Graeme Wearden (earlier) and Jasper Jolly 

Markets resume slide amid Covid-19 fears; Chinese factory profits slump – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as China’s manufacturing sector and UK car makers are hit by the coronavirus
  
  

Workers wearing masks at an electric motor factory of Harbin Electric Corporation
Workers wearing masks at an electric motor factory of Harbin Electric Corporation Photograph: China News Service/China News Service via Getty Images

Closing summary: A weak end to a stronger week

The positive run on European stock markets had to end at some point. Sure enough, after three days of strong gains, major indices were in retreat on Friday as more companies gave warning about their exposure to the crisis.

Here are some of the important developments:

  • The FTSE 100 lost 5.25% on Friday, but that poor day still made it the best week since July 2016, in the aftermath of the Brexit referendum. For the entire week the FTSE 100 is up 5.93%, a 307.85 point gain.
  • Wall Street stock market indices also declined, despite the passing of the $2tn stimulus package that had driven buying in the middle of the week. The S&P 500 had lost 2.9% at the time of writing, while the Dow Jones industrial average lost 3.2%.
  • Housebuilders slumped in the UK after the government advised the property market be put on hold.
  • Gatwick Airport said it will close one of its two terminals next week and only operate flights in an eight-hour window every day with most passenger air travel now suspended.
  • Tui, the travel and tourism giant, is to be kept afloat with a €1.8bn bridging loan from the German state bank.

As ever, you can continue to follow our coverage of the coronavirus crisis across our live blogs:

In the UK, Michael Gove (standing in for quarantined prime minister Boris Johnson) says the rate of infection doubling every three to four days

In the US, the House passes $2tn economic stimulus package

And in our global coverage, a record rise in the Italian death toll takes its grim total to 9,134

Thank you for reading in what has been another dramatic week. Join us again on Monday for more coverage of business, economics and markets. JJ

Some more details of employees in the media business who are being furloughed.

The publisher of The Week, Dennis Publishing, will put 130 on leave.

Tui to receive €1.8bn emergency loan from German state bank

Tui, the travel and tourism giant, is to be kept afloat with a €1.8bn bridging loan from the German state bank.

The German government gave its approval for the emergency funding after Tui was forced to suspend all its products - holidays, tours and cruises – on 16 March, as countries around the world restricted travel until the coronavirus crisis passes.

Fritz Joussen, chief executive of Tui Group, said it was a “very healthy company”.

We were economically successful before the crisis and will be again … However, we are temporarily a company with no product and no revenue. This situation must be bridged.

In 2019, Tui posted operating profits of almost €900m – hit last year to the tune of €300m by the grounding of the Boeing 737 Max.

January 2020 was the strongest booking month in the company’s history – just before the pandemic erupted, making months of bookings redundant.

No10 has released more information about the effort to make 30,000 medical ventilators, including that there are seven separate projects underway.

They include:

  • Ventilator Challenge UK, which is a vast consortium of firms including Airbus, Ford and Rolls-Royce
  • New prototype machines by engineer Dyson and defence firm Babcock, imports from overseas by companies including Inspiration Healthcare
  • A ramped-up production effort by specialist firm Breas UK, and
  • “Project Pitlane”, a collaboration Formula 1 teams, some of whom are also part of Ventilator Challenge UK. The F1 teams revealed details of Project Pitlane in a press release today.

The NHS already has 8,175 ventilators and is expecting 8,000 more within weeks, on the way to a target of producing 30,000.

FTSE 100 falls heavily, but still best week since Brexit vote aftermath

The FTSE 100 lost 5.25% on Friday after what must be one of the most volatile weeks in recent memory - but that still made it the best week since July 2016, in the aftermath of the Brexit referendum.

For the entire week the FTSE 100 is up 5.93%, a 307.85 point gain

The FTSE 100 has provisionally closed down by 5.45% at 5,498 points.

And it’s worth checking in on the pound. Already on course for a strong week yesterday, it is now up against the US dollar by 1.8%, hitting highs of $1.2424. It started the day below $1.22!

The pound has recovered from historically weak levels against the dollar as the funding squeeze that rattled markets has eased. The dollar index against a trade-weighted basket of currencies is back where it was on 17 March.

Fast fashion retailer Quiz has become the latest to close its website because of concerns over the health of workers in its warehouses.

