Léonie Chao-Fong (now); Tom Ambrose, Graeme Wearden and Adam Fulton (earlier) 

Wall Street dives as hopes wane for tariff delays – as it happened

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Closing summary

Wall Street suffered another session of sharp losses as investors’ hopes for US delays or concessions on tariffs ahead of a midnight deadline turned to despair.

The White House’s press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, poured water on hopes that Donald Trump might delay his tariffs set to kick in on Wednesday.

  • The S&P 500 fell 79.48 points, or 1.6%, to 4,982.77, after surging 4% earlier in the day.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 320.01 points, or 0.8%, to 37,645.59.

  • The Nasdaq composite fell 335.35 points, or 2.1%, to 15,267.91.

  • The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 49.43 points, or 2.7%, to 1,760.71.

  • The CBOE Volatility Index, seen as Wall Street’s “fear gauge”, was last up 5.35 points at 52.33, the highest close since 1 April, 2020.

  • Tesla and Apple each dropped about 6%.

  • Oil prices fell more than $1 a barrel on Tuesday, trading at four-year lows.

Energy commodities gave up early gains to finish lower on Tuesday.

US crude fell 1.8% to $59.58 a barrel. Natural gas dropped 5.2%.

Shares of most oil and gas companies closed with losses.

Occidental Petroleum dropped 6.8%, ConocoPhillips fell 3.5% and Exxon slipped 2.2%.

Trump claims tariffs bringing in $2bn a day for US

Donald Trump has been speaking as he signed executive orders from the White House.

Trump claimed that the US is making $2bn a day from tariffs. He did not provide any details.

“The tariffs are on and money is pouring in at a level we’ve never seen,” he said.

“America is going to be very rich again very soon,” he said.

US stocks drop as markets close

US stocks dived on Tuesday after yet another volatile trading day.

The S&P 500 fell 1.6% after wiping out an early gain of 4.1%, which had it on track for its best day in years. That brought the index nearly 19% below its record set in February.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 683 points, or 1.8%, after giving up an earlier surge of 1,460 points.

The Nasdaq composite was down 3.2%.

Interactive

Updated

The price of bitcoin fell to around $76,600 as it gave up an earlier gain, similar to stocks.

Wall Street slumps as hopes wane for tariff delays

The US stock market is careening through a second straight day of stunning swings with Wall Street’s main indexes flitting between red and green, as investors’ hopes ebbed for US delays or concessions on tariffs ahead of a midnight deadline.

The S&P 500 lost an early gain of 4.1%, which had it on track for its best day in years, and slumped 1.7% with about an hour left in trading.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 403 points, or 1%, after giving up its earlier surge of 1,460 points, while the Nasdaq composite was 2.4% lower, as of 3.13pm Eastern time.

Stocks globally had rallied much more earlier in the day, with indexes up 6% in Tokyo, 2.5% in Paris and 1.6% in Shanghai.

But even after those jumps, analysts had been warning to expect more swings up and down for financial markets not just in the days ahead but also the hours.

The UK health minister, Stephen Kinnock, said the global economic headwinds were “very turbulent” amid Donald Trump’s imposition of tariffs.

“It is very turbulent. Nobody benefits from a trade war,” he told Sky News on Tuesday.

We live in an incredibly deeply integrated global economy with very integrated supply chains and hugely interdependent commercial relationships, so nobody benefits from a trade war.

Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves are actively considering nationalising British Steel in an escalation of plans first revealed in the Guardian last year.

The prime minister said all options were on the table to secure the future of the Scunthorpe plant, which is owned by the Chinese firm Jingye and employs about 3,500 people.

The possibility of nationalisation was first revealed in December but discussions have taken on fresh urgency with US tariffs and talks about a financial support package to move to less polluting technology having faltered.

The government has now been forced to consider more drastic options, ranging from nationalisation to buying materials to keep the blast furnaces going.

If the plant is stopped, it could be even less economical to reopen, with only about 48 hours to buy raw materials to keep it burning. The facility makes the steel for almost all UK rail tracks.

Whitehall sources said Starmer and Reeves were aligned in considering steel to be of “huge strategic importance” and that “all options are on the table, including nationalisation”. The chancellor spoke to union leaders involved in talks over the weekend and made clear her support for the steel industry.

Oil prices fell more than $1 a barrel on Tuesday, trading at four-year lows, as recession fears exacerbated by the trade conflict between the US and China offset a stock market rebound.

Brent futures were down $1.47, or 2.29%, at $62.74 a barrel at 1.13pm EDT (1713 GMT).

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $1.26, or 2.08%, to $59.44.

The two benchmarks had slumped by 14% and 15%, respectively, on Monday after Donald Trump’s tariff announcement last week.

Thailand plans to send a high-ranking delegation to Washington to negotiate with their US counterparts over the new tariff policies.

The delegation will be led by the Thai deputy prime minister and finance minister, Pichai Chunhavajira.

Thailand is facing a 36% tariff under the new US rules. Bangkok’s plans reportedly include revising its import duties and amending non-trade barriers.

The UK should not “jump in with both feet” to retaliate against Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, Keir Starmer has said.

“My instinct is that we shouldn’t jump in with both feet to retaliate,” Starmer told members of parliamentary committee on Tuesday.

Obviously we have to keep our options on the table and do the preparatory work for retaliation if necessary. But I think that trying to negotiate an arrangement which mitigates the tariffs is better.

The tariffs are not a “temporary passing phase” but part of a “changing world order”, he added.

White House says 104% tariff on China to go into effect at midnight

The US will impose a 104% tariff on China starting from midnight tonight, the White House’s press secretary Karoline Leavitt said.

“It will be going into effect at 12.01am tonight. So effectively tomorrow,” Leavitt told reporters.

Asked if Donald Trump will do a deal with the Chinese president, Xi Jinping, she said:

The Chinese want to make a deal. They just don’t know how to do it. [Trump] believes China has to make a deal with the United States.

The US president has threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on imports from China unless Beijing rescinds its retaliatory tariffs of 34%.

The additional 50% tariff on China would be on top of the 34% reciprocal tariff Trump announced last week and the 20% already in place.

The White House’s press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, is holding a press briefing.

Nearly 70 countries have reached out to begin negotiations on tariffs, she told reporters.

“Countries are falling over themselves,” Leavitt said.

Why? It’s because these countries greatly respect President Trump in the sheer power of the American market.

She said Donald Trump met with his trade team earlier today and directed them to create “tailor-made” deals for every trade partner.

Porsche sales slumped in the first three months of the year as an increase in deliveries to the US was overshadowed by falls in Europe and China, while Donald Trump’s trade war has triggered uncertainty in the global car industry.

The German car manufacturer reported a 37% rise in North American deliveries in the period from January to March, hitting 20,698, which Porsche said was partly because of low figures last year when car deliveries were delayed due to import restrictions on Chinese components.

However, the growth in American orders was not enough to offset steep falls in China, Germany and the rest of Europe – where deliveries fell by 42%, 34% and 10% respectively. Overall, deliveries of Porsche cars fell by 8% in the first quarter of the year to 71,470.

Slowing orders come as the US president enforces a 25% levy on car imports to the US, as part of a bigger package of trade tariffs that has caused a brutal sell-off in global stock markets.

Italy’s prime minister Giorgia Meloni will travel to the US next week for talks on tariffs with Donald Trump, her office has said.

