Kalyeena Makortoff 

GameStop shares surge in extended trading frenzy – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news as organised retail traders continue to cause mayhem for Wall Street
  
  

A demonstrator holds up a placard in front of the New York Stock Exchange, hours after Robinhood, an online stock trading company, restricted their users from trading the popular GameStop stocks.
A demonstrator holds up a placard in front of the New York Stock Exchange, hours after Robinhood, an online stock trading company, restricted their users from trading the popular GameStop stocks. Photograph: John Lamparski/SOPA Images/REX/Shutterstock

Closing summary

  • The Reddit brigade of retail investors continued to squeeze hedge funds stuck in short positions by piling back into their favourite stocks this afternoon
  • It came after online brokers like Robinhood started to ease restrictions that they temporarily imposed on trading overnight, following large price swings
  • The move resulted in an 83% surge in GameStop shares at the open to $354, a 53% rise in AMC, a 15% jump in Blackberry shares and a 12% rise in Bed, Bath & Beyond
  • Tesla boss Elon Musk whipped up fresh interest in Bitcoin after changing his Twitter bio to say, well, just Bitcoin
  • However, the unpredictable volatility has left investors spooked, leaving major indices nursing losses in Friday’s session. The FTSE 100 fell 1.1%, Germany’s DAX fell 1.09%, and France’s Cad 40 was down 1.4%
  • Wall Street followed suit, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both down 0.5%, and the Dow down 0.6%
  • Both the US SEC and FCA weighed in with warnings. The UK regulator warned consumers to take extreme caution as they could lose all their money. The SEC meanwhile, said it was closely monitoring the price volatility would ensure firms are protecting investors and pursuing “potential wrongdoing”.

In other news:

  • About 22 senior staff at Dr Martens have become paper multimillionaires overnight. It came after the boot brand’s shares started conditional trading on the UK stock market at more than 425p per share. The full IPO is set for 3 February
  • Fast fashion retailer Boohoo confirmed it has entered into exclusive talks to buy the Dorothy Perkins, Wallis and Burton brands from Sir Philip Green’s fashion empire, Arcadia Group, which collapsed into administration last year

That’s all from us today. Have a good weekend and stay safe! –KM

Sushil Kuner, financial services lawyer at Gowling WLG, says:

The FCA is right to issue this stark reminder of the need to adhere to the Market Abuse Regulations. The furore and excitement of share dynamics can soon dispel as the reality of falling foul of the law hits hard.

The Financial Conduct Authority has issued its own statement following the SEC warning:

Other shares targeted by Reddit traders are surging at the US open:

US stocks fall at open, GameStop surges

Major US indices are tumbling into the red, but the Reddit brigade is piling back into stocks including GameStop:

  • Dow is down 1%
  • S&P 500 is down 0.6%
  • Nasdaq is down 0.4%

Meanwhile, GameStop is up 83% at the start of trading.

US SEC: We are closely monitoring extreme price volatility

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has just put out a statement saying that it is keeping a close eye on the extreme price volatility across stock markets.

It adds that it will ensure firms are protecting investors and are pursuing “potential wrongdoing”, but without making clear who their warning was directed at.

Here’s the statement:

The Commission is closely monitoring and evaluating the extreme price volatility of certain stocks’ trading prices over the past several days....Nevertheless, extreme stock price volatility has the potential to expose investors to rapid and severe losses and undermine market confidence.

It adds that the SEC is working “closely” with the government , other regulators and stock exchanges “to ensure that regulated entities uphold their obligations to protect investors and to identify and pursue potential wrongdoing.”

The Commission will closely review actions taken by regulated entities that may disadvantage investors or otherwise unduly inhibit their ability to trade certain securities.

In addition, we will act to protect retail investors when the facts demonstrate abusive or manipulative trading activity that is prohibited by the federal securities laws.

Market participants should be careful to avoid such activity. Likewise, issuers must ensure compliance with the federal securities laws for any contemplated offers or sales of their own securities.

Updated

Johnson & Johnson shares are down 3% in pre-market trading at $164.

That’s amid fresh reports about the efficacy of its own vaccine, which is lower than those for two others including the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna, which were around 95% effective.

As our global health editor Sarah Boseley reports:

A fifth vaccine, made by the US company Johnson & Johnson, has shown efficacy against the coronavirus and could transform prospects for protecting both the UK and the rest of the world, because it needs only a single dose.

The vaccine, made by the US giant’s subsidiary Janssen, based in the Netherlands, was trialled in the UK – and the British government has bought 30m doses. The EU has ordered 400m doses.

The company said it had 72% efficacy in preventing Covid in the US but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

The results of the trials have been much anticipated, because the Janssen vaccine can be given as a single injection. That means stocks will go further, and particularly in lower-income countries an immunisation programme will be easier as there is no need for a recall after three or 12 weeks.

US consumer spending drops for second straight month

DATA FLASH: US consumer spending dropped in December for the second month in a row, as Covid restrictions continued to curb consumer activity.