The company will close its websites from later today, after shutting its shops on 22 March. Here’s the snippet from its statement:

Having taken feedback from the Group’s employees working at QUIZ’s distribution centre, and in order to prioritise their safety and wellbeing, the Board has now taken the decision to temporarily close its online operations until further notice. QUIZ’s websites will temporarily close from later today, with the distribution centre closing within the next 24 hours.

There’s no detail in the statement on the status of the workers, although it is likely they will be covered by the government’s guarantee that it will pay 80% of wages for staff who are furloughed rather than made redundant.

Professor Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, is self-isolating for the next seven days after experiencing symptoms of coronavirus last night.

You can follow more news from the UK here:

The boss of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that it is critical to protect workers and keep companies out of bankruptcy in order to enable a quick economic recovery.

Kristaline Georgieva, the IMF’s managing director, said that the fiscal response to the coronavirus pandemic was bigger than that directed towards the global financial crisis. The recover will be staggered as countries face outbreaks at different stages, she said.

The IMF has received a large number of requests for assistance from countries, she told CNBC.

Georgieva highlighted the pressures particularly on emerging market economies - who are likely to suffer the double blow of dealing with their own infection responses at the same time that their exports have suffered. They will need as much as $2.5tn.

She expects the recovery to take hold in 2021, but only if the virus can be contained.

Carluccio's restaurant chain to go into administration - Sky

The Carluccio’s restaurant chain is reportedly preparing for administration, in a move that would endanger as many as 2,000 jobs.

Sky News reports that it is lining up FRP Advisory to carry out the administration:

The casual dining sector has been through a painful few years, and the coronavirus crisis has added further pressures on cash flows, with all British restaurants closed.

Virgin Atlantic, the airline founded by the billionaire Richard Branson, is going to ask the government for a big bailout, the Financial Times has reported.

The coronavirus crisis has proven to be devastating for the airline industry, with no cash coming in. Regional carrier Flybe has already gone down because of the slump in air travel caused by the pandemic, but the government has said it will not bail out the whole industry.

Here’s a snippet from the FT’s report (£):

Virgin Atlantic will in the coming days ask the UK for a package of commercial loans and guarantees worth hundreds of millions of pounds, as the carrier battles the aviation industry’s worst crisis in decades, according to people familiar with the matter.

A bailout of a company so closely linked to a billionaire would be deeply controversial - indeed, it already was controversial when Flybe, bought by a consortium backed by Branson, was offered assistance.

Branson has already pledged to inject £250m of his own money into Virgin companies, including the airline, but the report suggests even bigger struggles for the loss-making Atlantic arm, just a few months after Branson put on a brave face in an interview with the Observer:

We are survivors. And it’s got the advantage of other Virgin companies: if the worst comes to the worst we can help it out, occasionally.

And it’s Jasper Jolly here taking over from Graeme Wearden through to the close of European markets again.

Markets on both sides of the Atlantic are steeped in red ink, with Wall Street down over 3% and Europe nursing 4% losses.

There’s anxiety over the global recession, not helped by the slump in Chinese factory profits overnight.

The latest spike in US Covid-19 infections, taking America over China in the league table no-one wants to top, is also worrying investors.

Especially as Donald Trump sounds determined to get the economy moving soon - despite medical advice that physical distancing is the best way to beat the virus.

Gaurav Saroliya of Oxford Economics argues that the selloff has further to run:

First, COVID-19 incidence is accelerating in the US, rather than being contained. After more than 16000 new cases yesterday, the US has now the highest number of cases globally. The idea that the country can swiftly return to normal levels of economic activity appears unrealistic.

Secondly, the uncertainty about the extent and length of the shutdowns translates into large uncertainty about the eventual hit to growth and corporate profits

Brewery chain Young & Co have announced they’re putting almost all their 4,500 staff on temporary leave.

As ‘furloughed workers’, they should be entitled to 80% of their pay from the UK government. Just 29 ‘key workers’ will carry on working from home while this crisis continues and the Group’s pubs are closed.

The UK wage pledge is worth up to £2,500 per month. Youngs, though, is pledging to keep paying higher earners (on more than £30k) 80% of their pay - at least during April.

The board has also decided not to pay a final dividend for the financial year to 30 March 2020, as it tries to conserve cash.

Oil pries are sinking -- a sign of pessimism over global growth.

Gatwick closes one terminal

Gatwick Airport is to close one of its two terminals next week and only operate flights in an eight-hour window every day with most passenger air travel now suspended.