Meloni has called Trump’s decision on tariffs a mistake, but warned that EU countermeasures could escalate a trade war, and called for negotiations to mitigate the crisis.

Italy last year ran the third-largest trade surplus in the EU for goods with the US, after Germany and Ireland.

European markets rally

FTSE 100 closed 208.5 points up at 7,910.5, a 2.7% rise

France’s CAC closed 131.9 points up at 5,265.0 a 2.6% rise

Germany’s DAX rose 2.5% to 20,280.3, up 490.6 points

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index rose 2.7%

Updated

Trump 'not doing tariff exemptions in near term', says US trade representative

US trade representative Jamieson Greer has said Donald Trump is not expected to announce exemptions to his global tariffs “in the near term”.

Greer, speaking before the US Senate finance committee on Tuesday, said:

The president has been clear, again, that he’s not doing exemptions or exceptions in the near term.

He added that “Swiss cheese” in the process would undermine the goal of trade reciprocity.

Asked if there is a timeline for negotiations, Greer said:

We don’t have any particular timeline set on that because … the outcome is more important than setting something artificially for us.

“What I can say is I’m moving as quickly as possible, and a lot of these countries are moving very quickly,” he added.

Canada’s main stock index rose on Tuesday after three straight sessions of losses as investors watch for any signs of the US opening up for tariff negotiations.

Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was up 2% at 23,325.64 points.

Reuters cites Graham Priest, investment advisor at BlueShore Financial, as saying:

The TSX often mirrors US indices, and with those showing cautious optimism today after tariff-driven sell-offs, any overnight developments — especially if China doubles down — could trigger volatility.

Donald Trump supporter and billionaire fund manager Bill Ackman says he is calling for a “30, 60, or 90- day pause before the tariffs are implemented tomorrow” in a post on X.

He said yesterday that the president is losing the confidence of business leaders and should pause his trade war – which could cause an economic collapse while damaging his supporters the most.

“The president has an opportunity to call a 90-day time out,” Ackman said on Sunday in a post on X, to resolve trade issues via negotiation.

But this afternoon he clarified his remarks:

Some have misinterpreted my thoughts on tariffs. I am totally supportive of President @realDonaldTrump using tariffs to eliminate tariffs and unfair trading practices of our trading partners, and to induce more investment and manufacturing in our country.

I am advocating for a 30, 60, or 90- day pause before the tariffs are implemented tomorrow to enable negotiations to be completed without a major global economic disruption that will harm the most vulnerable companies and citizens of our country.

If a country does not negotiate in good faith, then @realDonaldTrump can bring the hammer down, but doing so without giving time to make deals creates unnecessary harm. I welcome the counterpoint.

India is seeking to strike more trade deals with other countries at a time of “global uncertainty”, its finance minister, Nirmala Sitharam, said before talks with the UK chancellor, Rachel Reeves.

Sitharam, who serves as finance and corporate affairs minister in Narendra Modi’s government, said she was hopeful the UK and India would finalise a free trade deal “sooner rather than later”.

Speaking at the Indian high commission during a visit to London, Sitharam said global uncertainties were “multiplying by the day”, which was “driving many countries to clearly be active on [seeking] bilateral arrangements” that went beyond their old ideological and political ties.

“India is also looking at many bilateral arrangements. In the recent past, we’ve signed agreements with Australia, the UAE, with Oman, and we’re looking forward to concluding the bilateral trade agreement with the UK, negotiating also with the EU,” she said. “I think that’s the way the world is going.”

Oil prices ticked higher on Tuesday but remained near four-year lows.

Brent futures were up 66 cents, or 1.03%, at $64.87 a barrel at 10:13am EST.

In the latest example of name-calling among Donald Trump’s top aides, billionaire Elon Musk has described the president’s trade adviser as a “moron”.

In an attempt to distance himself from Trump’s tariffs, Tesla CEO Musk posted on X that Peter Navarro is “truly a moron”.

He wrote:

Navarro is truly a moron. What he says here is demonstrably false.

It comes as Navarro dismissed Musk’s push for “zero tariffs“ between the United States and Europe, calling him a “car assembler” reliant on parts from other countries.

Navarro, widely seen as the architect of Trump’s tariff plans, told CNBC Musk had done a good job with his work to streamline government, but his comments on tariffs were not surprising given his role as “car person,” the latest salvo in a growing feud between the Trump advisers.

“When it comes to tariffs and trade, we all understand in the White House - and the American people understand - that Elon is a car manufacturer, but he’s not a car manufacturer. He’s a car assembler,” Navarro said, adding that many Tesla parts came from Japan, China and Taiwan.

“He’s a car person. That’s what he does, and he wants the cheap foreign parts.”

India and China should stand together to overcome difficulties in the face of tariffs imposed by US president Donald Trump’s administration, the spokesperson of the Chinese embassy in India said on Tuesday.

“China-India economic and trade relationship is based on complimentarity and mutual benefit. Facing the US abuse of tariffs … the two largest developing countries should stand together to overcome the difficulties,” spokesperson Yu Jing said in a post on X.

A summary

With stocks flying on both sides of the Atlantic, after big gains in Asia, here’s a quick recap.

Global stock markets are recovering some of their recent heavy losses, on hopes that some of America’s trading partners can strike deals to avoid Donald Trump’s new tariffs.

Shares are romping higher on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 index jumped by 3.3% in early trading.

US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC that other countries appear to be more willing to negotiate than China. He explained:

“If they come to the table with solid proposals, I think we can end up with some good deals, and part of the calculus of that may be that some part of the tariffs stay on.”

Bessent also claimed the US holds a substantial advantage over China in the trade talks. He told CNBC:

“I think it was a big mistake, this Chinese escalation, because they’re playing with a pair of twos.”

China has refused, so far, to fold, though - overnight, it vowed to “fight to the end” if the US continues to escalate the trade war.

Donald Trump has posted that China wants to make a deal, adding that “we are waiting for their call”.

Earlier today, China’s CSI 300 share index rose by 1.7%, while Japan’s Nikkei surged by 6%.

The UK’s FTSE 100 has jumped by 3.5%, which would be its best day since February 2022.

Across Europe, the Stoxx 600 index is now up 3.4%, on track for its best day since March 2022.

The City money markets are expecting the Bank of England (BoE) to cut interest rates next month, with a small chance of a large cut.

Rachel Reeves stepped in to soothe stock market jitters, telling parliament she had spoken to Andrew Bailey, the governor of the BoE, who confirmed “markets are functioning effectively and that our banking system is resilient”.

Reeves argued again that a trade war “is in nobody’s interest”, confirming that the UK was seeking to negotiate a new deal with the US and that she would meet the US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, “shortly”.

Goldman Sachs has suggested oil could plunge to just $40 per barrel in an ‘extreme scenario’ in which the trade war leads to a global slowdown and a US recession.

FTSE 100 on track for best day in three years

The sight of shares soaring on Wall Street is cheering the mood in the City.

The FTSE 100 is now up by almost 3.5% today at 7,966 points, up 264 points today. That would be its biggest daily gain since February 2022.

Every one of the 30 stocks on the Dow Jones industrial average is up in early trading.

UnitedHealth Group are the top riser, up 7.7%. after the US government yesterday announced higher than expected reimbursement rates for Medicare Advantage health plans.

They’re followed by chip giant Nvidia (+7.1%), JP Morgan (+5.6%) and Goldman Sachs (+5.1%)

Wall Street is rebounding

Boom! Stocks are surging on Wall Street at the start of trading.

