Early afternoon summary
- Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, has bluntly told people not to hug and kiss elderly relatives at Christmas. Only 48 hour after the government announced a temporary relaxation of rules intended to allow families to mix at Christmas, Whitty highlighted the risks, saying people should not hug elderly relatives “if you want them to survive to be hugged again”. Speaking at a No 10 press conference, he said:
Would I want someone to see their family? Of course, that’s what Christmas is about, whether people celebrate Christmas as a festival themselves or from any other belief system. It is an opportunity for families.
But would I encourage someone to hug and kiss their elderly relatives? No, I would not.
It is not against the law - and that’s the whole point. You can do it in the rules that are there but it does not make sense because you could be carrying the virus and if you’ve got an elderly relative, that would not be the thing you want to do in the period where we’re running up to a point where we might be able to protect older people.
- Boris Johnson has said that mass testing could allow individuals to escape particular restrictions - even if they are living in a tier 3 area. In his latest upbeat statement about the possibilities offered by mass testing (once described by No 10 as the Moonshot plan), Johnson told the press conference.
If [mass testing] works, where people test negative, it may also be possible for families and communities to be released from certain restrictions even if their home area stays in tier 3.
- Johnson has defended the government’s decision to place large parts of England under tougher restrictions once the lockdown ends than they were under when it started, saying “taking our foot off the throat of the beast” now would be a mistake. He told the press conference.
What we want to avoid is relaxing now too much, taking our foot off the throat of the beast now, when we’ve got [the virus] in a much, much better place than it was before the rules and measures.
- Johnson is facing a backlash from Tory MPs ahead of next week’s Commons vote on the new post-lockdown restrictions announced for England today. Some of his MPs have already said they will vote against the government, but many more have expressed anger or disappointment about finding their constituencies unexpectedly in tier 3 or tier 2. Some are demanding the publication of better evidence from the government to justify the restrictions before deciding how they will vote. At his press conference Johnson said the allocation of tiers would be reviewed every fortnight. But in the Commons, in an attempt to mollify his Tory critics, Matt Hancock, the health secretary, said that, after the first review on 16 December, the system would be reviewed at least weekly. He told one MP:
We will review the tiers in a fortnight and then regularly, which he can reasonably take to be weekly.
And Hancock told another MP he was committing to regular reviews, rather than weekly ones, “simply because we sometimes have to do it more than weekly, especially if cases are shooting up in an area.”
That’s all from me for today. But our coverage continues on our global coronavirus live blog. It’s here.
Updated
Here is a joint statement from two Conservative MPs with North Somerset constituencies: Liam Fox, the former international trade secretary and John Penrose, a former minister. North Somerset is in tier 3.
They say this decision “isn’t right or fair” and they call for it to be reversed after a fortnight.
The mayor of Bristol, Marvin Rees, has expressed disappointment over the city being put into tier 3. He told the Guardian he had hoped that a recent fall in the Covid numbers might have “earned” the city a place in tier 2.
The city council estimated the month-long lockdown will have cost the city around £54m. The tier status will add to the burden.
Rees said the impact on the hospitality and night-time economy - 23,000 jobs - was particularly worrying. He said:
As well as trying to take on the virus, my thoughts go to how we are going to support businesses and jobs.
Grant Shapps, the transport secretary, has announced the latest weekly changes to the travel corridor system.
A group of small countries are being added to the travel corridor list - meaning anyone arriving in the UK from these places will no longer have to quarantine for 14 days.
The total ban on travel to Denmark has been lifted, although quarantine rules still apply.
And Estonia and Latvia are off the travel corridors list - which means people arriving in the UK from these countries will be subject to quarantine.
Q: Do you accept that in Liverpool some people are not getting tested because 80% of people do not qualify for support if they have to self-isolate? And Liverpool has had a poor relationship with the Tories. Will you reward their sacrifice?
Johnson says Liverpool has been fantastic. He says the government will continue to support it as part of its levelling up agenda.
And that’s it. The press conference is over.
Whitty says people should not hug and kiss elderly relatives at Christmas
Q: Is it really a good idea to travel hundreds of miles to see relatives over Christmas? And what will you be doing?
Johnson says this is an incredibly difficult decision. You have to strike a balance between letting people celebrate Christmas and keeping the virus under control.
We are not out of the wood yet, he says.
Whitty says he would want people to see their families. But he would not encourage people to hug and kiss elderly relatives. It is allowed; but that does not mean people should be doing it, he says.
- Whitty says people should not hug and kiss elderly relatives at Christmas.
He says he will be on the wards himself.
Vallance also says people should not hug and kiss elderly relatives.
Whitty says the “extraordinary altruism” of the British public has been one of the best things about this crisis. He says people are sticking to the rules to protect other people. And he says there is no evidence that that spirit is going away. There are examples of people ignoring the rules, but the majority of people are complying.
Vallance says the vaccines are “looking really good”. But they have yet to go through the regulator, and there will be time between doses; most require two doses. So they are not going to provide protection soon, he says.
He says it would be wrong to assume that, because of vaccines and mass testing, we can relax now.
Q: Is it fair that areas in tier 3 that close get support for firms that close, but not for firms that are dependent on them?
Johnson says, if that is a question about supply chains, they deserve protection as well. He says the furlough scheme will run until March, and he says the government has support schemes for businesses.
The best option is to get the virus down so firms can reopen, he says.
Q: How will you deliver mass testing to 40% of the population?
Johnson says strong local leadership will be required, plus “real spirit” in the community. And mass testing is only part of the answer. People have to follow the guidance too.
He says the government will not be imposing this. Local leaders will have to want to do this.
Where there is local will, as there is in Doncaster and Barnsley and places like that, there we are working hard to get it done.