London’s second-biggest airport said the unprecedented move was necessary to protect staff and the business as revenues all but vanish (as John Menzies flagged up this morning).

The North terminal will close from Wednesday for at least the next month. Any remaining passengers due to travel are advised to contact their airline.

Airports and airlines had been holding out for assistance from the Treasury to maintain operations, but were told on Monday that no specific measures for aviation would be forthcoming.

Wall Street opens lower

Make that a very Fretful Friday!

The New York stock exchange is handing back some of this week’s stunning gains, as trading begins in New York.

The Dow Jones industrial average has tumbled by 945 points, or over 4%, to 21,606 in early trading.

The broader S&P 500 index has shed 91 points, or 3.5%, to 2,538.

Relief that Congress was approving a $2trn stimulus package has been supplanted by anxiety over the virus pandemic, with the US now the world leader for infections.

Wall Street is still up for the week -- on Monday night, the Dow closed at just 18,591 points.

It’s turning into a Fretful Friday.

Stocks are sliding further in Europe, driving the FTSE 100 down almost 5.75% or 334 points at 5482 points.

Every member of the blue-chip index is lower, led by cruise operator Carnival and retailer Next (which shut its online shop last night).

That still leaves the Footsie higher than on Tuesday, but it does show that this week’s recovery is rather fragile.

Germany’s DAX has lost 3.8% while France’s CAC is 4.4% lower, as traders brace for losses when Wall Street opens....

The oil industry is also cutting roles, as energy firms try to isolate workers and combat Covid-19.

My colleague Jillian Ambrose explains:

North Sea’s workforce has fallen by 40% within two weeks as oil companies cut the size of their offshore oil rig teams to help stem the spread of the coronavirus.

More than 4,000 rig contractors have lost their jobs in the wake of the UK lockdown, during a difficult year for the oil industry after the collapse of global oil prices.

The number of workers operating the North Sea’s oil and gas platforms typically stands at about 11,500, according to Oil and Gas UK, but the number of people operating the rigs has already fallen to 7,000.

I mentioned earlier that John Menzies had cut its global headcount by 17,500...... but the good news is that it’s a temporary move, and most of those employees haven’t actually been laid off.

Instead, it’s mostly staff being sent on different kinds of leave, the company tells us -- with only small portion of roles permanently cut.

They’re hoping to get “the vast majority” of staff back when flight volumes start to pick up again. In the meantime, government schemes such as the UK’s offer to pay 80% of wages should kick in. A small relief!

Metro Bank has become the latest lender to announce it’s waiving interest charges on arranged overdrafts.
The temporary measure will be backdated to 1 March and be in place for four months until 30 June. It means any personal banking customers who’s already been charged for dipping into their overdraft in recent weeks will be automatically reimbursed. Metro is also shutting its branches on weekends - which is a pretty big shift for a bank that prides itself on being open 7 days a week and 365 days a year.

A spokeswoman for the lender said:

“Making this change will enable us to free up more colleagues to support essential services in our contact centres.

“We apologise to customers for any inconvenience this may cause, however customers can continue to bank with us online, via our mobile app or over the phone.”

The pound dipped a little, after Boris Johnson confirmed he has tested positive for Covid-19.

It’s only a small move -- sterling dropped from nearly $1.23 back to $1.22, as traders digested the news.

Johnson insists he’s still leading the government, and hopefully his symptoms will remain mild. But I guess it may have unnerved some investors, as this is the first G20 leader to test positive.

It’s a reminder, too, that coronavirus cases will continue to rise in the weeks ahead.

The PM is getting plenty of support too, including from his former chancellor:

And the president of the European Council:

Updated

The economics team at Nomura have slashed their forecast for the global economy this year, again.

They now expect world GDP to shrunk by 4% during 2020 -- with major economies including the UK contracting by over 10% in April-June (a really grim, and highly credible, forecast)

We have slashed our 2020 forecast of global GDP growth to -4.0% and now expect %q-o-q saar growth in Q2 of -42% in the US, -43% in the euro area and -44% in the UK - all similar to that in China in Q1.

[SAAR = seasonally adjusted annual rate, ie how much an economy would change if one quarter was extended over a year]

In a best case scenario, Nomura reckon the world economy would only shrink by 2.2% -- but in a bad outcome, it could slump by 6.9%.

In the good scenario, the virus is quickly beaten through strict compliance with social distancing, technological innovations and medical breakthroughs. The result is still a short, deep recession, but it is followed by a sustained recovery.