The S&P 500 share index has jumped by 3.3% as investors pile into stocks, up 169 points at 5,232 points.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which tracks 30 large US companies, has surged by 1,380 points, or 3.6%, to 39,346 points. The tech-focused Nasdaq index jumped 3.7%.

Shares are rallying after US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said that he believes the US can reach “some good deals” with trading partners.

This will bring some relief to stock holders, after the sharp plunge in share values on Thursday and Friday last week.

That follows a wild day’s trading yesterday, in which the Dow ended up down 0.9% while the S&P 500 dropped 0.2% for the day. The Nasdaq was 0.1% up.

Traders appear to be hoping that some of the tariffs announced by Donald Trump last week will be negotiated away, as some countries call the White House to agree talks.

However, as Donald Trump just posted, he is still waiting for the phone to ring from Beijing.

Today’s rally may calm concerns that Wall Street was sinking into a bear market, as AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould, explains:

“The good news is that bear markets tend to be much shorter than bull ones, even if they can be undeniably brutish and nasty and laden with traps which lure in the unwary before their work is done.

“The S&P 500’s rally on Monday takes it out of bear market territory, but the technology-laden NASDAQ Composite has fallen by 23% from its December zenith, so the situation remains delicately poised, especially as share prices seem to be hanging upon president Trump’s every word on the subject of trade and tariffs.

Updated

Trump: We are waiting for China to call

Donald Trump has just announced that he is waiting for China to call to begin trade negotiations.

In a post on Truth Social, the US president says he has had a ‘great call’ with South Korea’s acting leader.

Trump writes:

I just had a great call with the Acting President of South Korea. We talked about their tremendous and unsustainable Surplus, Tariffs, Shipbuilding, large scale purchase of U.S. LNG, their joint venture in an Alaska Pipeline, and payment for the big time Military Protection we provide to South Korea.

They began these Military payments during my first term, Billions of Dollars, but Sleepy Joe Biden, for reasons unknown, terminated the deal. That was a shocker to all! In any event, we have the confines and probability of a great DEAL for both countries. Their top TEAM is on a plane heading to the U.S., and things are looking good. We are likewise dealing with many other countries, all of whom want to make a deal with the United States.

Like with South Korea, we are bringing up other subjects that are not covered by Trade and Tariffs, and getting them negotiated also. “ONE STOP SHOPPING” is a beautiful and efficient process!!! China also wants to make a deal, badly, but they don’t know how to get it started. We are waiting for their call. It will happen! GOD BLESS THE USA.

Reminder: yesterday Trump threatened China with new 50% tariffs unless Beijing abandoned their new 34% retaliatory tariffs against the US, by today.

But today, China’s government says it will “fight to the end” if the US continues to escalate the trade war.

Updated

European markets on track for best day since 2022

European stock markets are flying now, on track for their best day in two and a half years.

The Stoxx 600, which tracks stocks across Europe, is now up 2.7% today, which would be the biggest daily rise since October 2022.

France’s CAC has jumped by 2.5%, while Germany’s DAX index is 2.3% higher.

You can watch Scott Bessent’s CNBC interview here.

In it, the US Treasury Secretary explains that there was a discussion last night about which countries to prioritise in tariff negotiations.

Countries who have not retaliated to Donald Trump’s tariffs “will get priority in the queue”, Bessent explained, before criticising China for escalating the situation with their own tariffs on US goods.

Wall Street on track to rally on tariff talk hopes

Wall Street is on track to jump at the start of trading, in just over an hour’s time.

The futures market is indicating that the S&P 500 will jump by 2.7%, recovering some of the stinging losses suffered last week.

The Dow Jones industrial average is on track to jump by 3%, a gain of 1,160 points, which would take the Dow back up to 39,326 points.

Traders may be heartened by Treasury secretary Scott Bessent’s comments today that some 70 countries have reached out to the White House to begin talks about tariffs.

This follows solid gains in Europe, where the UK’s FTSE 100 index is now up 2.5%, or 192 points, to 7894 points, having ended Monday at a one-year closing low.

Investors are refusing to be spooked by the heightened tensions between Beijing and Washington DC. China insisted overnight that it will fight Trump’s tariffs ‘to the end’, after being threatened with new 50% tariffs by Trump yesterday unless its retaliatory tariffs were dropped swiftly.

Instead, hopes of a breakthrough in trade negotiations are rising, following reports that Japan is moving to the front of a long line of countries seeking to roll back President Donald Trump’s so-called reciprocal tariffs.

As Bessent put it to CNBC this morning:

“I think you are going to see some very large countries with large trade deficits come forward very quickly.

If they come to the table with solid proposals, I think we can end up with some good deals.”

Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will hold talks with Japanese officials, who are keen to remove the 24% tariff imposed on Japan.

Updated

Bessent: Everything is on the table; China escalation was a mistake

US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent has told CNBC that everything is on the table, as countries try to negotiate away tariffs imposed by Donald Trump.

Speaking to CNBC today, Bessent said that around 70 countries have reached out to the White House to begin talks.

President Donald Trump will be personally involved in negotiations, Bessent added.

He explained that the US is looking at non-tariff barriers, such as currency manipulation and Europe’s value-added tax, as well as absolute tariff levels.

Bessent says:

“Everything is on the table.

The academic literature shows that it’s actually the non-tariff barriers which are harder, both harder to quantify and ... they’re more insidious because they’re hidden, they’re obfuscated.”

[Fact check: The Trump White House claim VAT is unfair, as the US doesn’t impose it (although they do have state-level sales tax). However, as VAT is charged on domestic products as well as imports, it’s isn’t a tariff].

Bessent also insisted that the US holds a substantial advantage over China in the trade war brewing between Washington DC and Beijing.

He told CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”:

“I think it was a big mistake, this Chinese escalation, because they’re playing with a pair of twos.

What do we lose by the Chinese raising tariffs on us? We export one-fifth to them of what they export to us, so that is a losing hand for them.”

Bessent also compared the US tariffs to an ‘ice cube’, which would ‘melt’ over time as companies moved production to America rather than making goods overseas.

Bessent explained:

“If we put up a tariff wall, the ultimate goal would be to bring jobs back to the U.S. But in the meantime, we will be collecting substantial tariffs.

If we’re successful, tariffs would be a melting ice cube, in a way, because you’re taking in the revenues as the manufacturing facilities are built in the U.S., and there should be some level of symmetry between the taxes we begin taking in with the new industry from the payroll taxes as the tariffs decline.”

[thanks to CNBC for the quotes].

The turmoil of the last week is hitting plans to float companies on the stock market.

The private equity owners of Shawbrook Bank, a UK retail bank, have pushed back plans for a £2bn London listing, Financial News are reporting.

This, they say, is the “first major sign” that Donald Trump’s tariffs have hit the UK’s IPO market.

Financial News’s Lars Mucklejohn reports:

BC Partners and Pollen Street Capital were lining up advisers early this year with the hope of floating Shawbrook in London in the first half of 2025, subject to market conditions.

However, the market turmoil triggered by US president Trump’s tariffs means the potential float is likely to slip into the second half of the year or beyond, according to a person familiar with the matter.

No firm decisions have been taken on the timing of a potential IPO, the person said. They added that plans to list Shawbrook have always been subject to market conditions.

More here.

European Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel has warned today that global economic growth has deteriorated massively as a result of US tariffs and the ECB will “do its part” to support the eurozone.