He says the government will ensure adequate numbers of personnel are available.
Q: Do these tiering decisions anticipate a rise in cases caused by Christmas?
Whitty says Christmas will increase the risk. Everyone knows that, he says. But it is not the only problem. He says January and February are always the busiest times of the year for the NHS.
People need to take it seriously and consider the risks, he says.
Q: Aren’t you going to have to raise taxes?
Johnson says the chancellor set out his case yesterday. He says he is very, very confident about the path the economy is on.
There will have to be “fiscal prudence”, but you will get that from the government, he says.
Q: Why did “whack-a-mole” not work?
Johnson says the tiered approach has been working.
He repeats the point about the Liverpool mass testing approach offering a way forward.
Whitty says you have to remember the seasonality of this. In the summer it was possible to hold cases down. Now, as we go into winter, cases are going up. That is common for respiratory illnesses, he says.
He says there are tiers that would work in the summer that would not work now.
He says, bit by bit, he hope parts of the country will be able to walk out of this, down from tiers. That could happen over the next few weeks or months.
Q: Are you confident that enough places are in tier 3?
Whitty says throughout this the government has had to do the least damaging thing. There are no ideal options.
He says there will be adjustments - hopefully downwards.
Q: Are you confident about the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine? (See 4.29am.)
Whitty says the key thing is to leave this to the regulator. They are excellent. They have access to data not in the public domain.
Vallance agrees. He says the headline results are excellent, but the regulator, which is excellent, must decide.
Q: What was the point of the lockdown if more people are moving into tougher tiers?
Johnson says the lockdown is not continuing. Shops and places like hairdressers will be open. This will be a very different thing.
He says he is convinced that in a few months we will have the vaccine, and that by April things will be very much better.
But it is important not to “take our foot off the throat of the beast” now, he says.
There is a “substantial relaxation across all tiers”, he says.
He also says people should take heart from the possibilities offered by mass testing.
Updated
Q: Will the vaccines work when the Covid virus mutates?
Vallance says we will end up with lots of vaccine options. Viruses do mutate. But this one does not mutate as much as the flu virus. This virus mutates, but it has not done so so far in such a way as to make the vaccine ineffective.
But in future that could happen, he says.
He says he does not think the vaccines we have at the moment will necessarily be the ones we use for ever.
Whitty says sometimes you need new vaccines because of mutations. But other vaccines you need to top anyway, because immunity wanes.
Updated
Q: Will the government consider moving to remote learning for schools?
Johnson says he wants to keep schools open. He favours remote learning in some circumstances. But he says he wants children in schools and he wants exams to go ahead.
Whitty now presents a slide showing the tier allocations.
He says tier 1 won’t hold the virus down. It only applies where cases are very low.
Tier 2 should be able to hold cases level, he says. And tier 3 should be able to get them down.
The next two slides from Vallance cover hospital cases and deaths.
Vallance is presenting the slides now.
The first one covers cases. On cases, we seem to have turned the corner, he says.
Johnson says mass testing could allow individuals to escape restrictions even in tier 3 areas
Johnson says testing in Liverpool has helped to reduce the number of cases by two thirds.
He says he wants to use mass testing more widely.
And he says that testing could allow individuals to be released from certain restrictions, even if they are living in tier 3.
Johnson says at least one in three people with Covid don’t have symptoms. They may be spreading it unwittingly.
That is why mass testing is so important, he says.
Johnson says he wishes he did not have to introduce these measures.
But they are essential if the government is going to keep schools open, he says.
He says these measures will be less intrusive than the lockdown.
In all tiers shops, gyms, the leisure sector, hairdressers other forms of personal care and places of worship will reopen. You’re no longer be instructed to stay at home, though you should continue to work from home if you can.
Johnson starts by saying we have “reason to hope” that by spring vaccines and mass testing will bring an end to the need for restrictions.
But we face a hard winter, because winter favours the virus, he says.
He says it is vital not to let the virus take off again.
All around the world countries are taking different measures to keep the virus under control, he says.
And he summarises the government’s approach for England.
Data packs will be publishing explaining why particular areas are going in particular tiers.
Boris Johnson's press conference
Boris Johnson is about to hold a press conference.
He will be appearing with Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, and Sir Patrick Vallance, the government’s chief scientific adviser.
Paul Foster, the Labour leader of South Ribble council in Lancashire, has issued a statement saying he is “bitterly disappointed” the whole of the county has gone into tier 3. And he has accused Matt Hancock, the health secretary, of falsely claiming to have engaged with local leaders. Foster said:
To hear the health secretary tell the House of Commons that he has engaged with local leaders is simply not true. If the health secretary wants to engage with me, then by all means give me a ring or send me an email, but don’t misrepresent what is actually happening, or in this case, not happening.
If the health secretary had taken the time to speak with me and other local leaders across Lancashire, we would have told him we support a targeted approach within Lancashire – allocating tier 2 to areas where the rate of infection was lower, but putting tier 3 restrictions in place where the rates were higher.
The Covid Recovery Group, which represents anti-lockdown or lockdown-sceptic Tories, has released some more quotes from Conservative MPs unhappy about the new restrictions.
This is from Harriet Baldwin, a former minister and MP for West Worcestershire
I voted for the current lockdown on the basis that it would give us a 28 day period to develop a new and enduring strategy for living with the virus that doesn’t require us to keep having to live under cycles of damaging lockdowns and severe restrictions, and to reform NHS test and trace so that only the infectious individuals and their close contacts have to isolate.
Over 23m of us were living under tier 1 restrictions before the lockdown - that figure will be under 1m in December. There is no logic whatsoever in having a month of lockdown only for people to have to live under an even more severe set of restrictions afterwards.
