Closing summary
We started Monday morning with news that online retailers Boohoo and Asos are swooping in on two of Britain’s major high street brands:
- Boohoo confirmed that it was snapping up the Debenhams brand in a £55m deal that excludes the retailer’s remaining stores, leaving 12,000 jobs at risk
- Meanwhile, Asos put rumours to rest and said it was in exclusive talks with administrators of Arcadia Group to buy up the Topshop, Topman, Miss Selfridge and HIIT brands
- Retail trade union Usdaw is seeking urgent meetings with Debenhams’ administrators and said staff are being treated appallingly.
- In one piece of good news for the high street, Springboard data suggests “lockdown fatigue” spurred 9% rise in UK retail footfall, at least to stores that are allowed to stay open during current restrictions
- Asos shares jumped 5.3% and Boohoo rose 5.7% by Monday afternoon
In other news:
- Digital Davos got underway. Chinese President Xi Jinping used his speech at the digital Davos meeting to call for greater global cooperation, and - without naming names - warn that countries that decide to go-it-alone “will always fail”
- Germany’s Ifo Index showed a drop in business confidence in January, falling to 90.1 from 92.1 in December, as the country suffers the effects of Germany’s second Covid-lockdown
- However, according to draft documents seen by Reuters, the German government expects the country’s to recover to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2022
- European stocks tumbled into the red, as longer and tougher Covid restrictions loomed. They missed out on the US stimulus excitement, which buoyed Wall Street stocks
- Cineworld dealt a blow after nearly a third of investors voted against a controversial pay plan for its senior bosses
That’s all from us today. Join us again from 8am GMT tomorrow. Stay safe –KM
US markets are open for trading and the Nasdaq had already hit a record high.
Here are the initial prints:
- Dow falls 0.2% to 30,934 points
- S&P 500 rises 0.29% to 3,852 points
- Nasdaq hits another record high after opening 1% higher at 13,685.82 points
WEF: China's president calls for unity, warns against another 'Cold War'
Chinese President Xi Jinping has used his speech at the digital Davos meeting to call for greater global cooperation, and - without naming names - warn that countries that decide to go-it-alone “will always fail”
In Xi’s first speech at the World Economic Forum since 2017, the Chinese leader called for multilateral cooperation over isolationist policies.
We should build an open world economy ... discard discriminatory and exclusionary standards, rules and systems, and take down barriers to trade, investment and technological exchanges.
And while Xi did not name names, some comments seemed squarely aimed at the US, which under ex-president Trump had been waging a trade war with Beijing.
Nearly a week after Joe Biden’s inauguration, the Chinese president seemed to be calling for better relations between the two countries:
To build small circles or start a new Cold War, to reject, threaten or intimidate others, to wilfully impose decoupling, supply disruption or sanctions, and to create isolation or estrangement will only push the world into division and even confrontation.
We cannot tackle common challenges in a divided world, and confrontation will lead us to a dead end.
Humanity has learned lessons the hard way, and that history is not long gone. We must not return to the path of the past.
House of Fraser to cut 200 jobs in Edinburgh closure – Reuters
BREAKING: Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group have announced they will close the House of Fraser store at the Jenners building in Edinburgh in May, leading to 200 job losses, according to Reuters.
Shareholders revolt over Cineworld's controversial pay plan
Cineworld has been dealt a blow after nearly a third of investors voted against a controversial pay plan for its senior bosses.
The backlash relates to plans to pay executives up to £208m in share awards despite having furloughed more than 5,500 workers while its 127 cinemas have been shut during the pandemic.
The long-term incentive plan is contingent on Cineworld’s share price bounces back to £1.90p within three years. If this level is reached, bosses will share £104m, with the chief executive, Mooky Greidinger, and his brother and deputy, Israel, in line for awards of £33m each.
If the share price reaches the upper cap of £3.80, executive directors would between them be awarded shares worth a total of £208m, with the two Greidinger brothers receiving £65m each.
But despite the backlash, the resolutions have passed
Cineworld chairman Alicja Kornasiewicz said:
We acknowledge that there were a significant number of votes cast against the plan and the board will continue to engage with shareholders on remuneration matters in the coming months in light of the feedback received during our consultation.
The economic blow from Covid-19 has cost workers around the world $3.7tn (£2.7tn) in lost earnings, after the pandemic wiped out four times the number of working hours lost in the 2008 financial crisis, according to the UN’s labour body.
The International Labour Organization (ILO) said women and younger workers had borne the brunt of job losses and reductions in hours, and warned that people in sectors hardest-hit by the crisis – such as hospitality and retail – risked being left behind when the economy recovers.