In the bad scenario, the virus beats us. The intravenous cash flow support policies do not last long enough to save companies and jobs. The result is a large, permanent loss in output featuring persistently high unemployment, company liquidations and financial crise.

Housing market freeze puts 300,000 sales at risk

Up to 300,000 house sales are at risk of collapsing after the government put the housing market on hold for three months, the online estate agent Getagent.co.uk has warned.

The firm’s CEO, Colby Short, says around 290,000 transactions went ahead during each quarter of 2109. The fact that the market was so buoyant at the start of this year means even more sales are at risk right now.

The fear is that in the face of such uncertainty, buyers will pull out, or significantly reduce their original offer - assuming they have not exchanged contracts and are not tied in. Once a few buyers do this, chains of sales quickly fall apart, and the market soon freezes up.

Short warned:

“This may only be a temporary measure but for those who had already tackled the protracted process of selling only to see their sale or purchase sidelined on the home stretch, it will be a worrying few months. Our advice would be to keep calm, be patient and stick with it.

This is a development that impacts both buyer and seller so hopefully, those property sales that have already been agreed should still materialise once normality returns; bringing a huge boost to transactions in the third and fourth quarters of the year.”

Updated

Engineering firm Rolls-Royce has been running its UK facilities until now but says it will cease “all but essential activity” for a week, starting at midnight tonight.

Staff will continue to be paid.

Activities that support the military, air freight and airlines still running flights will continue, the company said.

Just in: The prime minister has contracted the coronavirus.

Fortunately Boris Johnson says he only has mild symptoms. He’ll be self-isolating as he continues to work, to “lead the government’s response to coronavirus”

Updated

RBS: From bank to foodbank....

Royal Bank of Scotland is turning the conference centre at its Gogarburn headquarters in Edinburgh into a foodbank distribution centre, to help people in difficulties during the current crisis.
The high street lender is asking businesses to bring in any perishable food and hygiene products they can spare to the Gogarburn site, where RBS staff will be running an “drive-in” donation system to ensure donors and volunteers can keep their distance. The bank’s volunteers, which will also be kitted out with personal protective gear, will distribute the donations to charities including Trussell Trust food banks and Social Bite, a charity supporting vulnerable people in Scotland. RBS’ catering contractors – Baxter Storey and Benugo – have also pledged to donate food from the bank’s kitchens.

Malcolm Buchanan, chair of the RBS Scotland board, said:

“This is a challenging time for everyone in Scotland and it is important that everyone looks out for one another. This is a time when we can work together to make a positive difference and we are calling on the public and companies who have the time or the resource and to get involved in our appeal.”

John Menzies stands down 17,500 staff

Aviation services giant John Menzies says it has cut staffing levels in half, due to the coronavirus crisis.

Older readers (or indeed bloggers!) may associate the Menzies name with newspaper distribution. But these days, the firm is actually focused on airports -- handling cargo on the ground, managing luggage at several UK airports, and even operating plane fuelling services.

It had employed over 30,000 people, but revealed today that it has reduced global headcount by over 17,500 worldwide in response to the “dramatic fall” in business.

Menzies warns:

In the period since 10 March 2020, we have seen our international and domestic airline customers ground passenger flights on an unprecedented scale.

That includes a 60% drop in passenger flights, and a 20% deduction in cargo flights.

It explains:

As part of our cost reduction initiatives, we have reduced global headcount by over 17,500 in response to the dramatic fall in volume. Reductions are being supported in some countries by governmental schemes and we hope that in the fullness of time a high number of these employees can return to the business.

Update: The good news is that these 17,500 aren’t all sacked. Menzies says the vast majority on different types of leave and with a small portion through permanent role reductions.

Menzies board are also taking a 20% pay cut.

Curiously, Menzies doesn’t seem to qualify for some of the rescue measures launched by the UK government. It says:

We are engaged with the UK Government as we attempt to secure some of the emergency funding announced by the Chancellor of the Exchequer and await the refinement of the eligibility criteria for the COVID Corporate Financing Facility (CCFF) which we currently do not currently qualify for.

CCFF is designed to help UK companies, by buying their short-term debt, as long as it is investment-grade. Unfortunately for Menzies, they’re too small to have a credit rating -- but also too big to qualify for measures aimed at small firms....

Updated

Outsourcing group Capita has just withdrawn its financial guidance for the year, due to the “unpredictable level of disruption caused by COVID-19”.