That’s why we must see the evidence, the data and the cost benefit analysis - published in full and on time - so that we can assess whether or not the current strategy is working, and make sure we know if we are being asked to vote for something with an end date and which will explicitly save more lives than it costs.
From Tom Tugendhat, MP for Tonbridge and Malling in Kent
We went into lockdown at tier 1 and came out at tier 3. This isn’t working for us.
From Greg Smith, MP for Buckingham
I reluctantly supported the second lockdown on the basis of NHS capacity. Today, my local NHS, who have performed exceptionally during this pandemic, are not overwhelmed - yet Buckinghamshire has been placed in tier 2, having gone into lockdown in tier 1.
Businesses are struggling, the hospitality sector without a proper December will be on its knees and I worry about the continuing impact on other health conditions and people’s mental health.
We need local decision making, not Whitehall instructions, to give as many people as possible their freedom back, whilst containing this virus in the places where the spread is genuinely very high.
Northern Ireland has recorded 442 further coronavirus cases. This is down from 533 yesterday and 487 a week ago today.
And there have been eight further deaths, up from seven yesterday but down from 12 a week ago today.
The BBC has a good graphic here showing what the three-tier map of England looked like before lockdown, and what it looks like now.
Nadhim Zahawi, a business minister and MP for Stratford upon Avon, says he is “hugely disappointed” that Warwickshire is in tier 3.
This is how Matt Hancock defended the decision to place Warwickshire, Coventry and Solihull in tier 3 in his written ministerial statement.
The case rate remains very high (though falling) across this area at 236/100,000. The case rate in over 60s remains very high at 182/100,000. There is a clear upward trend in case rates in over 60s in 3 of the 7 local authority areas. Positivity is 9.0%. The pressure on the local NHS remains high.
Updated
AstraZeneca is saying that it is likely to conduct a further global trial of its coronavirus vaccine because of questions that have been raised about the first one, Bloomberg reports.
It is not clear from the Bloomberg report as to what impact, if any, this development might have on the potential UK rollout of the vaccine.
Updated
Tim Loughton, the Conservative former children’s minister, says he is “very disappointed” that Adur and Worthing in West Sussex have been placed in tier 2. He says that he will vote against the regulations next week unless ministers can show him evidence to justify the decision.
The most detailed explanation we’ve had from the government as to why Sussex is in tier 2 is in the written statement from Matt Hancock (which has now been cleaned up to remove all the question marks - see 11.59am). This is what it says about Sussex.
Case rates in Sussex are at 120 per 100,000 with a total positivity of 4.5%. However, the trend is increasing in several areas. NHS admissions have been fairly stable in the last month but there is increasing occupancy in units treating more serious cases.
Updated
The UK government has updated its coronavirus dashboard. Here are the key statistics.
- The UK has recorded 498 further coronavirus deaths. That is almost 200 below the total for yesterday (696), but it is still above the average for the past seven days (465). The death rate over the past week is 14% higher than for the previous week.
- The UK has recorded 17,555 more coronavirus cases. That is down from the total for yesterday (18,213), but slightly above the average for the past seven days (17,329). Week on week, positive cases are down 26%.
Public Health Wales has recorded 1,251 more coronavirus cases. That is a big increase on the totals for yesterday (907), for a week ago today (1,048) or two weeks ago today (867).
And there have been 28 further deaths, down from 41 yesterday but up from 23 a week ago today.
Gavin Barwell, the former Conservative MP who served as Theresa May’s chief of staff when she was prime minister after losing his seat in the 2017 general election, has welcomed the appointment of Dan Rosenfield to do his old job. (See 2.10pm.)
Here is a statement from Dr Yvonne Doyle, medical director for Public Health England, on the figures in today’s weekly PHE Covid surveillance report. (See 3.08pm.)
Richard Drax, the Conservative MP for South Dorset, has said he is “astounded” that his constituency is in tier 2. In a statement released by the anti-lockdown Covid Recovery Group, Drax said:
With only 80 cases for every 100,000 people in South Dorset, I’m astounded that we’ve been put into tier 2. We were at tier 1 before, so how can we possibly need even more severe restrictions than before the lockdown?
Only yesterday the chancellor made clear the utter devastation these lockdowns are having on our economy and all aspects of it, including health. The solution? Carry on destroying lives and livelihoods! We need a new strategy based on common sense, not fear and more fear!
Updated
Weekly Covid hospital admission rate for England falling for first time in second wave, figures show
Public Health England has published its weekly Covid surveillance report (pdf). It says that the number of coronavirus cases detected went down last week, and that the overall hospital admission rate for Covid has fallen too.
This chart shows the overall confirmed Covid case rate, by gender.
This shows the weekly hospital admission rate falling, for the first time in this wave of the pandemic.
And the weekly rate of admission to intensive care units and high dependency units is also falling for the first time.
Updated
NHS England has recorded 351 further coronavirus hospital deaths. There were 82 in the north-east and Yorkshire, 81 in the north-west, 78 in the Midlands, 41 in the south-east, 28 in London, 23 in the south-west and 18 in the east of England. The details are here.
That is broadly in line with the totals for yesterday (353) and a week ago today (346), and up on the total for two weeks ago today (317).
Almost 99% of the English population will be under the higher tier 2 and tier 3 lockdown levels when they come into effect.
Three local authorities – Isle of Wight, Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly – which have a combined population of 713,573 and make up just 1.3% of the entire English population, will come under the least severe “medium level” restrictions.
A further 57% of the population – including all of London as well as other areas including Oxfordshire, Surrey, West Sussex, Devon, Gloucestershire and Somerset – will face “high level” tier 2 restrictions.