Sounding the alarm that entrenched levels of inequality risked becoming a defining feature of the economic rebound from Covid-19, the Geneva-based agency said that governments around the world needed to take urgent action to support those at the heart of the storm.
In its annual analysis of the global jobs market, it said 8.8% of working hours were lost in 2020 relative to the end of 2019, equivalent to 255m full-time jobs. This is approximately four times bigger than the damage suffered by workers as a consequence of the 2008-9 financial crisis.
These “massive losses” resulted in an 8.3% decline in global labour income, before government support measures are included, according to the ILO, equivalent to $3.7tn in earnings – about 4.4% of global GDP.
Read more:
Stocks have fallen further in the past two hours, with most major indices down more than 1%, as the prospect of extended or tougher Covid lockdowns threatens economic growth in the short term.
David Madden, market analyst at CMC Markets UK, says European stocks are also missing out on the excitement over US president Joe Biden’s stimulus plan, which is still making its way through Congress:
It would appear that European markets are not enjoying the benefits of the Biden spending hopes like their US counterparts as restriction fears are the dominant story on this side of the Atlantic.
There has been little in the way of fresh news to spark excitement. Last week, US stocks set fresh records on account of President Biden’s stimulus plans, which influenced the positive moves we saw in Asia overnight but the mood is a little duller in this part of the world.
France already has tough restrictions in place but there is speculation the country is heading for a renewed lockdown.
Concerns are circulating about the slow rate at which the EU is rolling out vaccinations.
In relation to the pandemic, things are a little more mixed in the UK as the distribution of the vaccine is going well by international standards but sentiment is tempered by talk of tougher overseas travel restrictions.
Updated
Retail trade union Usdaw is seeking urgent meetings with Debenhams’ administrators and calling on the government to do more to save high streets after the failed department store said it would close all stores following the brand’s sale to Boohoo.
Dave Gill, Usdaw National Officer, said:
It is devastating news for our high streets that Debenhams’ administrators have sold the company brand to an online only retailer.
Throughout Debenhams’ difficulties the company and then administrators have refused to engage with Usdaw, the staff are being treated appallingly.
The union wants the government to extend business rates relief and help with millions of pounds of unpaid rent while shops have been forced to close during the pandemic.
Springboard: “Lockdown fatigue” spurs 9% rise in UK retail footfall
Springboard data released this morning shows that footfall across UK retail destinations (at least the ones that are open during lockdown) rose 9% in the week to 23 January.
It marks an improvement on the -10.9% fall the previous week, and is the first increase in footfall since the week beginning 13 December.
Footfall rose by 10.9% across UK high streets, 9.2% in shopping centres and 4.5% in retail parks, the report showed.
Diane Wehrle, Insights Director at Springboard chalked the rise up to ‘lockdown fatigue’:
Despite rain and snow last week across much of the UK, footfall rose in retail destinations last week from the week before for the first time in five weeks; perhaps providing the first indications of lockdown fatigue emerging once again.
The last rise in footfall was in the peak Christmas trading week beginning 13th December, and even then the rise was only a third as large as last week’s; since then there has been a double digit drop in footfall in each week.
Gordon Fletcher of the University of Salford Business School says the Boohoo deal is proof that shoppers are becoming less tied to the brick and mortar presence of their favourite brands:
A very clear message is being broadcast. Brands are still important. Brands have credibility and reputation.
Consumers have strong emotional connections with brands. However, the importance of the bricks and mortar traditionally associated with retail brands has now fully waned.
This is not a new realisation that has only been discovered during the pandemic. However, the current lockdown situation has forced us to cut the final ties between our favourite brands and the physical high street.
Bricks and mortar are important but after the lockdown the brands that we will see will be very different. These will be the brands that bring peak experience and engagement - maximising the value of face-to-face contact - and they will not be fashion retailers.
The FT’s retail correspondent Jonathan Eley reflects on how fortunes have changed for Boohoo, Asos, Debenhams and Arcadia over the past 15 years:
Wall Street looks like it may ignore the direction of travel across European stocks and instead follow Asian indices higher on the back of US stimulus hopes:
- S&P 500 futures are up 0.3%
- Nasdaq futures are up 0.9%
- Dow futures are flat
President Joe Biden’s administration has reportedly stepped up pressure on Congress to pass the $1.9tn Covid stimulus bill.
The bill includes $160bn to bolster vaccination and testing efforts, and other health programs and $350bn for state and local governments, as well as $1tn in relief to families, via direct payments and unemployment insurance.