It slipped 0.2% last month, following a 0.7% drop in November. However, that was better than analyst expectations for a 0.4% fall.

US futures are pointing to a negative start on Wall Street, reversing gains made at the end of Thursday’s trading session:

  • Dow futures are down 0.97%
  • S&P 500 futures are down 0.85%
  • Nasdaq futures are down 0.79%

Robinhood, the app favoured by small investors who have sent the share price of certain stocks soaring, has secured a $1bn (£730m) injection from backers to handle the ongoing market frenzy, our media business correspondent Mark Sweney reports.

Robinhood has tapped existing investors and drawn down at least several hundred million dollars via a credit facility from banks led by JPMorgan including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Barclays.

A spokesperson for Robinhood early on Friday described the $1bn injection as a “strong sign of confidence” that will help it “further serve our customers”.

Robinhood also contacted existing investors, which include Sequoia Capital and Ribbit Capital, about emergency funding, according to the New York Times.

It comes after the restore trading in companies including GameStop, after temporarily restricting access for the most targeted stocks.

The move to stop trades outraged users of Robinhood, which says its mission is to “democratise finance for all”, and sparked questions from US politicians.

Our full story will be posted shortly.

Need to catch up on the Wall Street trading frenzy? The folks over at Planet Money have come up with an amusing explanation on their TikTok channel.

Enjoy.

Planet Money’s TikTok channel breaks down the battle between hedge funds and Reddit traders.

Concerns are mounting over whether financial markets have entered into bubble territory, given the stellar rise of some stocks and the never-ending news about new record highs for US indices.

It raises another key question: if we are in a bubble, is it about to burst?

Frédérique Carrier, head of investment strategy at RBC Wealth Management, says there are some interesting comparisons to be drawn with the dotcom bubble of the late 1990s, including cheap credit or easy money, that could disappear when the pandemic ends and credit conditions tighten.

However, she seems less convinced that we’re about to see the same chaos, partly due to the fact that stock market valuations do not seem as elevated as they did ahead of the dotcom collapse:

On the surface, U.S. equities appear expensive at 22.3x the 2021 consensus earnings estimate for the S&P 500.

After excluding the five largest technology-driven stocks (Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Facebook), which constitute more than 20 percent of the S&P 500’s market capitalisation, the forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio drops to 17.5x, according to our national research correspondent.

This compares to a 10-year average of 16.4x for the S&P 500 as a whole, suggesting to us that while valuations are expensive, they are not significantly overvalued.

She says the Fed is likely to keep monetary policy loose, even if inflation picks up, given that a full economic recover from Covid is still a few years away. Stimulus also also likely to keep flowing.

But Carrier says this doesn’t mean investors shouldn’t be cautious:

Still, a pullback or correction cannot be ruled out, as much enthusiasm seems discounted in equity prices.

The frothiest, most extended parts of the U.S. market would be most vulnerable, in our opinion.

Difficulties with vaccine rollouts and delays in reopening economies that lead to disappointing earnings guidance could all trigger profit-taking.

Updated

European indices are still solidly in the red:

  • FTSE 100 is down 1%
  • FTSE 250 is down 0.7%
  • Germany’s DAX is down 0.9%
  • France’s CAC 40 is down 1%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB is down 1.2%

The FTSE 100 has now lost all of the gains it made at the start of the month.

Unless there’s an uptick before the end of the session, London’s blue chip index will have dropped around 1.5% in the first 30 days of 2021.

About 22 senior staff at Dr Martens have become paper multimillionaires overnight, receiving share awards worth more than £350m in the flotation.

They include the chief executive, Kenny Wilson, who joined the company in 2018 and is in line for a stake worth more than £60m. He previously worked for Cath Kidston, which collapsed last year.

Dr Martens’ chairman, Paul Mason, who was once the chief executive of Asda, will also receive a multimillion-pound windfall.

It came after the British boot company confirmed it would make it its stock market debut at 370p a share, giving it a valuation of £3.7bn at the top end of its range after keen investor demand for the famous boot brand meant the offer was eight times oversubscribed.

Shares were up 16% to 425p in conditional trading on Friday, among investors who were allocated shares in the IPO, but full market trading begins on 3 February.

Other stocks targeted by Reddit traders including cinema chain AMC and handset company Blackberry are rising in after hours trading:

  • AMC is up 63% at $13.99
  • BlackBerry is up 19% at around $17.19
  • Bed, Bath & Beyond is up 16% at $39.30

Next up? Analysts say message boards points towards a potential jump in metal prices.

Neil Wilson, chief market analyst for Markets.com, says:

Keep an eye on silver – the /wallstreetbets thread is laced with mentions of effecting a massive short squeeze on the metal.

Yesterday we did see a sharp spike higher but it coincided with a swift reversal for the US dollar and gold also shot higher.

One to watch though.

Elon Musk has whipped up fresh interest in Bitcoin after changing his Twitter bio to say, well, just Bitcoin.