Reuters reports:

“Global growth prospects have deteriorated massively,” Nagel said in an emailed statement. “Monetary policy in Europe will do its part ... We are already well on our way to achieving our inflation target this year.”

“At the upcoming meeting of the ECB Governing Council next week, we will make responsible decisions based on the data and information available,” he added.

Reeves: BoE governor says banking sector is resilient in face of tariffs

Newsflash: The UK chancellor of the exchequer, Rachel Reeves, has told MPs that she has been assured by the Bank of England that the financial markets are functioning effectively, and that Britain’s banks are ‘resilient’.

In a statement to parliament in the last few minutes, Reeves says that the decicion by the United States to impose tariffs has had – and will continue to have – “huge implications for the world economy”.

She says:

These implications have been reflected in the reaction we have seen in global markets over recent days, which the financial authorities have, of course, been closely monitoring. This morning I spoke to the Governor of the Bank of England, who has confirmed that markets are functioning effectively and that our banking system is resilient.

I know too that this is an anxious time for families who are worried about the cost of living. We have your backs.

And British businesses who are worried about what a changing world will mean for them. We have your backs too.

Reeves then says that a trade war is in nobody’s interest, adding:

It is why we must remain pragmatic, cool headed, and pursue the best deal with the United States that is in our national interest. This remains our priority - and this was part of the discussions that I had with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent last week. But we have been clear that nothing is off the table.

It is why we will continue to back British businesses during these uncertain times – particularly those industries that are most affected – as we rebuild our industrial base here in Britain.

She points to the support announced yesterday for the car-making sector.

Reeves adds that she has held discussions with her counterparts in Canada, Australia, Ireland, France, Spain, and with the European Commission, and will hold trade deal talks with the Indian government tomorrow.

Updated

Bank of England rate cut in May fully expected - but how big?

City investors have been raising their betting that the Bank of England will cut interest rates next month.

The money markets are now indicating there is a 95% chance that the BoE lowers UK interest rates from 4.5% to 4.25%, a quarter-percentage-point cut, at its next meeting in early May.

That leaves a 5% chance that the Bank goes large with a half-point cut, lowering rates to 4%.

Cutting rates by half a percentage point, rather than just a quarter point, would be a significant move by the Bank, and signal it was very worried about the impact of the US trade war on the UK economy.

Charlie Bean, a former BoE deputy governor, has argued that the Bank should cut interest rates by at least half a percentage point to 4%.

Speaking to the Guardian, Bean said:

“It is not just the tariffs that are the problem, it is the huge uncertainty these actions have created, delaying buying and investment decision by businesses and consumers.”

US home insurance premiums are set to climb as the Trump tariffs drive up construction material costs, data provider GlobalData has warned today.

The tariffs on China will be “particularly impactful” given it is a source of various raw materials and components, GlobalData says, pointing out that the US relies heavily on Canada, Mexico, and China for key construction materials such as lumber and steel.

Sahil Haider, Associate Insurance Analyst at GlobalData, explains:

“Increasing repair expenses will compel insurers to revise their pricing strategies, leading many consumers to experience additional hikes in their premiums. To support consumers during these uncertain times, insurers can offer policies that adjust to the price of materials to ensure policyholders have suitable coverage”.

Confidence among US small businesses has dropped for a third month running, even before Donald Trump unleashed his new flurry of tariffs.

Concerns over the White House’s trade policy was one factor pushing down optimism among small firms in March, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index fell 3.3 points to 97.4 in March, below the 51-year average and the biggest drop since June 2022.

NFIB chief economist Bill Dunkelberg says:

“The implementation of new policy priorities has heightened the level of uncertainty among small business owners over the past few months.

Small business owners have scaled back expectations on sales growth as they better understand how these rearrangements might impact them.”

The survey was taken before Trump announced sweeping tariffs on April 2, triggering the global stock market rout that appears to be abating today.

The report also says that US company stocks are”still being liquidated to meet customer demand. The impact of new tariffs is yet to be felt”.

Donald Trump’s tariffs have forced Framework, a repairable computer manufacturer, to stop selling some of its cheapest systems in the US.

Framework, which makes desktops and laptops that are easier to fix and upgrade than standard PCs, says it is “temporarily pausing” the sale of some laptops on its US site, due to the tariffs that came into effect on Saturday.

Framework explains that its profit margins are too thin to absorb the new 10% baseline tariff which kicked in last weekend.

It says:

We priced our laptops when tariffs on imports from Taiwan were 0%. At a 10% tariff, we would have to sell the lowest-end SKUs at a loss. Other consumer goods makers have performed the same calculations and taken the same actions, though most have not been open about it.

Analysts at investment bank Jefferies have warned that “tariff turmoil” will hit Europe’s semiconductor industry this year.

Jefferies have cut their price targets on companies across the sector, explaining:

The disruption and uncertainty from tariffs is expected to push the semiconductor sector into sharper downcycle, with weaker demand across segments including the AI supply chain and semicap equipment.

Ind./auto chip suppliers should meet Q1 estimates, but their Q2 and FY25 outlooks are likely to be impacted.

US is starting to look like an emerging market after tariff shock, Euronext CEO says

The United States is starting to resemble an emerging market more than a developed country.

That’s the magisterial verdict from the head of pan-European stock exchange operator Euronext today, following the last week of market mayhem.

Euronext CEO Stephane Boujnah told France Inter radio the “Fear exists all over”, Reuters reports, adding:

“The country (United States) is unrecognisable and we are living in a transition period.

There is a certain form of mourning, because the United States that we had known for the most part as a dominant nation resembled the values and institutions of Europe and now resembles more an emerging market.”

Updated

FTSE 100 up 2% as rally gathers speed

Europe’s stock market rebound is gathering pace!

In the City, the FTSE 100 index of the largest companies listed in London is now up 2%, or 153 points, at 7852.

That lifts the FTSE 100 away from its lowest level in over a year.

But, as this chart shows, it makes little headway in the heavy losses suffered since Donald Trump announced his new tariffs last week.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index is now up 1.75%, following gains in many Asia-Pacific markets overnight (Reminder: Japan’s Nikkei jumped 6% after Japan became the first major economy to secure priority tariff negotiations with Donald Trump.)

Joshua Mahony, analyst at Scope Markets, says:

With Trump rebuffing claims that he will delay tomorrows targeted tariffs by 90-days, traders should prepare for fresh volatility as we move through the week.

Nonetheless, US plans for a $1 trillion defence spending bill have helped lift European defence contractors and manufacturers such as Rolls-Royce and Rheinmetall.

Trump’s rejection of the EU’s offer of a zero-tariff deal on cars and some industrial products does highlight that we are likely moving towards some form of free-trade agreement.

Updated

EU urges China to help resolve tariff crisis

The head of the European Commission has called on China to help negotiate a solution to the trade war gripping the global economy.

Ursula von der Leyen spoke to China’s premier Li Qiang by phone, to discuss the state of EU-China relations.

According to the EC, von der Leyen underscored the vital importance of stability and predictability for the global economy (something the recent market crash has also highlighted).

And she said Europe and China both have a responsibility to support a strong reformed trading system, that is “free, fair and founded on a level playing field”.

A readout of the call says:

The President called for a negotiated resolution to the current situation, emphasising the need to avoid further escalation.

Von der Leyen also emphasised “China’s critical role in addressing possible trade diversion caused by tariffs”, a nod to concerns that good initially meant for the US market could be sold in Europe instead, to avoid Trump’s tariffs.

