Angela Monaghan 

Unilever abandons plans to move HQ as US jobless rate falls to lowest since 1969 – as it happened

The consumer goods giant behind Marmite and Persil is abandoning plans to move its headquarters from London to Rotterdam after mounting shareholder opposition
  
  

Unilever, behind brands such as Marmite and Pot Noodle, has abandoned plans to move from London to the Netherlands
Unilever, behind brands such as Marmite and Pot Noodle, has abandoned plans to move from London to the Netherlands Photograph: Chris Radburn/PA

Closing summary

The day has been dominated by the news that Unilever is abandoning its plans to move its headquarters from London to Rotterdam, bowing down to pressure from institutional investors.

The maker of Marmite, Persil and Ben & Jerry’s ice cream said it is now considering its “next steps”.

Many questions remain, not least what the remarkable climb down means for Unilever’s chief executive Paul Polman, and its chairman Marijn Dekkers.

The move was welcomed here in the UK, but not so in the Netherlands.

European markets remain a sea of red. The FTSE 100 is down 1.1% or 85 points at 7,333. Investors have been concerned about the sell-off in the bond market, as traders factor in faster rate rises by the Fed.

Trading on Wall Street is subdued after some mixed US jobs data. Non-farm payrolls came in weaker than expected at 134,000, partly because of Hurricane Florence, but the unemployment rate fell to 3.7% - the weakest since 1969.

That’s all for today. Thank you for all your comments and please join us again on Monday.

Wall Street opens flat after jobs data

US markets are open and this is how it looks:

  • Dow Jones: +0.05% at 26,640
  • S&P 500: +0.02% at 2,902
  • Nasdaq: -0.07% at 7,874

Updated

The dollar has fallen after the jobs data, helping the pound up 0.5% at $1.3082.

Two minutes until the opening bell on Wall Street.

Here is our full story on the US jobs report from the Guardian’s economics editor, Larry Elliott:

US jobless rate lowest since 1969

While job creation in the US slowed in September, the unemployment rate fell to a near 49-year low of 3.7%, down from 3.9% in August.

Economists were forecasting a smaller dip to 3.8%.

Michael Pearce, US economist at Capital Economics says the Federal Reserve will press on with rate hikes despite the weaker non-farm payrolls number:

The weaker 134,000 gain in payrolls in September may partly reflect some hit from Hurricane Florence and with large upward revisions to previous months’ gains, plus a fall in the unemployment rate to the lowest level since 1969, there is little in this report to stop the Fed continuing to raise interest rates gradually.

US futures rose briefly when the US payrolls figure came in lower than expected but have since dipped back into the red.

Bond yields also fell briefly but are now rising again. The yield on 30-year US government bonds has hit a fresh four-year high of 3.396%.

The dollar index - measuring the US currency against a basket of others - is flat at 95.75.

The US Labor department says the weaker-than-expected figures are partly explained by Hurricane Florence, which affected trade in bars, restaurants and hotels.

Hurricane Florence affected parts of the East Coast during the September reference periods for the establishment and household surveys.

Employment in leisure and hospitality was little changed over the month (-17,000). Prior to September, employment in the industry had been on a modest upward trend. Some of the weakness in this industry in September may reflect the impact of Hurricane Florence.

US non-farm payrolls weaker than expected

Breaking: A fairly big downside surprise in non-farm payrolls, which came in at 134,000 in September compared with expectations for 185,000.

The figure for August was revised up to 270,000 from 201,000.

Annual earnings growth came in at 2.8%, as expected, and down from 2.9% in August.

Updated

It’s US non-farm payrolls day, and investors await the figures as keenly as ever.

Economists polled by Reuters are predicting 185k for September, up from 204k last month.

Average earnings are expected to come in at 2.8%, a touch lower than last month’s 2.9%.

Rachel Reeves, Labour MP and chair of the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy committee, makes the point that Unilever announced the plans to move its headquarters from London after fending off a takeover approach from America’s Kraft Heinz early last year:

Whatever the arguments made for incorporating into the Netherlands, there was a real suspicion that, in the wake of the hostile bid from Kraft Heinz, part of the motive for the move was that UK rules too easily allow takeovers.

As a committee, we will want to consider looking at the government’s white paper on foreign takeovers to see whether the new regime should include additional safeguards.