Two in five people (41.5% of the population of England) will come under tier 3, including those living in areas such as Greater Manchester and Lancashire.
Updated
Reaction from across the south-west of England to the tiering allocations have been mixed. There is optimism in Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly, which are in tier 1, but frustration in Bristol – and its neighbours South Gloucestershire and North Somerset – which are tier 3.
Bristol city council reckons being in tier 3 will cost it £2.8m a month to support businesses and vulnerable people.
Devon has been put into tier 2, just hours after it emerged that the Nightingale hospital in Exeter will receive patients for the first time.
But Anne Marie Morris, Tory MP for Newton Abbot, has pointed out that Teignbridge in south Devon has one of the lowest Covid rates in England. She tweeted:
Updated
Tory backlash against new restrictions grows as 1922 Committee chair says he will vote against
Sir Graham Brady, the chair of the Conservative backbench 1922 Committee, has said he will vote against the new regulations for England next week. His constituency, Altrincham and Sale West in Greater Manchester, has been placed in tier 3. Brady said that was no surprise, but that “it is nonetheless deeply disappointing because there is simply no good, logical explanation for it”.
In an interview on the World at One, Brady said that many of his colleagues were annoyed at the tiering decisions taken because they were “heavy-handed”, ignoring local factors in favour of a countywide approach.
He said he would vote against the regulations next week.
I will vote against it. I have severe reservations on so many different levels. I do think that the policies have been far too authoritarian. I think they have interfered in people’s private and personal lives in a way which is unacceptable ...
When we look at the experience in particular of places like Greater Manchester, which actually have barely been out of restrictions for the last eight months, I think there is a limit to what it is reasonable to expect communities to absorb.
Updated
Johnson appoints former Treasury civil servant and banker as chief of staff
Boris Johnson has appointed a chief of staff. He is Dan Rosenfield, a former Treasury civil servant and banker.
Rosenfield will replace Sir Edward Lister (now Lord Udny-Lister), who has recently been serving as acting chief of staff. But in practice Rosenfield will replace Dominic Cummings, who was effectively Johnson’s chief of staff while he served in Downing Street until his resignation earlier this month – although he resisted taking the role formally.
This is what No 10 said about Rosenfield in a briefing for journalists.
Dan joins No 10 from Hakluyt, a strategic advisory firm for businesses and investors, where he has been global head of corporate clients and head of the UK business since 2016. Prior to Hakluyt, he was a managing director, investment banking at Bank of America. He was previously an official in the UK Treasury for over a decade, including four years as principal private secretary to chancellors Alistair Darling and George Osborne, from 2007 to 2011. Dan is also chairman of World Jewish Relief, the British Jewish community’s humanitarian agency.
Updated
And Conor Burns, the Conservative MP for Bournemouth West, has also criticised the Bournemouth decision.
Updated
The Conservative MP Tobias Ellwood represents Bournemouth East, which is in tier 2. He says he will not be backing the government in the vote on the new measures.
From Damian Green, the Conservative MP for Ashford in Kent
From the Times’ Chris Smyth
Tax increases and spending cuts totalling £40bn will be needed to balance the books, as a combination of weak growth and pressure on the NHS and welfare budgets leads to worse than expected public finances in the coming years, the Institute for Fiscal Studies has said. My colleague Larry Elliott has the story here.
Updated
Stephen Brady, the leader of Hull city council, has defended the decision to put his city in tier 3. Earlier this month it had the highest coronavirus rate in England, at 785 cases per 100,000, but that has now fallen to 530 cases per 100,000.
Brady said:
Tier 3 is not where anyone wants to be but, with our infection rates still very high, it is what we expected and it’s the right place for Hull to be at this time.
Updated
This is from Sacha Lord, Greater Manchester’s night-time economy adviser.
“Lockdown must not become limbo,” says Dan Jarvis, the Labour mayor for the Sheffield city region. He says he wants the region to come out of tier 3 “as a matter of urgency”.
I welcome government plans to review our tier arrangements every two weeks, because every extra day we are under restrictions could be the difference between a business surviving the pandemic or going under. It is now essential we get a roadmap to get us out of tier 3 as a matter of urgency.
Updated
Boris Johnson will be joined by Prof Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, and Sir Patrick Vallance, the chief scientific adviser, at his No 10 press conference this afternoon.
Updated
This is useful – a map showing which parts of England are in which tiers.
Updated
Sturgeon says safest way to spend Christmas is at home, with own household
Nicola Sturgeon was challenged at FMQs about “confusing” messaging around Christmas, with UK-wide relaxations accompanied by extreme caution from the first minister and warnings from Scottish public health experts about the dangers of a subsequent third wave.
Sturgeon said that Christmas presented a “really complex situation” and that the agreed cross-UK relaxation was “a recognition of reality” that some people would feel unable to stay within the rules as they are now. She said that rather than allowing people to break those irules in a “haphazard” way, it was better to set out fresh guidance, but with default advice to stay at home.
She confirmed to MSPs that initial guidance on Christmas had been published this morning, but reiterated “the safest way to spend Christmas is in our own home, with our own household in our own local area”.
She said that there should be no more than more than 8 people over the age of 12 in any festive bubble, and it should include only one extended household. The advice is also that those wanting to visit someone in a care home over Christmas should not form a festive bubble.
She took FMQs as she announced a further 1,225 positive cases overnight, with 1,125 people in hospital with the virus, 31 fewer than yesterday, 90 in intensive care, six more than yesterday, and a further 51 deaths.
She said that Scotland’s R number estimate is expected to remain slightly below 1.
Updated
Raab tells MPs government will legislate to allow it to abandon 0.7% aid target
In the Commons Dominic Raab, the foreign secretary, is now making a statement on development spending. He has just told MPs that the government will legislate to allow it to abandon the 0.7% target for overseas aid spending as a share of national income. But he insisted that the UK was still determined to remain an international leader in this field.