Fall in oil prices poses risk to Russian economy: central bank chief

Oil has fallen by 14% over the last week, as Donald Trump’s trade war has spooked the energy markets.

And this is causing anxiety in Moscow.

Reuters reports:

A sharp drop in global oil prices triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs poses a risk to the Russian economy, the state TASS news agency cited Elvira Nabiullina, the governor of Russia’s central bank, as saying on Tuesday.

She was quoted as saying that the central bank was analysing the fallout, but as saying that a technical budget rule would smooth out the consequences for the budget.

Goldman says global slowdown could drive oil below $40 per barrel

Goldman Sachs has predicted that oil prices could fall below $40 per barrel by the end of next year, if Donald Trump’s trade war hammers the global economy and suppliers keep increasing production.

In a new research note, Goldman estimate that Brent would fall just under $40 per barrel in late 2026, if there is a US recession leading to a global GDP slowdown, and if the OPEC+ group unwind all their existing production cuts regardless.

That would be the lowest price for oil since November 2020, (just before the first analysis showing the Covid-19 vaccines were effective triggered a market rally).

Goldman says:

Oil prices are unlikely to fall well below $40/bbl on a sustained basis for two reasons.

First, US shale offers an increasingly firmer floor at lower prices.

Second, a potential 2025 US recession is unlikely to be very deep, in part given a lack of major financial imbalances in the private sector.

Brent crude is trading around $64 per barrel today..

Goldman’s baseline forecast is that oil will dip to $62/barrel by December, and to $55/barrel by the end of 2026. That is based on there being a “large reduction in tariffs”, allowing the US economy avoiding a recession, and only moderate supply increases from OPEC+.

This is seen as more likely than the “more extreme and less likely scenario” of a global slowdown and a full unwind of OPEC+ cuts that would send oil below $40.

Updated

Ford: Customer confidence is a challenge in trade war

The chair of Ford UK has flagged the risks that Donald Trump’s trade war hurts consumer confidence, denting demand for new cars.

Speaking to Radio 4’s Today Programme, Lisa Brankin said that “everyone in business” is concerned by the impact of new US tariffs.

Brankin says most of what Ford sells in Europe is made in the region, so there is very little exposure to tariffs.

But “one of the challenges ahead is customer confidence”, Brankin says, adding:

What we really want to make sure is that customer demand remains strong.

Updated

“After multiple punishing sessions, stock markets appear to have started their road to recovery,” says Russ Mould, investment director at brokerage AJ Bell.

Mould explains:

“Asia led the way, including a 6% advance from the Nikkei after Japan effectively jumped to the front of the queue for tariff negotiations with Donald Trump. Reports that Japan would get priority status for talks fired up markets in hope of a resolution.

“Trump has the same end-goal for the countries on which he has imposed new tariffs. He wants to make it easier for US companies to do business overseas, for the partnering countries to buy more US goods, and for the US to get its hands on strategically important assets such as natural resources.

Investors will be pondering whether a breakthrough in tariffs could unleash “the mother of all rebound rallies”, Mould reports, before cautioning:

“Markets could stay fragile for days and weeks to come. It would only take a new sign of aggression from Trump or a trading partner fighting back hard to cause upset again. Market recoveries can quickly lose momentum if investors lose faith in a remedy to the situation that caused the original sell-off.”

The stock market rally appears to be holding firm in London.

The FTSE 100 share index is now up 103 points, or +1.35%, at 7805 points, after 30 minutes trading.

Rolls-Royce, the engineering firm that makes and services jet engines, is now the top riser in London, up 4.7%, followed by British Airways parent company, IAG.

Richard Hunter, head of markets at interactive investor, says it isn’t clear, yet, whether this is a significant “inflection point” or merely a “dead cat bounce”.

It is far too early to say whether the reduced market falls represent an inflection point, or whether they are simply a classic “dead cat bounce”.

The volatility within the US trading session in particular suggest that either is possible, especially since further tariff announcements will follow which could move sentiment in either direction.

Indeed, many investors have noted – with some exasperation – that unlike previous crises where a confluence of factors came together to cause extreme market weakness, this set of events is largely due to the actions of just one person. To some extent, global indices are at the mercy of the President, and the growing backlash which the US is beginning to experience in terms of retaliatory tariffs and increasingly aggressive rhetoric are not even near the end of the beginning.

Updated

UK medical device maker and investment firm warn of tariff impact

Worryingly, some UK companies are reporting that the new US tariffs could hurt their businesses.

Belluscura, a UK medical device company which develops oxygen enrichment technology, has this morning withdrawn its financial guidance for this year.

Belluscura, which is listed on the AIM stock market, told shareholders:

The Company is currently assessing the potential financial implications, risks and opportunities of the imposition of tariffs, in particular the 54% tariff (previously 20%) for goods imported from China, in which a significant proportion of the Company’s Portable Oxygen Concentrators, raw materials and component parts are currently manufactured.

AIM-listed specialist investor Impax has also flagged the threat of tariffs this morning, as it warned the City it expects its full year profits will be below market expectations.

Citing “the impact on global markets of an escalating trade war”, Impax told investors:

“Market conditions in the second half of FY25 remain highly uncertain.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index has jumped by 1.4% in early trading.

Investors are waking up to a positive sight for once, says Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, with stock indices higher across Europe.

But, he cautions:

However, this should hardly be seen as the end of the trouble, especially with President Trump showing no signs of easing his stance on perceived trade imbalances, having doubled down on China. Still, there is a glimmer of hope, as Japanese markets are up nearly 6% following news that trade talks will begin in a few days.

The sooner deals are reached, the quicker companies and investors can gain some clarity on the lay of the land.

Streeting: tariffs add to medicine supply challenges

The UK’s health secretary has warned that US tariffs provide “another layer of challenge” for ensuring the supply of medicines.

Wes Streeting told Sky News:

“Until this trade war erupted, we’d already had issues with medicines production and supply internationally.

We are constantly watching and acting on this situation to try and get medicines into the country, to make sure we’ve got availability, to show some flexibility in terms of how medicines are dispensed, to deal with shortages.

But whether it’s medicines, whether it’s parts for manufacturing, whether it’s ... the ability of businesses in this country to turn a profit, this is an extremely turbulent situation.”

FTSE 100 jumps 1.2% at start of trading as Europe rebounds

Newsflash: Europen stock markets are rising at the start of trading, despite fears that the trade war between the US and China is intensifying.

Following three days of turmoil, the UK’s London stock exchange is regaining some ground. The FTSE 100 share index is 95 points higher in early trading, up 1.2%, at 7799 points.

Airline operator IAG are the top rise, up 4.9%, followed by technology investor Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (+4%), miners, oil companies and banks.

Markets are higher across Europe too; France’s CAC index jumped by 1.8%, and Germany’s DAX is 1.3% higher.

This follows gains in some Asia-Pacific markets today, with Japan’s Nikkei jumping by 6%.

The rally comes despite China’s commerce ministry vowing to fight US tariffs “to the end”, after Donald Trump threatened to impose additional levies of 50% unless Beijing dropped its retaliatory tariffs.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said last night that he hoped tariff rates will come down as negotiations get going with US trading partners.