European stocks tumble into the red
A raft of European indices, which opened in positive territory at the market open, have since tumbled into the red.
The FTSE 100 is down nearly 0.3%, with British Airways owner IAG one of the biggest fallers down 7.3%. Its shares are surely not being helped by speculation about tighter travel restrictions.
The FTSE 250 is down 0.2%. Germany’s DAX is down 0.2%, while the French CAC has dropped 0.4%.
Italy’s FTSE MIB is still in positive territory, up 0.15%.
Updated
More news out of Germany this morning, after data showed a dip in business confidence in January.
According to draft documents seen by Reuters, the German government expects the country’s to recover to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2022.
It also points to a 7% budget deficit and a debt ratio of 72.5%, as Berlin is spending billions of euros to help cushion the blow of the Covid outbreak.
(In contrast, the UK’s debt ratio is sitting at around 99.4% of gross domestic product (GDP), which is the the highest debt ratio since 1962)
Dr Martens pricing between 330p-370p ahead of IPO - Reuters
British footwear brand Dr Martens has said it is looking to raise up to £1.3bn from its pending London listing, as it plans to put 35% of its shares on the public market.
Reuters is reporting that the price range of the IPO would be between 330p and 370p per share. It would value the company at roughly £3.5bn.
That 35% float is before the so-called greenshoe option, which allows the company to put more shares forward for the IPO than originally planned, if there is high enough demand.
The float is expected to generate a huge windfall for its bosses and backers.
Updated
Online fashion retailer Asos is in exclusive talks to buy a number of the UK’s best-known high street brands including Topshop, Topman and Miss Selfridge.
The brands are part of Sir Philip Green’s fashion empire Arcadia which collapsed into administration last year.
If Asos can seal a deal it is likely to be bad news for thousands of staff and the high street store network as it operates as an online-only business. Arcadia Group as a whole employed 13,000 staff and had 500 stores across the UK when it entered administration in November.
The Guardian first revealed on Friday that Asos had emerged as a serious contender to buy the Topshop brand.
Administrators have been seeking buyers for Arcadia’s brands, which also include Dorothy Perkins and Burton. Evans, its plus-size clothing brand, was sold to City Chic Collective, an Australian retailer, for £23m.
High street rival Next, which was working with the US hedge fund Davidson Kempner, pulled out of the auction on Thursday. In a statement, the consortium said it had been “unable to meet the price expectations of the vendor” amid speculation that Topshop, Arcadia’s prime asset, could fetch between £250m and £300m.
Asos shares rose 6% after the announcement on Monday.
Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, says Boohoo and Asos are likely to benefit from a strategy that involves “cherry picking” brands and assets from collapsed the Debenhams and Arcadia Group.
And for Boohoo, it could be its big break. The company has been trying to reclaim its reputation after an investigation by the Guardian revealed last year that workers in parts of its supply chain in Leicester may be being paid as little as £3 to £4 an hour. So bosses are likely to be relieved that investors are pushing stocks higher this morning.
Streeter says:
Boohoo aims to break into the retail big time with this deal. It marks quite a journey for the company which started as a fast fashion upstart and is now turning into a sprawling empire, by scooping up household names which have fallen into distress.
Showing just how far the once mighty have fallen, boohoo has only had to dip a little into its deep cash pockets to snap up the department store chain’s most precious assets. It’s paying £55m from its available cash balance which stood at £386.9m at the end of 2020.
Boohoo is turning its back on Debenhams entire store estate, seeing little value in bricks and mortar stores, as the shift to digital shopping intensifies during the pandemic.
Instead it believes that the brands and website will help it create the UK’s largest marketplace and position it to propel into international expansion.
It sees acquiring the home, beauty and sports assets sold by Debenhams as a big prize, allowing it to enter new markets, and expand from its pure fashion base.
DATA UPDATE: Germany’s Ifo Index shows a drop in business confidence in January.
The index dropped to 90.1 compared to consensus estimates for a reading of 91.8.
The measure is down from 92.1 in December, as the country suffers the effects of Germany’s second Covid-lockdown.
ITV’s business and economics editor notes how Lyttle has dodged questions about how many Debenhams jobs might be saved:
Lyttle says Boohoo will start reaching out to some of Debenham’s suppliers and partners in the coming days, to sort out whether they will maintain their ties with the brand following the takeover:
In terms of the third party relationships, we’ll be looking to work with the existing third party partners who are working with debenhams.com, and obviously we will be starting those conversations this week.
Boohoo CEO John Lyttle is giving a presentation to analysts on the Debenhams deal.