In a joint statement on Leicester being placed in tier 3, the three local Labour MPs, Liz Kendall, Jonathan Ashworth and Claudia Webbe, issued a joint statement saying:
This has already been an unbelievably tough year, and the news that Leicester will go into tier 3 – on top of the 150 days of our extra lockdown – is extremely difficult to hear.
The government must now spell out how we can get out of tier 3, and the measures they will use to review Leicester’s position, to give people hope their sacrifices will make a difference.
Updated
Schools who used reserves to pay for mounting pandemic costs while poorer performing ones have been bailed out will have to “just lump it,” parliament’s public accounts committee has heard.
Cases of schools who have racked up large extra bills were raised with the Department for Education’s most senior civil servant by Tory MP Richard Holden, who said one of his local schools would spend an extra £100 per pupil on cleaning this year.
Some schools who had dipped into their reserves and felt they were being punished while others were being bailed out wanted to know if they would be reimbursed.
He was told by Susan Acland-Hood, the DfE’s permanent secretary, that she completely understood the feelings of head teachers who had managed schools well and built up reserves. But she added:
I think it’s very hard for us to argue to the Treasury the contrary case, which is that schools which have significant reserves should be given extra money.
So the result is they are just going to to have to lump it on that one.
Meanwhile, the average size of bubbles of children and others who had to come home and self isolate after a case of covid-19 had started to come down “quite significantly” since the start of September after collaboration between the DfE and the Department of Health, said Acland-Hood.
The first port of call for schools should be the DfE helpline, she added, and it would be rare for advice to be given for entire year groups to be sent home. Rather, it would be more a case of examining who the particular pupil or member of staff had been in contact with.
Updated
Patrick Harley, the Conservative leader of Dudley council, said he was “disappointed” that his town was in tier 3 because “the decision does not reflect the substantial reduction in our Covid-19 cases we have seen in recent days”. He said he hoped the decision would be reviewed in a fortnight.
Susan Hinchcliffe, leader of Bradford council in West Yorkshire, which is in tier 3, has joined Andy Burnham in calling for more support for businesses. She said:
Our infection rates are going down so I welcome the opportunity of a regular review of these arrangements so that we can exit as soon as possible.
The restrictions must come with more government funding to support the many local businesses and their supply chains which have been battling on in restrictions for months now. The risk is, even with furlough, that many businesses will simply fold and cut their losses.
These are from Rosie Duffield, the Labour MP for Canterbury in Kent, which is in tier 3.
The Labour MP Andrew Gwynne, who represents Denton and Reddish in Greater Manchester, says he is “minded” to vote against the new measures because he is opposed to the the “arbitrary singling out of the hospitality sector, which all the data shows is responsible for around just 3% of transmissions”. In a statement he said:
I will never understand the logic of a tiering system that says it’s okay for many thousands to cram into a busy shopping centre in the run-up to Christmas, but small numbers from the same household are unable to sit responsibly at a table for a meal and a drink in a bar or restaurant. This will be a heavy blow for the hospitality businesses across Denton and Reddish who have invested heavily in Covid-secure measures to allow them to reopen safely.
Earlier in the Commons Jacob Rees-Mogg, the leader of the house, said the vote on the new regulations would take place on Tuesday.
The Labour party has not yet said how it will vote, although on Monday Sir Keir Starmer said that a return to a three-tier system was “risky”, suggesting that the party could abstain. Voting against would run the risk of England being left without any Covid restrictions in place at all, which is not an outcome Labour favours because generally it has been arguing for a tougher regime than the one imposed by No 10. Dozens of Tory MPs are likely to vote against but, without the opposition voting against, there would be almost no risk of the government losing.
Burnham says failure to offer extra business support for tier 3 areas 'completely wrong'
Andy Burnham, mayor of Greater Manchester, has said while he can see the case for his area being in tier 3, he will be pushing for it to go back to tier 2 after a fortnight.
Greater Manchester’s infection rate is reducing faster than any other part of the country but we have to accept that it is still significantly higher than the England average. That said, if the current rate of improvement continues, we will be asking the government to move our city-region into tier 2 in two week’s time.
But he also condemned the government’s decision not to offer extra business support for tier 3 areas. He said:
What we believe is completely wrong is the government’s decision to provide no additional business support to areas in tier 3 than those in tiers 1 and 2.
The new tier 3 will hit the hospitality sector extremely hard. While there are grants for businesses forced to close, there is no extra support for business which supply them like security, catering and cleaning. This will cause real hardship for people whose jobs will be affected and risk the loss of many businesses.
Burnham also said it was unfair that support for local authorities was paid on a per head basis, because this meant that “places with high numbers of hospitality businesses – like city centres – get the same population-based grant as more suburban and rural areas with fewer businesses affected”.
Updated
Gerald Vernon-Jackson, the Lib Dem leader of Portsmouth city council, said that moving his city into tier 2 was “sensible”, but that he hoped it could move down to tier 1 in a fortnight. He said:
It will be very difficult for the hospital industry but we did fear for a while we would go into tier 3.
When we had the free-for-all in the early autumn, our infection rate shot up in young people and that fed up to older people with our infection rates 10 times what they were in the summer so this seems to be the sensible decision to control our infection rates.
Hancock says from mid-December tier decisions will be reviewed every week
Hancock clarifies his earlier answer to Julian Sturdy. (See 12.17pm.) He says the current rules will be in force for a fortnight. After that they will be reviewed every week, he says, with a view to any changes being announced on Thursdays.
