more’ than half a million risked losing their jobs.

Fellow pub chain Greene King is also laying off staff - with up to 800 jobs going as it closes 79 pubs and restaurants. Like Marston’s today, it also blamed the 10pm curfew for hitting sales.

Updated

Business minister Nadhim Zahawi has told LBC he’s ‘sorry’ to hear about Marston’s job cuts:

The latest restrictions on hospitality sector have a direct effect on some Marston’s pubs in Scotland and Liverpool, the chain explains:

On 12 October, the UK Government introduced a ‘3 Tier’ system of guidance depending upon rates of infection and perceived risk in different parts of England. Within our estate, we have 21 pubs in Scotland, of which 8 are currently closed, and we have 18 pubs in the “highest risk” Liverpool region the majority of which serve food and under the existing guidelines are capable of remaining open.

Throughout the pandemic we have offered continuous help to those tenants and lessees impacted by trading restrictions in the form of rental support and discounting, and we anticipate a continuation of this support in those pubs directly impacted.

Marston’s CEO, Ralph Findlay, says he ‘very much’ regrets today’s job cuts, but argues they are also inevitable:

“On re-opening, we set ourselves three objectives: for pubs to be safe for our guests and our people, to retain pub ambience, and for our pubs to be financially viable. I believe we have met those objectives.

Trading has been difficult, but to operate at 90% of last year on a like-for-like basis is better than our forecast, ahead of the market and a highly creditable result. In part, this is because most of our pubs are in suburban or community settings, and we have relatively few pubs in city centres which have been worst hit by changes in working habits.

However, the additional restrictions which have been applied across the UK most recently present significant challenges to us and will make business more difficult for a period of time.

I very much regret that the consequence of this is that the jobs of around 2,150 of our colleagues will be impacted, but it is an inevitable consequence of the limitations placed upon our business. We will be looking at our cost base further in the coming weeks.

Introduction: Marston's to cut jobs as Covid-19 crisis deepens

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

More than 2,000 furloughed staff facing losing their jobs at pub chain Marston’s, as the Covid-19 economic crisis deepens.

In a statement to the City this morning, Marston’s blames the new restrictions on hospitality industry, which is says have damaged consumer confidence and undermined its efforts to reopen following the lockdown.

Marston’s, which owns 1,400 pubs, restaurants, cocktail bars and hotels in the UK, says its sales slumped by a third in the last year, but had been improving over the summer.... before the latest curbs on trading.

Sales were down 10% in the 13 weeks since it reopened after the lockdown, as consumer confidence “increased steadily” throughout July, August and into September. That’s partly thanks to the government’s Eat Out To Help Out campaign during August, and its VAT reductions on sales of food and non-alcoholic drinks.

But the latest restrictions - such as the 10pm curfew, and full table service - mean that Marston’s is now cutting back, affecting over 2,150 furloughed staff.

It tells shareholders that the latest restrictions have undermined consumer confidence and create uncertainty.

The introduction of these further restrictions and guidance affecting pubs is hugely disappointing in view of a lack of clear evidence tying pubs to the recent increase in infection levels, and our own data which suggests that pubs are effective in minimising risks. Very few incidences of COVID-19 infection have been reported in our pubs by employees or guests to date, supporting our view that socialising in pubs, where social distancing is enforced and hygiene standards are high, presents lower risks than in other non-regulated settings. Unlike many other retail settings, we committed to collecting Test & Trace data from the moment we were able to open.

And that means more than 2,000 furloughed staff face being laid off, with the government’s job retention scheme winding up at the end of the month.

Marston’s says:

Inevitably, and regrettably, recent restrictions will impact jobs. Since the start of the pandemic, our objectives have included protecting the health and livelihoods of our teams. Government support over the summer was vital, and around 10,000 colleagues have so far returned to work.

However, because of the recent additional restrictions, we have reluctantly concluded that around 2,150 pub-based roles currently subject to furlough are going to be impacted.

Furthermore, we have initiated a full review of overhead costs which will be concluded by the end of December. These decisions are difficult but are necessary due to the restrictions placed upon our business at this time.

Such cuts highlight why economists expect the UK jobless rate to surge this winter, having already hit a three-year high.

The latest swathe of Covid-19 restrictions are weighing on the financial markets again today.

European stocks are down in early trading, after France imposed tighter restrictions in eight cities and Northern Ireland announced a new mini-lockdown.

The agenda

  • 1.30pm BST: US weekly jobless claims
  • 4pm BST: EIA weekly US oil inventories

Updated

 

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