Jim Reid, market strategist at Deutsche Bank, says that optimism over a US-Japan tariff deal is lifting markets:

He told clients:

The market selloff has shown some initial signs of stabilising after the incredible rout over recent days. For instance, the S&P 500 was “only” down -0.23% yesterday, and futures this morning are up +1.32%, which would be the first positive day since the reciprocal tariffs were announced.

That pattern has been evident globally, and in Asia this morning, the Nikkei (+4.99%) is on course for its best day since the summer turmoil, surging back after Treasury Secretary Bessent said that “I would expect that Japan is going to get priority”.

Updated

China's yuan hits 19-month low after central bank guides currency weaker

China’s currency has weakened to its lowest level in 19 months today.

The yuan, which is tightly controlled by the People’s Bank of China, dropped to 7.3363 to the dollar, the weakest level since September 2023.

The yuan slipped after the PBOC lowered its target rate for the yuan to 7.2038/dollar (it can then trade in a 2% band aroud that point).

A weaker yuan could help China’s exports more competitive overseas, which could be valuable in a global trade war and could cushion higher tariffs at the US border.

Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, says the yuan has slipped past the ‘line in the sand’:

The PBOC just crossed the line in the sand — today’s fix dropped on the wrong side of 7.20 for the first time since 2023. That level wasn’t just psychological — it was the unofficial devaluation threshold. Translation: this isn’t a warning shot, it’s Beijing quietly signaling that something much bigger could be coming.

We flagged this yesterday, even as certain anti-Trump media corners tried to spin a weaker yuan as some kind of export booster. Let’s be honest: devaluation isn’t stimulus — it’s desperation. And it comes with serious tail risk.

Updated

Berenberg: UK is well placed to weather the tariff shock

The UK is “well placed to weather the tariff shock” rippling out from the US, argues Berenberg bank in a research note this morning.

Berenberg say they expect many of Donald Trump’s new tariffs to be negotiated away in the next three months, containing the global damage. However, the worst-case scenario of a global recession cannot be ruled out, they say.

In that situation, though, the UK – “No longer the leader in economic self-harm”, they say – could do quite well.

They argue:

The UK has not been short of policies that damage the economy over the past decade. But the US administration’s assault on foreign trade will overshadow the UK’s missteps.

If Donald Trump’s trade war and the equity market sell-off trigger a global recession, the UK would of course struggle. However, the UK is relatively well placed to weather the tariff shock. The additional 10% rate it faces is at the bottom end of the range imposed by the US. Healthy consumer finances, lower energy prices and a fall in interest-rate expectations will also help.

Despite this, UK equity prices have fallen by as much as their European counterparts in the year to date.

The UK’s weakness as an exporter could even turn into a strength in the current environment, Berenberg add:

UK goods exports to the US account for less than 2% of GDP (most of which are re-exports), compared to 3.2% for the Eurozone. The share of UK value added embodied in US demand is well below 1% of GDP. UK government calculations imply that the 10% tariff will directly reduce GDP by less than 0.1%.

In our view, the UK could even stand to make a gain. Some UK producers may gain US market share from worse-hit competitors, and international companies could relocate operations to the UK to avoid higher charges. Admittedly, the spillover from slower growth in economies worse affected by US tariffs will ensure that, in absolute terms, UK growth is weaker than it otherwise would have been.

Wall Street is set to open higher too, despite the latest threats being exchanged between Beijing and Washington DC.

After several days of heavy selling, European stock markets are on track to open higher in an hour’s time.

The futures market is indicating that stocks will rally today in London, with the FTSE 100 share index being called up 167 points, or 2.2%. That would recover about half of yesterday’s losses, and lift the ‘Footsie’ back up from Monday’s one-year low.

Germany’s DAX is also set for a rally – it’s up 2% in pre-market trading.

Summary

If you’re just catching up with today’s continued market ructions over Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, here’s a recap of where we stand.

  • China’s government says it will “fight to the end” if the US continues to escalate the trade war, after the US president threatened 50% additional tariffs in response to Beijing’s retaliatory measures, ramping up the chances of a disastrous stand-off between the two economic superpowers. China’s commerce ministry accused Washington of “blackmail” and said Trump’s threats of steeper tariffs if Beijing did not reverse its own 34% reciprocal tariff were a “mistake on top of a mistake” and that China would “resolutely take countermeasures”.

  • Asian markets appeared to improve slightly in early trading on Tuesday, a day after a torrid Monday on global markets that prompted the billionaire investor Bill Ackman, one of the US president’s backers in the 2024 race for the White House, to call for a moratorium.

  • Tokyo traded up more than 6%, recovering much of Monday’s drop, after Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba held talks with Trump. Nippon Steel added about 11% after Trump launched a review of its proposed takeover of US Steel that was blocked by Joe Biden, his predecessor.

  • Hong Kong gained more than 2% but was well off recouping Monday’s loss of more than 13% that was the biggest one-day retreat since 1997.

  • Shanghai was also up on Tuesday after China’s central bank promised to back major state-backed fund Central Huijin Investment in a bid to maintain “the smooth operation of the capital market”. Sydney, Seoul, Wellington and Manila also rose.

  • The advance followed a less painful day on Wall Street, where the S&P and Dow fell but pared earlier losses, while the Nasdaq edged up. Oil prices also enjoyed some respite, gaining more than 1%.

  • Others did not fare as well, amid analyst warnings that things could get worse. Taipei shed more than 4% to extend the previous day’s record loss of 9.7%, while Singapore also suffered further selling. Trading in Jakarta was suspended soon after the open as it plunged more than 9% as investors returned from an extended holiday, while the bourse in Vietnam – which has been hit with 46% tariffs – shed 5%.

  • The European Commission has proposed counter-tariffs of 25% on a range of US goods, while saying it stands ready to negotiate a “zero for zero” deal with Trump. The 27-member EU – already hit with tariffs on vehicles and metals – faces another 20% on other items from Wednesday. EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic told a news conference: “Sooner or later, we will sit at the negotiation table with the US and find a mutually acceptable compromise.”
    With Helen Davidson and agencies

Updated

Taiwan’s foreign minister, Lin Chia-lung, has said it can have negotiations with the US at any time over tariffs, as the island’s stock market steadied after plunging on Monday.

Taiwan – a major semiconductor producer – was singled out by Donald Trump as among the US trading partners with one of the highest trade surpluses with the country and was hit with a 32% duty.

Taiwan’s president, Lai Ching-te, on Sunday proposed a zero-tariffs regime with the US, and to invest more in the country and remove trade barriers.

Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of parliament on Tuesday, Lin said Taiwan was ready to talk about a variety of issues with the US, including investment in and purchases from the country and non-tariff barriers, Reuters reports. He said:

As long as there is a confirmed time and method for negotiations, they can be discussed at any time with the United States.

The premier, Cho Jung-tai, also speaking at parliament, confirmed Taiwan was among the US trading partners seeking talks and said the government would choose an appropriate time to present Lai’s plans to the US.

Taiwan’s benchmark stock index, which logged its worst fall ever on Monday, down almost 10%, fell another 4% on Tuesday morning to its lowest level in 14 months. Shares in TSMC , the world’s largest contract chipmaker, dropped around 4%.

Shares in Foxconn, Apple’s biggest iPhone maker, dropped almost 10%, their daily down limit, extending their previous day’s fall.

Updated

Recapping Asian market movements so far today, stocks appeared to find a firmer footing after the gut-wrenching few days for investors that prompted some business leaders – including those close to Donald Trump – to urge the US president to reverse course.