Updated
In the Commons Julian Sturdy (Con) asks for the tiers to be reviewed every week, not every fortnight.
Hancock says he will agree to that. He says he has spoken about the tiers being reviewed regularly, because the data could be reviewed more often than once a week.
(But under the government’s regulations, as Hancock confirms in his written ministerial statement today, the rules only have to be reviewed every fortnight.)
This is from Philip Whitehead, the leader of Wiltshire council, on the news that Wiltshire is in tier 2.
It is disappointing, but not surprising, that we find ourselves in a higher tier than before. We have been planning for such an eventuality and we want to reassure residents and businesses that we are here to help them get through this.
This is from the Conservative MP Steve Baker, deputy chair of the Covid Recovery Group, which represents anti-lockdown Tories.
My colleague Josh Halliday calculates that 98.7% of England is in the top two tiers. Only Cornwall, Isle of Wight and Isles of Scilly are in tier 1. They have a combined population of 713, 573 - 1.3% of England.
Pubs in Liverpool will be able to open for the first time in six weeks next Wednesday after it avoided the strictest coronavirus restrictions. The city, which was the first to enter tier 3 last month, will be in tier 2 when England leaves national lockdown on 2 December.
Liverpool has been hailed – somewhat uncomfortably for local leaders – as a poster child for the government’s coronavirus strategy having reduced its infection rate from 700 cases per 100,000 when it entered tier 3 to around 144 cases on Thursday.
Downing Street’s desperation to avoid any advance leaks of the tiering restrictions led to the shambolic situation of council officials having to frantically use the government’s online postcode checker to find out news, before it crashed under the heavy traffic.
Summary
Boris Johnson is in Commons for the Matt Hancock statement. It is Johnson’s first day out of self-isolation.
In the Commons Matt Hancock is now responding to Jonathan Ashworth, the shadow health secretary. Ashworth asked what the exit strategy was for areas in the highest tiers. Hancock says he already outlined it; complying with the regulations, and using mass testing.
Hancock publishes statement giving reasons for all local decisions
Matt Hancock has also published a written statement this morning explaining the criteria used to decide which area is going into which tier and giving reasons for all the local decisions taken.
For example, this is what Hancock says about what Liverpool city region is in tier 2.
There is continued improvement across the Liverpool city region. Case rates (including for the over 60s) are decreasing rapidly with some notable improvements in Liverpool, Knowsley and Sefton. Cases have fallen by 69% over 6 weeks. However, despite improvements, case rates in over 60s remain high at 150+ per 100,000 people in all lower tier local authorities.
Interestingly, the ministerial statement on the website at the moment is littered with question marks, suggesting it might be an early draft from before the final decisions were taken. For example, alongside Liverpool it says “High (Tier 2) ?”
In the Commons Matt Hancock, the health secretary, is now making a statement about the tiers.
He pays particular tribute to Liverpool, saying that it is an example of how a city can move from tier 3 to tier 2.
He says areas in tier 3 will be able to use mass testing. And he urges people to take advantage of mass testing, so that they can get their areas out of tier 3.
Full list of tier 3 areas
And here are the tier 3 areas.
North East
Tees Valley Combined Authority
Hartlepool
Middlesbrough
Stockton-on-Tees
Redcar and Cleveland
Darlington
North East Combined Authority:
Sunderland
South Tyneside
Gateshead
Newcastle upon Tyne
North Tyneside
County Durham
Northumberland
North West
Greater Manchester
Lancashire
Blackpool
Blackburn with Darwen
Yorkshire and The Humber
The Humber
West Yorkshire
South Yorkshire
West Midlands
Birmingham and Black Country
Staffordshire and Stoke-on-Trent
Warwickshire, Coventry and Solihull
East Midlands
Derby and Derbyshire
Nottingham and Nottinghamshire
Leicester and Leicestershire
Lincolnshire
South East
Slough (remainder of Berkshire is tier 2: High alert)
Kent and Medway
South West
Bristol
South Gloucestershire
North Somerset
Updated
Full list of tier 2 areas
North West
Cumbria
Liverpool City Region
Warrington and Cheshire
Yorkshire
York
North Yorkshire
West Midlands
Worcestershire
Herefordshire
Shropshire and Telford & Wrekin
East Midlands
Rutland
Northamptonshire
East of England
Suffolk
Hertfordshire
Cambridgeshire, including Peterborough
Norfolk
Essex, Thurrock and Southend on Sea
Bedfordshire and Milton Keynes
London
all 32 boroughs plus the City of London
South East
East Sussex
West Sussex
Brighton and Hove
Surrey
Reading
Wokingham
Bracknell Forest
Windsor and Maidenhead
West Berkshire
Hampshire (except the Isle of Wight), Portsmouth and Southampton
Buckinghamshire
Oxfordshire
South West
South Somerset, Somerset West and Taunton, Mendip and Sedgemoor
Bath and North East Somerset
Dorset
Bournemouth
Christchurch
Poole
Gloucestershire
Wiltshire and Swindon
Devon
Updated
Full list of tier 1 areas
Updated
Government publishes list showing which areas of England going into which tiers
Here is the full government list of showing which areas of England are going into which tiers.
Updated
Speaker welcomes news government website crashed, saying MPs should be told first
In the Commons Sir Lindsay Hoyle, the Speaker, has strongly condemned the government’s decision to put information about which areas are going into which tiers online before the news was announced to MPs. He was glad the website crashed, he suggest.
He told MPs:
The government should respect this chamber. It is not acceptable to put it online. The only good thing is it’s crashed, so it’s not helpful, so it might be we do get the statement first. But it is not acceptable. I do say once again, in the strongest terms, this house should hear it first. We’re elected to hear it first.