While Capita’s essential workers in the public sector are busy, the rest of its business has been hit by self-isolation rules. That includes work training programmes, back office functions, contact centres for retail and leisure clients, consulting and its corporate travel agency.

The firm is now engaged in some “prudent” cost savings, including pay cuts for top bosses:

  • Central overhead costs will be reduced to the bare minimum whilst ensuring operational oversight and regulatory compliance are maintained.
  • Discretionary expenditure has been materially reduced, specifically in areas such as travel, marketing, non-essential training and recruitment.
  • We have temporarily closed a number of our offices around the UK which are not required for the provision of essential services and are planning to move rent payments to a monthly in advance basis (from quarterly).
  • We have reduced the number of contractors we use by reallocating and prioritising internal resources.
  • Significant temporary reductions of salary by senior management and the Board

Capita says it’s also working with the government to develop coronavirus testing sites.

Updated

The slump in housing activity has forced online estate agent Rightmove to cancel its 2019 dividend, and to suspend all financial guidance for 2020. More here

European stock markets are all in the red today, after their best three day rally ever.

The Stoxx 600 index has dropped around 2.4%, having surged by 15% between Tuesday morning and Thursday evening.

In London, the FTSE 100 has fallen further, down 223 points or almost 4% (but it’s still up over 7% this week).

With coronavirus cases and deaths still rising -- with the US overtaking China for infections - investors may be fretting about what the next few days will bring.

They may also have noticed that four of the last Mondays have seen heavy selling - so it may make sense to hunker down today.

Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst, OANDA Europe says:

Rallies don’t last forever and clearly investors are happy to call time on this one as we head into another uncertain weekend.

The last three Monday’s have all been relatively heavy down days, producing an average decline of 5.16% in the FTSE 100. We may have had a good run this week but the weekend can feel like a long time at moments like this and the numbers were getting from the US, which now has more cases than China or Italy, are getting uglier by the day.

It therefore strikes me as quite sensible to take some profit off the table and see how the weekend goes. I fear a few more shocks lie ahead as we get closer to peak coronavirus in countries like the US, UK and more.

Domino’s Pizza has also suspended its dividend today, despite seeing a pick-up in demand from people ordering home deliveries.

In the last week, UK trading has accelerated, with the growth in delivery more than offsetting the lack of collection sales, it told the City.

CEO David Wild says Domino’s is being cautious, having closed its stores to help with coronavirus isolation measures.

The safety of our colleagues and customers is always our top priority, so we’ve strengthened our already high hygiene standards, rolled out contact free delivery and switched to delivery only to ensure we can confidently serve the public. We are also looking to recruit additional store colleagues and delivery drivers.

Getting back to the slump in Chinese factory profits....economist Shane Oliver of AMP Capital has spotted signs that China’s economy may now be recovering:

Updated

Here’s our news story on Mike Ashley’s apology for mishandling the Covid-19 crisis, and his efforts to make amends....

Speaking of dividends... betting firm Flutter has suspended its 2020 payment to shareholders this morning.

The company, which owns Paddy Power and Betfair, blamed the cancellation of sports events around the globe.

Royal Mail has warned that it could be forced to reduce postal services, due to the impact of the coronavirus.

It told shareholders this morning:

In recent weeks, we have seen rising levels of sick absence as colleagues self-isolate or care for family members. W e cannot rule out reductions to services as COVID-19 develops.

Royal Mail also warned that its UK parcels, international and letters (UKPIL) business will be materially loss making in the 2020-21 financial year, while profits at its European parcels division GLS will be “significantly reduced”.

So, it’s joining the army of companies cancelling this year’s dividend payment.

Mike Ashley apologises over coronavirus mistakes

Apology of the morning goes to Mike Ashley, for admitting that his Sports Direct chain (now called Frasers) made some serious blunders this week.

In a large helping of humble pie, Ashley has written an open letter, admitting that he should never have tried to keep Sports Direct shops open - or pestered ministers to be treated as an essential service.

He writes;

In hindsight, our emails to the Government were ill-judged and poorly timed, when they clearly had much greater pressures than ours to deal with. On top of this, our communications to our employees and the public on this was poor.

Sports Direct’s (initial) refusal to comply with the government’s call for non-essential shops to shut caused an outcry on social media.