Agence France-Presse reports that Japan’s Nikkei index rose 6% on Tuesday, rebounding from a one-and-a-half-year low hit in the previous session, after Trump and Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba agreed to open trade talks in a phone call late Monday.

Chinese blue-chips climbed 0.7%, recouping a fraction of the more than 7% slide on Monday. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index jumped 2% after suffering the worst day since 1997 as a result of what the trading hub’s leader called “ruthless” tariffs.

US stock futures also pointed higher after slumping to the lowest level in more than a year.

Indonesian markets were slammed, however, with stocks shedding 9% and the rupiah currency ploughing a record low as trading resumed on Tuesday after an extended holiday.

Trump said the tariffs would help the US recapture an industrial base he says has withered over decades of trade liberalisation, telling reporters at the White House:

It’s the only chance our country will have to reset the table. Because no other president would be willing to do what I’m doing, or to even go through it.

Updated

In New Zealand, Christian Hawkesby has been appointed as governor of its central bank for a six-month period, finance minister Nicola Willis said on Tuesday.

Hawkesby had been serving as its acting governor since the surprise resignation of Adrian Orr last month.

Willis said Hawkesby was an experienced central banker who had held a number of senior positions at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and would help ensure its “continued integrity and operations” while a search for a permanent governor was under way, Reuters reports.

During his term, the board would support Hawkesby to implement the bank’s new five-year funding agreement applying from 1 July, Willis said.

Updated

Gold prices rebound amid demand for save havens

Gold prices bounced back on Tuesday from a near four-week low reached in the previous session as concerns over a global trade war increased investor appetite for safe-haven assets.

Spot gold was up 0.5% at $2,996.6 an ounce, as of 0340 GMT. Bullion hit its lowest level since March 13 on Monday, Reuters reports. US gold futures gained 1.3% to $3,010.70.

“Escalation of the trade war could trigger a global recession, and that is driving safe-haven demand,” said a senior analyst at Reliance Securities, Jigar Trivedi.

“Despite slipping in the previous sessions, gold is still strong and should remain on the upward trend” because of the bullish undertone.

Gold, often considered a safe investment during times of political and financial uncertainty, scaled an all-time peak of $3,167.57 on 3 April.

Markets will be closely monitoring minutes from the US Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting, scheduled for release on Wednesday.

Traders also await US consumer price index data, due on Thursday, and the producer price index on Friday for US interest rate cues amid the escalating global trade war and recession fears.

Updated

Thai stocks tumble on open

Shares in Thailand have fallen more than 4% at open after Monday’s holiday break, AFP is reporting.

Updated

Canada’s prime minister has said the likelihood of a US recession has risen significantly because of Donald Trump’s tariffs and that will have a major negative effect on the Canadian economy.

Mark Carney also told a televised news conference he had spoken with Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem and finance minister Francois-Philippe Champagne on Monday about the market turmoil, expressing confidence in both of them.

Meanwhile, Canada has requested World Trade Organisation dispute consultations with the US over Trump’s decision to impose a 25% duty on cars and car parts from Canada, the trade body said.

Canada claims the measures are inconsistent with US obligations under various provisions under the general agreement on tariffs and trade, Reuters quotes the WTO as saying.

Updated

Stocks in Vietnam have now dropped by 5% shortly after opening – they are playing catch-up because Monday was a national holiday.

The manufacturing hub has been seeking a last-minute delay to US tariffs of 46% announced last week. Vietnam counted the US as its biggest export market in the first three months of the year, and is the biggest provider of shoes to Nike and Adidas.

Leader To Lam has asked Trump for a delay of at least 45 days to the new levies, according to a copy of a formal letter seen by AFP.

Updated

Spanish prime minister Pedro Sanchez aims to open new market opportunities during a visit to China and Vietnam this week on the heels of Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs.

The trip comes as the European Union rethinks its global trading relationships amid turmoil caused by the US import duties announced last week that have sent world markets into a tailspin, Agence France-Presse reports.

Sanchez is to arrive in Hanoi on Wednesday for talks with Vietnam’s top leader, To Lam, on the same day Trump’s 20% tariffs on EU products come into effect.

On Thursday, he will travel to Ho Chi Minh City, the Asian manufacturing powerhouse’s commercial capital, to meet business leaders.

Sanchez then heads to China for his third visit in just over two years, where he is scheduled to meet President Xi Jinping and Chinese investors on Friday.

Updated

India's Nifty 50 set to open higher after plunge

India’s benchmark Nifty 50 is expected to open higher today, rebounding after it logged its steepest single-day drop in 10 months.

The GIFT Nifty futures were trading at 22,683 as of 8.03am IST, indicating that Nifty would open 2.3% higher than its Monday close of 22,161.6, Reuters reports

The Nifty and the 30-stock BSE Sensex fell 3.2% and 3%, respectively, on Monday, compared to the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index’s 8.4% fall, as a US tariff-fuelled sell-off triggered anxiety among investors.

The total market value of all NSE-listed companies has fallen by $280bn in three sessions since the US tariff announcement last Wednesday.

Most Wall Street equities closed lower overnight. And while Indian equities could likely rebound, “the current investor sentiment is characterised by uncertainty and fear, and it will persist till the time a new normal for global trade is established”, said Shiv Chanani, fund manager of equity at Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

The Nifty volatility index – or the fear index – jumped 66% to 22.79, the biggest daily rise in 10 years.

Dhupesh Dhameja, a derivatives research analyst at Samco Securities, said:

The dramatic rise in the volatility index highlights a surge in market anxiety and signals uncertainty among investors ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy meeting.

Vietnam and Indonesia stocks fall

Vietnam’s stocks are down more than 3.5% after the trading holiday, AFP is reporting, while Indonesian shares have plummeted over 9% at open.

Updated

A libertarian group backed by US billionaires Leonard Leo and Charles Koch has mounted a legal challenge against Donald Trump’s tariff regime, in a sign of spreading rightwing opposition to a policy that has sent international markets plummeting.

The New Civil Liberties Alliance filed a suit against Trump’s imposition of import tariffs on exports from China, arguing that doing so under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act – which the president has invoked to justify the duties on nearly all countries – is unlawful.

The group’s actions echo support given by four Republican senators last week for a Democratic amendment calling for the reversal of 25% tariffs imposed on Canada.

You can read the full story here:

Updated

China vows to fight Trump tariffs 'to the end'

China’s commerce ministry has vowed to fight US tariffs “to the end” after Donald Trump threatened fresh levies of 50% on imports from the world’s second-largest economy.

“The US threat to escalate tariffs against China is a mistake on top of a mistake, which once again exposes the US’s blackmailing nature,” a ministry spokesperson said on Tuesday.

“China will never accept this,” AFP quoted them as saying.

If the US insists on going its own way, China will fight it to the end.

If the US escalates its tariff measures, China will resolutely take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests.

Trump upended the world economy last week with sweeping tariffs that have raised fears of an international recession and triggered criticism even from within his own Republican Party.

As the trade war escalates, Beijing – Washington’s major economic rival – unveiled its own 34% duties on US goods to come into effect on Thursday.

China’s commerce ministry on Tuesday also reiterated that it sought “dialogue” with the US, and that there were “no winners in a trade war”.

Updated

Hong Kong shares rise as Shanghai dips

Hong Kong stocks opened 1.66% higher after Monday’s collapse, while Shanghai stocks extended their losses at open amid the increasing US-China trade war.

Taiwan stocks fell 3% in early trade, AFP reports.