Government website crashes as news of new tier system emerges
Large parts of England, including Greater Manchester, Birmingham, Kent, Newcastle, Hull and Wolverhampton have seemingly been placed in the top tier of new coronavirus restrictions, amid a bungled government announcement of the rules.
Before the formal statement announcing the tiers was published, the government launched a web page where people could check their tier status by postcode – which promptly crashed.
But some people were able to check the postcode finder before it crashed, and reported that Greater Manchester, Birmingham, Kent, Newcastle, Hull and Wolverhampton were in tier 3, with London and Liverpool in tier 2.
Prompting a likely battle with Conservative MPs over the rules, which come into force once the England-wide lockdown lapses on 2 December, large sections of the country will apparently see very limited households mixing, and pubs and restaurants limited to takeaways.
London and Liverpool are believed to be in tier 2, which has slightly looser restrictions. The tiers will be reviewed every fortnight, with the system scheduled to be in place until the spring.
Under the tiers, non-essential shops in all areas can reopen, as can gyms, hairdressers and other personal care businesses, with the formal instruction to stay at home coming to an end. The “rule of six” will again apply for outdoor gatherings.
In tier 1, the rule of six will be the same both indoors and outdoors, allowing people from across households to see each other indoors. In tiers 2 and 3, such meetings will only be allowed outdoors, and in the top tier, this can only happen in parks or public gardens. In the two higher levels, no household mixing will be permitted inside, beyond the expected relaxation of rules over Christmas.
There has been a decrease in the number of people testing positive for coronavirus for the first time since the end of August, according to the latest NHS test and trace report (pdf).
The figures, published by the Department for Health and Social Care show that 152,660 people tested positive for coronavirus in the week ending 18 November, a decrease of 9% compared to the previous week. Last week the figures showed an increase of 11%.
Test and trace continues to struggle with reaching contacts, with the numbers contacted being broadly the same as the previous week. Some 156,574 people were transferred to the contact tracing system, and of those transferred, 84.9% were reached. But taking into account all contacts identified, only 60.3% were reached.
There was a slight reduction in the proportion of coronavirus tests being positive, with 8.8% of people tested having a positive result, a reduction from the 9.6% reported the previous week.
From Tony Roe, a BBC correspondent covering the east Midlands
Covid rates increasing in Scotland, ONS says
The ONS report says coronavirus rates in Scotland are increasing.
- Around one person in 115 in Scotland had coronavirus in the week from 15 to 21 November, the ONS says. That equates to 45,700 people. The figures for the week before were one person in 155, or 33,800 people in total.
Here is the government’s postcode checker that journalists are using to find out which areas are in which tier. But it has crashed.
According to Sky News, Leeds, Hull, Wolverhampton and Thanet are also all in tier 3.
Updated
The ONS report says Covid rates in Northern Ireland appear to have peaked in the middle of October.
- Around one person in 145 in Northern Ireland had coronavirus in the week from 15 to 21 November, the ONS says. That equates to 12,700 people. The figures for the week before were one person in 135, or 13,600 people in total.
According to Sky News, Manchester, Newcastle and Birmingham have been placed in tier 3 while Liverpool and London are in tier 2.
Covid rate in Wales falling to around one person in 185, says ONS
The ONS report says Covid rates in Wales have been decreasing in recent weeks.
- Around one person in 185 in Wales had coronavirus in the week from 15 to 21 November, the ONS says. That equates to 16,400 people. The figures for the week before were one person in 165, or 18,400 people in total.
The full ONS infection survey is now on the ONS website.
Here is some more detail about what it is saying about the prevalence of coronavirus in England.
- Around one person in 85 in England had coronavirus in the week from 15 to 21 November, the ONS estimates. That would equate to 633,000 people. The previous week the figure was one person in 80, or 664,700 people in total.
- Positivity rates are rising most in the East Midlands, the ONS says. It says:
Over the last week, positivity rates have increased in the east Midlands and have continued to decrease in the north-west, while the west Midlands, east of England, London, south-east and south-west now also appear to be decreasing; the highest positivity rates are seen in Yorkshire and the Humber, the north-west and the north-east.
- Rates are highest amongst secondary school-age children and young adults, the ONS says. It says:
Over the last week, increases in the positivity rate can only be seen in secondary school-age children and positivity rates have decreased in adults aged 35 years and over, whilst it appears that rates among the youngest age group as well as those aged school year 12 to age 24 years and 25 to 34 years are levelling off; rates remain highest among secondary school-age children and young adults.
Updated
Covid rates in England highest amongst teenagers and young adults, says ONS
Here are some more tweets from the ONS about the findings in its latest coronavirus infection survey.
ONS says Covid rate in England 'levelling off', with one person in 85 infected
The ONS’s weekly coronavirus infection survey is meant to be out. There seems to be a problem accessing it on the website at the moment, but the ONS has tweeted some of the key findings.
It says the latest estimate is that around one person in 85 in England had coronavirus last week. The figure published the previous week was one person in 80, so that suggests the prevalence of the virus is declining.
Sadiq Khan, the mayor of London, says the capital should be in tier 2 when the government announces its tiering decisions later this morning.
One UK business in 10 reporting turnover at more than 50% below normal, ONS says
The latest ONS survey of the impact of coronavirus on the economy and society has been published. It is based on responses to questions from about 10,000 UK firms in the first two weeks of November, weighted to make them representative. Here are some of its key findings.
- 15% of workers in the UK are on partial or full furlough, the report says. That is up from 9% in the second half of October (before the England-wide lockdown started).
- 51% of people are working at their normal workplace. That is down from 60% in the second half of October. Another 30% of people are working remotely, up from 28%.
- More than one business in 10 is reporting turnover at less than half what is normal for this time of year. And almost half of businesses are reporting turnover below what is normal. Here are the full figures.