Ashley is now trying to make amends, saying he is putting Sports Direct’s transport operations at the National Health Service’s disposal:

Outside of Frasers Group, I have offered our support to the NHS and we are poised and ready for when that offer is accepted, with our entire fleet of lorries at their disposal - to help deliver medical equipment and supplies. This offer is not limited to the NHS but all key workforces across the Government. We will help wherever possible.

Finally, to reiterate, I am deeply apologetic about the misunderstandings of the last few days. We will learn from this and will try not to make the same mistakes in the future.

Updated

UK retailer Next is also among the top fallers in London, down 7.9%, after it halted online shopping last night.

Next told the City that it had responded to employees, who told it they weren’t happy about being dragged to work rather than isolating.

NEXT has listened very carefully to its colleagues working in Warehousing and Distribution Operations to fulfil Online orders. It is clear that many increasingly feel they should be at home in the current climate.

We flagged up earlier this week that Next had been offering a 20% bonus to staff who would come into stores and fulfil online orders, despite Very Clear Instructions from the government to Stay At Home unless your job is Essential.

Some retailers took longer to grasp this than others.

Retail analyst Nick Bubb says:

Well, the shock news that Next has had to temporarily close down its Online business because of warehouse staffing problems is a big blow to the company and may cause a domino effect on other Online fashion operators, including ASOS and Boohoo

Shares in UK housebuilders are among the top fallers, with Berkeley Group down 8% and Barratt Development losing 8.5%.

Last night, the government effectively put the UK housing market into deep freeze, telling buyers to delay their home moves if possible, and instructing sellers not to allow new viewings.

The new guidance is “adapt and be flexible” while the Covid-19 pandemic plays out. Ministers don’t actually want people to cancel moves, but clearly the market is going to be slow for a while....

....especially as some lenders are pulling mortgage offers:

Updated

European markets fall

The slump in Chinese factory profits may have reminded investors that the world economy isn’t in great shape.

For whatever reason, stocks have fallen sharply at the start of trading in Europe.

Every stock on the FTSE is down, pulling the index lower by 181 points or 3% to 5633.

It’s still been a very good few days for stocks, given the FTSE 100 closed below 5,000 points on Monday.

UK car production to hit lowest level since financial crisis

Britain’s car industry is also being hit hard by the coronavirus, with output likely to tumble this year.

My colleague Jasper Jolly explains:

British car production will slump to its lowest level since the financial crisis this year, the industry has warned, after the coronavirus pandemic forced the closure of every large factory in the UK.

Passenger car output will fall by 18% to only 1.1m in 2020, down from 1.3m last year, according to forecasts for the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) carried out by AutoAnalysis. It would be the lowest number since the depths of the financial crisis in 2009, when 999,460 cars were made in the UK.

Introduction: Record slump in Chinese factory profits

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

The economic costs of Covid-19 are rising, fast, as the outbreak drives the global economy into recession.

Overnight, China has reported a huge tumble in factory profits for the first two months of this year -- down 38.3% year-on-year to 410.7 billion yuan (roughly £47bn).

That’s the steepest slump since the National Bureau of Statistics started publishing the data in 2020

January and February are usually interrupted by the week-long Lunar New Year. But the coronavirus crisis has created much more disruption, with factories unable to reopen on schedule due to mass quarantine rules and transport disruption.

Car makers, electrical equipment and electronics manufacturers, and chemical companies all reported particularly hefty drops in earnings - a sign of which parts of the economy have suffered.

Such a huge slump in profits shows that China’s economy has take a serious hit, with growth certain to slow very sharply this year.

As Reuters puts it:

The decline in profits points to lingering trouble for the manufacturing sector, which is wrestling with fallout from the health crisis that has severely hurt output. Most analysts now expect a contraction in gross domestic product in the first quarter.

Industrial production and sales fell sharply amid epidemic control efforts, while the costs of labor and depreciation continued to put pressure on companies, a statistics bureau official said in a statement published alongside the data.

The data comes a day after America posted its biggest jump in weekly jobless claims ever -- with over three million US citizens filing for unemployment benefit.

Later today we discover how badly US confidence has been hit by the crisis - despite Donald Trump’s efforts to play it down, and insists America will be back to work soon.

After several very strong days, European stock markets are expected to dip today as investors ponder the damage being caused to the world economy.

The agenda

  • 2pm GMT: University of Michigan’s survey of US consumer sentiment: expected to fall to 90, from 95.9
  • 5pm GMT: Baker Hughes count of US oil rigs

Updated

 

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