European markets fall as investor confidence falters

European markets are a sea of red this morning, as rising US bond yields, pressure on emerging markets, and Italy’s rising debts weigh on confidence.

  • FTSE 100: -0.6% at 7,375
  • Germany’s DAX: -0.6% at 12,169
  • France’s CAC: -0.4% at 5,387
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB: -1% at 20,413
  • Spain’s IBEX: -0.4% at 9,281
  • Europe’s STOXX 600: -0.5% at 378

David Madden, analyst at CMC Markets, says US bond yields could rise further - piling more pressure on emerging markets - if the non-farm payrolls report comes in stronger than expected at 1.30pm (BST):

Stocks are firmly in the red as investors are worried about rising US government bond yields, emerging market economies, and Italy’s political situation. The rise in US yields could put additional pressure on emerging economies, and the US non-farm payrolls report later today could drive yields even higher if we see a positive update.

The Italian government are holding their nerve and are determined to disobey Brussels, and pursue increased government spending in a bid to boost economic activity. The political rumbling regarding Italy might spark another round of the Italian debt crisis.

The business secretary, Greg Clark, gives his reaction to Unilever:

Interesting reference to the industrial strategy, which a year on from the announcement is still without the independent watchdog required to get it up and running:

Royal London Asset Management (which has 0.7% stake in Unilever, worth roughly £360m) was one of the public opponents to Unilever’s plans and has responded to the firm’s decision to scrap them:

We welcome the decision the board of Unilever has taken. They have listened to shareholder concerns and responded in a constructive way.

As a high quality company with a talented management team, we are pleased we and other UK investors can now share in the future growth of the company. We look forward to continued engagement with Unilever on the next steps.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, says Unilever’s decision to back track on plans to move its HQ to Rotterdam shows the power of institutional investors and puts pressure on the board.

Today’s climbdown from Unilever over a plan which would have necessitated its exit from the FTSE 100 is an example of the power institutional investors can wield when they act in concert with one another.

This brings into the question the credibility of Unilever’s insistence that the vast majority of shareholders were ‘fully supportive’ of its proposals ahead of the vote deadline in the UK and the Netherlands later this month.

Abandoning its dual UK-Dutch stock market listing and moving its HQ to Rotterdam would have made Unilever, one of the London market’s leading lights, ineligible for the FTSE and many institutions complained they would have been forced sellers of the shares.

The episode looks to have been badly mis-managed and the position of chief executive Paul Polman and the rest of the board is likely to come under severe scrutiny.

The Investment Association, a trade body representing UK fund managers, says there was no reason for UK shareholders to vote in favour of Unilever’s move to Rotterdam, and has welcomed the firm’s decision to scrap the plans.

The feedback from many of our members has been that there was no compelling reason for Plc shareholders to accept the proposed simplification in this form. They did not believe it would be in the long-term interests of their clients, and would have resulted in many shareholders being forced to sell their shares.

We welcome the fact that Unilever has listened to the feedback from their shareholders and not pushed ahead with their plans. We look forward to engaging with the company on their future plans.

The Dutch employers organisation VNO-NCW is blaming Brexit for Unilever’s decision:

The website DutchNews.nl quotes the organisation:

[We are sorry that] such an important decision has become swept up in the turbulent political developments in the UK.

It is also an indication of what Brexit means, a hard fight for corporate locations.

Unilever’s decision to keep its headquarters in London is a “huge blow” for the Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and “a bit of a shocker.”

Reaction from the Netherlands:

Dutch PM under pressure over Unilever decision

The UK is happily celebrating Unilever’s decision to abandon plans to move its headquarters from London to Rotterdam.

But the mood in the Netherlands is likely to be less cheery, particularly as Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte was working on plans to scrap a dividend tax in what was seen as a bid to attract Unilever.

Reuters has this report:

Unilever’s withdrawal of plans to move its headquarters to Rotterdam looked likely on Friday to trigger political fallout for Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte over his unpopular proposal to scrap a withholding tax on dividends.

Unilever said it had given up on moving to Rotterdam for now under pressure from shareholders at its British arm, who worried about the future tax treatment of Dutch dividends.

Rutte, who worked for Unilever from 1992-2002 before entering politics, had yet to respond to the news early on Friday.

But he will be bracing for a barrage of questions at his weekly press conference later in the day over whether the 15% dividend tax - earmarked for removal in theory to attract foreign investment - will now be retained after all.