Updated
A 20ft Nordmann Fir tree is on its way to Downing Street to take its place outside No 10 – the first time a tree grown in the north of England has been chosen to give traditional festive cheer to the prime minister’s residence.
The York-based tree grower Oliver Combe – winner of the champion Christmas grower of the year and who runs York Christmas Trees in Wiggington with his wife, Kirstie – felled the tree on Tuesday.
The annual British Christmas Tree Growers Association (BCTGA) competition has been running since 1999 and – surprisingly – it is the first time a winner from the north of England has received the overall gong. Combe told the York-based Press newspaper:
We are a small family-run Christmas tree business based on a farm just outside York and to be given the chance to deliver the tree for Downing Street is incredible and a great reward for all the hard work that our team puts in throughout the year.
Boris Johnson said: “We’re delighted that York Christmas Trees will be providing the Downing Street tree this year which I hope will be enjoyed by many.”
Updated
From the Sun’s Harry Cole
Sunak defends plan to freeze pay for many public sector workers
Rishi Sunak, the chancellor, has been doing a round of interviews this morning. Here are the main points he has been making.
- Sunak defended his decision to freeze pay for many public sector workers. Public sector workers were paid on average at least 7% more than than their private sector counterparts, he said.
That pay premium has certainly widened in the last six months, because what we’ve seen over the last six months is private sector wages have fallen by a percent and public sector wages have risen by around 4%.
On top of that, people in the private sector are losing their jobs, their hours are being cut, they are being furloughed - none of that is happening in the public sector.
So given the context, I couldn’t justify an across the board, universal pay increase for the public sector.
The Treasury claims that only around 1.3m out of 5.5m will have their pay frozen, although it is also claimed that many of the public sector workers getting a £250 pay rise will effectively see their pay cut because that will not compensate for inflation.
- Sunak refused to rule out breaking the Conservative party manifesto promise not to increase the rates income tax, national insurance or VAT. Asked about this, he just said he would not comment on future tax policy.
- He said that, although the government was cutting aid spending, it did intend to return to raise it again to 0.7% of national income when possible. He also rejected claims that the UK was turning its back on the poorest people in the world. He said:
I don’t think anyone could characterise our level of support for the poorest countries as turning our back. We’ll be spending more as a percentage of GDP than France, Canada, the US, Japan.
- He said he was “hopeful and confident” that the UK could reach a trade deal with the EU.
- He rejected claims that he was doing nothing to help 3m people who were self-employed. He said that 3m figure included many people who were not majority self-employed, “which means that they make the majority of their earnings from being employed”. And when asked about people who pay themselves through a company dividend, who do not get help through the self-employed employment support scheme, he said:
Those people also pay themselves through their company and PAYE, they’re eligible to be furloughed for that amount of their income. Their businesses could also benefit for government backed loans, the bounce back loans programme which has helped a million companies, those companies can benefit from business rate holidays and tax cuts, and those people can benefit from mortgage holidays ... So I don’t think it’s fair to say there isn’t support available.
Joe Anderson, the mayor of Liverpool, told the Today programme this morning that his city, which was in the first region to enter the original tier 3 status, was now ready to go to tier 2. He said:
I think the figures and the data justify Liverpool being at least, at least, in tier 2.
Asked if he would encourage other areas that are put in tier 3 to put up with the restrictions, Anderson said:
Yes, absolutely, because it’s about saving lives.
There’s no question that the action that we’ve taken in Liverpool has saved lives.
That’s what national government and local government should be about. It’s protecting your people and saving lives.
Updated
Average pay set to be £1,200 a year lower than expected by 2025 due to Covid, says thinktank
Good morning. Today people in England will find out exactly what coronavirus restrictions they will be subject to when the national lockdown ends on Wednesday next week. As we report in our overnight story, most of the country will be in tiers 2 or 3 – the two toughest sets of rules.
But before we get the details, analysis of the spending review yesterday continues, and this morning the Resolution Foundation has produced a striking assessment. It says average pay will be £1,200 a year lower by the middle of this decade than was expected before the pandemic. Summarising one of the findings in its spending review analysis, it says:
Average wages are now on track to be £1,200 lower than forecast pre-pandemic.
The combined effects of weaker pay growth and higher unemployment will serve to prolong Britain’s living standards squeeze. Household incomes are on course to grow by just 10 per cent in the 15 years since the start of the financial crisis in 2008, compared to the 40% growth seen in the 15 years running up to the crisis.
Here is the agenda for the day.
9.30am: The ONS publishes figures on migration during the coronavirus pandemic.
9.30am: Richard Hughes, head of the Office for Budget Responsibility, speaks at a Resolution Foundation event.
10.30am: The ONS publishes its weekly coronavirus infection survey (which is normally published on Fridays).
10.30am: The Institute for Fiscal Studies holds a briefing on the spending review.
11am: NHS test and trace releases its weekly performance figures.
After 11.30am: Matt Hancock, the health secretary, makes a statement to MPs about which areas in England will be subject to which tiers.
After 12.30pm: Dominic Raab, the foreign secretary, makes a Commons statement about development.
12.20pm: Nicola Sturgeon, the first minister, takes questions in the Scottish parliament.
1pm: Sir Keir Starmer holds a ‘Call Keir’ virtual meeting for people in the west of England.
Afternoon: Boris Johnson holds a press conference.
Politics Live is now doubling up as the UK coronavirus live blog and, given the way the Covid crisis eclipses everything, this will continue for the foreseeable future. But we will be covering non-Covid political stories too, and when they seem more important or more interesting, they will take precedence.
Here is our global coronavirus live blog.
I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions, and if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.
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