Updated

South Korea sets 3 June election date

South Korea’s government has approved Tuesday 3 June as the date for a snap presidential election, following the removal from office of Yoon Suk Yeol last week over his declaration of martial law.

The move comes after Yoon’s removal after the country’s constitutional court voted unanimously on Friday to uphold parliament’s decision to impeach him over his ill-fated declaration of martial law in December.

The ruling meant the acting president, Han Duck-soo, would remain in office until the country elected a new leader within 60 days.

Updated

China’s central bank said on Tuesday it supported sovereign wealth fund Central Huijin Investment increasing its holdings in stock market index funds.

The People’s Bank of China would provide re-lending support to Central Huijin Investment, a unit of China Investment Corp, when necessary to maintain the smooth operation of the capital market, it added in a statement quoted by Reuters.

On Monday, Huijin intervened to support domestic stocks that had plunged on US tariff woes.

Updated

Back now to Asian markets, which opened higher on Tuesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 share benchmark up 5.5% after it fell nearly 8% a day earlier.

The Nikkei had jumped to 32,819.08 a half-hour after the market in Tokyo opened.

South Korea’s Kospi gained 2%.

Markets in New Zealand and Australia also were higher.

The rebound followed a wild day on Wall Street as US stocks careened after Donald Trump threatened to ratchet up his double-digit tariffs, as the Associated Press reports.

Asian markets plunged on Monday, with stocks in Hong Kong diving 13.2% for their worst day since 1997, during the Asian financial crisis.

The S&P 500 ended down 0.2% on Monday as battered markets watched to see what Donald Trump would do next in his trade war.

Updated

With global stock markets reeling from Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping border taxes, some of the US president’s business allies have been left counting the cost.

The world’s 500 richest people lost a collective $536bn in the first two days of stock market trading after Trump’s “liberation day” announcement last Wednesday. It was the biggest two-day loss of wealth ever recorded by Bloomberg’s billionaires index.

Within that, a coterie of tycoons who have supported Trump or attended his inauguration in January have seen their wealth shrink. Here, we look at the four who have been worst hit by the market turmoil – and one billionaire still riding high this year.

Several Chinese state holding companies have vowed to increase share investment as Beijing steps up efforts to stabilise a plunging stock market.

Tuesday’s announcements by China Chengtong Holdings Group and China Reform Holdings Corp came after Chinese state fund Central Huijin said on Monday it would increase share holdings to foster stability in markets, Reuters reports.

China’s stock benchmark dived 7% on Monday amid investor worries about the risk of a damaging trade war and a global recession.

Washington last week imposed extra tariffs of 34% on China, which then fired back with its own 34% levies on US imports, prompting Donald Trump to threaten an additional 50% tariffs on Chinese goods if Beijing did not retract the countermeasure.

Chengtong said its investment units would increase holdings in stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) to safeguard market stability.

“We are firmly optimistic toward the growth prospects of China’s capital markets,” the state investment firm said in a statement, vowing to support high-quality growth of Chinese listed companies.

China Reform Holdings Corp, also known as Guoxin, said in a separate statement that an investment unit would increase holdings in tech companies, state firms and ETFs, tapping a relending scheme for share buybacks. Initial investment will be 80bn yuan ($10.95bn).

Another state holding company, China Electronics Technology Group, said it would boost share buybacks in listed units to bolster investor confidence.

Updated

South Korea mulls increasing US imports ahead of minister's Washington visit

South Korea’s trade minister said the government has been considering packages of measures to increase US imports, as he headed to visit Washington to negotiate over Trump’s tariffs.

Cheong In-kyo said on Tuesday ahead of the trip that it was good news Donald Trump had said the door was open for talks over tariffs with nations other than China, Reuters reports.

“It is difficult to reduce exports, so shouldn’t we then increase [US] imports? In that regard, we have been reviewing many different packages to resolve the trade balance problem,” Cheong said.

He said the government had been internally discussing increasing LNG imports from the US.

In Japan, meanwhile, prime minister Shigeru Ishiba will nominate economy minister Ryosei Akazawa as trade negotiator with the US, FNN television reported on Tuesday.

Ishiba and Trump agreed to open bilateral talks on tariffs during a phone meeting on Monday.

Trump has put Treasury secretary Scott Bessent and US trade representative Jamieson Greer in charge of trade negotiations with Japan, Bessent said on social media.

Updated

Nikkei jumps 5% after steep falls

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index has now risen 5%, news reports are saying.

The jump comes after financial markets across the globe posted a third day of losses on Monday as investors worried that steep trade barriers around the world’s largest consumer market could lead to a recession.

The S&P 500 closed lower after US stocks swung in and out of the red on Monday morning as a report circulated that Donald Trump was going to pause the implementation of his sweeping tariffs for 90 days. But that was quickly dismissed by the White House as “fake news”.

Today’s rise comes after the US president’s new ultimatum to China marked the latest escalation from Washington. Trump has threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on imports from China on Wednesday unless it rescinds its retaliatory 34% tariff on US imports by Tuesday.

But China said on Monday it would not cave in to pressure and threats.

Updated

Nikkei rises on opening

Japan’s Nikkei share average is up 1.9% after the Tokyo stock market’s opening this morning, Reuters is reporting.

Updated

Trump rejects EU 'zero-zero' tariff proposal

The European Union said on Monday it had offered “zero-for-zero” tariffs to the US weeks before Trump’s tariff announcement and was in negotiations with the administration.

But Donald Trump didn’t appear keen on the offer, telling reporters zero-zero tariffs were not going to happen.

Trump said selling energy to the EU would be a key focus as his administration seeks to eliminate a trade deficit with the bloc.

“The European Union’s been very bad to us,” Trump said, accusing European nations of not buying enough US goods.

They’re going to have to buy their energy from us, because they need it and they’re going to have to buy it from us. They can buy it – we can knock off $350 billion in one week.

Opening summary

Hello and welcome to our coverage of the global stock market response to Donald Trump’s sweeping trade tariffs following the huge falls on Asian markets yesterday.

Extreme volatility plagued global stock markets on Monday, with Wall Street swinging in and out of the red as Trump defied stark warnings that his worldwide trade assault will wreak widespread economic damage, comparing new US tariffs to medicine.

A renewed sell-off began in Asia, before hitting European equities and reaching the US. It was briefly reversed amid hopes of a reprieve, only for Trump to threaten China with more steep tariffs, intensifying pressure on the market.

China said Monday it would not cave in to threats after Trump vowed an additional 50% tariffs on its goods if Beijing did not retract planned countermeasures.

“We have stressed more than once that pressuring or threatening China is not a right way to engage with us,” Liu Pengyu, a spokesperson for Beijing’s embassy in the US, told Agence-France Presse. “China will firmly safeguard its legitimate rights and interests.”

Interactive

The US president later dampened hopes of a reprieve further when he told reporters in the Oval Office he was “not looking at” pausing tariffs to allow for negotiations.

During a bilateral meeting with Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, Trump was asked if the tariffs were permanent or open to negotiations. Trump responded: “They can both be true, there can be permanent tariffs and there can be negotiations.”

“There are things we need beyond tariffs, like open borders,” Trump insisted – once again hitting out at China, claiming “China is a closed country” charging too high tariffs. He did confirm the US was talking to Beijing about the tariffs.

It looks set to be another bumpy ride on the markets today. Follow along for the latest news, reaction and analysis.

Updated

 

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