While doubts have grown in recent weeks among dual-listed Unilever investors over the wisdom of the move to a sole HQ in the Netherlands, Rutte has been fighting an increasingly lonely battle in favour of scrapping the tax.

UK house prices fall 1.4% in September

Halifax is reporting a 1.4% fall in UK house prices in September, the sharpest monthly fall since April.

It followed a 0.2% fall in August, and defied expectations of a 0.2% rise.

The average price of a UK home was £225,995. On an annual basis, prices were 2.5% higher.

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomic, cautions that Halifax’s house price index tends to be volatile.

Halifax’s data is very noisy, so we doubt September’s data signal that the Bank of England’s increase in Bank rate in August has pushed the housing market over the edge.

Sustained falls in house prices at a national level aren’t likely. Even so, the combination of rising mortgage rates and heightened economic uncertainty will weigh on demand over the next six months, ensuring that year-over-year growth in house prices barely exceeds zero.

Updated

Mayor of London welcomes Unilever's decision

The Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, has welcomed Unilever’s decision to keep its headquarters in the capital city.

He says that despite Brexit, London will always be one of the best places to base a business.

It’s great news that Unilever has chosen to keep its HQ in London and abandoned plans to move it to Rotterdam.

Despite Theresa May’s appalling mishandling of the Brexit negotiations, the capital will always be one of the best cities in the world in which to do business.

As Unilever works out its “next steps”, it is not yet clear where the unravelled plans leave the company’s chairman and chief executive.

Unilever shares edge (slightly) higher

Shares in Unilever have opened a touch higher, after the FTSE 100 company announced it would not press ahead with plans to abandon its dual listing.

Its fair to say it’s a muted reaction, with shares now up just 0.1% at £40.78.

The decision to abandon the plans for a move to Rotterdam will be a major blow to Unilever’s chief executive, Paul Polman, and the wider board.

The plan was going to go to two polls - one in the Netherlands on 25 October, requiring the support of 50% of voting shareholders, and one in the UK on 26 October, requiring 75% support.

The London vote was always going to be the tricky one.

Unilever acknowledged the lack of support in their statement this morning:

We have had an extensive period of engagement with shareholders and have received widespread support for the principle behind simplification.

However, we recognise that the proposal has not received support from a significant group of shareholders and therefore consider it appropriate to withdraw.

Unions had also come out against Unilever’s planned move, arguing that it was vital for the maker of Ben & Jerry’s ice cream and other companies to stay in the UK.

Unite national officer Rhys McCarthy said:

Investors understand the need for great British-based companies like Unilever to retain their headquarters in the UK.

The UK’s weak takeover rules which put short-termism ahead of the long term are clearly a major factor in Unilever’s proposed move following a failed hostile takeover bid, as is the swirling uncertainty around Brexit.

Ministers need to get a grip on Brexit and toughen takeover rules to stop more firms like Unilever seeking to flee overseas.

A raft of shareholders had publicly come out in opposition to Unilever’s plan to abandon its dual governance structure and switch its headquarters from London to Rotterdam.

UK investors including Aviva Investors, Columbia Threadneedle, L&G, M&G, Royal London and Schroders had all stated they would vote against the plans.

One of the main points of opposition was that Unilever would likely be ejected from the FTSE 100 - having been an original constituent in 1984 - and the FSTE All-share.

Updated

Unilever abandons plans to move to Netherlands

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

Breaking news: Unilever has abandoned plans to move its headquarters from London to Rotterdam, after finally bowing to investor pressure.

It means the consumer giant will remain listed on the FTSE 100 – one of the most contentious points in its planned move.

Announcing the decision, which will be a major blow for the board, Unilever’s chairman Marijn Dekkers, said they will now consider the “next steps”.

Unilever has built a long track record of consistent and competitive performance. The board continues to believe that simplifying our dual-headed structure would, over time, provide opportunities to further accelerate value creation and serve the best long-term interests of Unilever.

The board will now consider its next steps and will continue to engage with our shareholders. We will proceed with the plan to cancel the NV preference shares, further strengthening our corporate governance.

More on Unilever soon.

Also coming up:

  • 8.30am BST: UK house prices for September, report by Halifax
  • 1.30pm BST: US non-farm payrolls for September

We’ll also bring you the latest from markets, where bonds are under pressure as expectations build for more US rate rises.

 

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