He seems to be leaving the door open for further deals as opportunities arise. It might not take long for more brands to come up for sale, as the high street continues to be battered by Covid lockdowns and the major shift to online shopping.
Lyttle says:
This [Debenhams deal] will be funded from our existing cash reserves, which stood at £387m on 31 of December, leaving a significant remaining cash balance to support further M&A opportunities as they arise
Lyttle adds that Boohoo will not take immediate control of the Debenhams website, letting stock run down before taking over:
The administrator will continue to operate the website for the next couple of months, while the inventory clears. And then we anticipate moving debenhams.com onto our platform to go live can just a couple of months.
My colleague Mark Sweney has the full Debenhams story, here:
The World Economic Forum’s annual meeting has had to ditch the Swiss mountains of Davos and move online this year.
Organisers have still managed to line up some heavy hitters, with tomorrow’s* programme featuring European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, German chancellor Angela Merkel and and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon.
The full schedule for Tuesday* can be found here, but these are the highlights:
- 10.00am GMT: Special address by EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen
- 11.00am GMT: on climate with Alok Sharma
- 12.00pmGMT: Address by Angela Merkel
- 2.00pmGMT: Address by Emmanuel Macron
*CORRECTION: These highlights were for Tuesday’s schedule, not Monday.
Updated
Boohoo shares jump nearly 4% after Debenhams deal announced
Investors are jumpin gon Boohoo shares following the Debenhams announcement, pushing its stock price up 3.7%tot 348.7p per share.
Asos is also on the rise, up 0.88% at 4,891p per share, after revealing its own talks with Arcadia Group administrators.
European markets are broadly higher at the start of trading.
The FTSE 100 is up 0.2%, while the more domestically focused FTSE 250 is up more than 0.5%.
The French CAC 40 is up 0.4%, while Spain’s IBEX has jumped 0.6% and Italy’s FTSE MIB opened higher by 0.6%.
Germany’s DAX is up 0.5%.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 is also up 0.5%.
Boohoo is set to hold an investor and analyst call around 8:30am, so we’ll bring you updates as we get them. Stay tuned.
Boohoo’s executive chairman Mahmud Kamani is hoping the Debenham’s deal will give his group an edge in new areas including beauty, sport and homeware:
Our ambition is to create the UK’s largest marketplace. Our acquisition of the Debenhams brand is strategically significant as it represents a huge step which accelerates our ambition to be a leader, not just in fashion eCommerce, but in new categories including beauty, sport and homeware.
Meanwhile, Boohoo’s CEO John Lyttle said the group was taking advantage of the huge shift to online shopping:
The acquisition of the Debenhams brand is an important development for the group, as we seek to capture incremental growth opportunities arising from the accelerating shift to online retail.
We have developed a successful multi-brand direct-to-consumer platform that continues to disrupt the markets that we operate in.
The acquisition represents an exciting strategic opportunity to transform our target addressable market through the creation of an online marketplace that leverages Debenhams’ high brand awareness and traffic through the development of beauty and fashion partnerships connecting brands with consumers.
Introduction: Boohoo to buy Debenhams in £55m deal
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.
We start this chilly Monday morning with news that online retailers Boohoo and Asos are swooping in on two of Britain’s major high street brands.
First up, Boohoo confirmed that it is snapping up the Debenhams brand in a £55m deal that excludes the retailer’s remaining stores, meaning they will be wound down once they are in a position to re-open.
The deal - which will see Boohoo relaunch Debenhams’ online site in 2022 – will inevitably lead to job losses at the high street stalwart, which went into administration in December 2019 with 143 stores and 12,000 staff.
Meanwhile, Asos put rumours to rest and said it was in exclusive talks with administrators of Arcadia Group to buy up the Topshop, Topman, Miss Selfridge and HIIT brands.
Asos said:
The board believes this would represent a compelling opportunity to acquire strong brands that resonate well with its customer base.
However, at this stage, there can be no certainty of a transaction and ASOS will keep shareholders updated as appropriate. Any acquisition would be funded from cash reserves.
We’re likely to see a jump in Boohoo and Asos shares when trading starts 8am GMT, with European markets expected to open broadly higher this morning:
Not much on the economic calendar today, but we’ll keep you posted on how business confidence is faring in Germany when Ifo data comes out at 9am.
Today also marks the start of the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, which is taking place virtually due to Covid, rather than in the Swiss mountain village of Davos (much to the disappointment of its mayor, Philipp Wilhelm).
The agenda:
- 9.00am GMT: German Ifo business climate index for January
Updated