The cryptocurrency is now trading higher by around 11% at roughly $36,872.

The Tesla boss has been revered by many small retail traders taking part in the trading frenzy.

GameStop shares jump 115% in after hours trading

An update to after hours trading data shows retail investors are not letting GameStop shares flounder, after Robinhood and other online broker platforms eased restrictions on select share trading.

GameStop shares are now up more than 115% at around $417 each.

DATA UPDATE: German unemployment and Q4 GDP figures are out.

Economic performance was broadly in line with expectations, with German GDP rising just 0.1% in the final three months 2020 compared to the previous quarter.

But unemployment figures for January delivered a surprise. While analysts had expected the number of people unemployed in Europe’s largest economy to rise by 6,000, jobless numbers actually fell by 41,000.

Germany’s unemployment rate currently sits at 6%.

Speaking of which, US-based Novavax has seen shares jump 26% in after hours trading to $167.50 each.

Conor Campbell, a financial analyst at SpreadEx, notes that the retail trading frenzy is overshadowing positive news of the Novavax vaccine, which has been shown to be 90% effective in a UK trial.

He says:

The Reddit revolution has done a number on the European and US markets, scaring investors away from the message board-led volatility.

Of course, it’s not the Gamestop-saga alone. The vaccine rollout process in Europe has hit a confidence-undermining road bump this week, with the public spat between the UK, EU and AstraZeneca, while an end to lockdown in the UK appears nowhere in sight.

It is telling how risk-off investors are feeling this Friday that news the Novavax Covid-19 vaccine is nearly 90% effective – including against the UK variant – failed to induce the same dose of optimism as previous announcements of its kind.

Instead the markets opened Friday awash with red. The FTSE fell another 0.9%, this time despite the pound’s own reversal against the dollar and the euro.

Completing the erasure of the blockbuster growth that opened 2021, the UK index is now trading under 6,470, its worst price for over 5 weeks.

Updated

Facebook has taken down the popular Wall Street discussion group, Robinhood Stock Traders, in a move that its founder described as backlash for conversations buoying shares of GameStop Corp and other companies this week, Reuters reports.

Allen Tran, a 23-year-old from Chicago who created Robinhood Stock Traders, said he woke up on Wednesday to a notification that Facebook had disabled the 157,000-member group.

The notification, seen by Reuters, said without detail that the group violated policies on “adult sexual exploitation”.

Tran, who also runs the 20,000-member HaiKhuu Trading group on chat app Discord, said he has never seen adult content on the Facebook group.

Facebook spokeswoman Kristen Morea said, “This group was removed for violating our Community Standards, unrelated to the ongoing stock frenzy.” She did not respond to requests to elaborate.

Tran said institutional investors are trying to separate retail traders.

Dr Martens shares open at 425p on conditional stock market debut

Shares in the classic British boot brand have opened at 425p in their first day of conditional trading, surging past the IPO price of 370p.

Reuters is reporting that shares have since stepped up to 439.9p (I need extra coffee, please send more boot puns).

Clarification: Dr Martens are trading on a conditional basis today. The full IPO is due next week on 3 February.

Updated

Spain & France: GDP better-than-expected in Q4

Time for a round-up of European economic data.

Both Spain and France have performed better than expected in the latest release of fourth quarter GDP.

Spain’s economy had been expected to contract by -1.5% in the final three months of 2020, but surprised analysts with 0.4% growth.

France, meanwhile, suffered a -1.3% contraction in GDP in the fourth quarter. However, that was better than the -4.0% slump that experts had forecast.

We’re expecting figures from Germany shortly.

Updated

In other news this morning, fast fashion retailer Boohoo confirmed it has entered into exclusive talks to buy the Dorothy Perkins, Wallis and Burton brands from Sir Philip Green’s fashion empire, Arcadia Group, which collapsed into administration last year.

It has reportedly offered £25m for the trio of brands, but in an official statement, the company said:

These discussions may or may not result in agreement of a transaction. A further announcement will be made when appropriate.

The development comes days after Boohoo paid £55m to buy the 243-year old Debenhams brand in a deal that will result in the chain’s remaining 118 high street stores disappearing and the likely loss of 12,000 jobs.

Boohoo is expected to take the same approach and shut all Dorothy Perkins, Wallis and Burton high street store, keeping few existing staff.

Administrators have been seeking buyers for parts of Arcadia Group, which as a whole employed 13,000 staff and had 500 stores across the UK, since November.

Evans, its plus-size clothing brand, was sold to City Chic Collective, an Australian retailer, for £23m.

On Monday, the online fashion retailer Asos entered exclusive talks to buy the Arcadia brands Topshop, Topman, Miss Selfridge and HIIT. Topshop, Arcadia’s prime asset, could fetch between £250m and £300m.

European shares tumble at market open

All of Europe’s major indexes are on the back foot at the start of trading, falling more than 1%:

  • FTSE 100 fell 1.6%
  • FTSE 250 dropped 1.1%
  • Germany’s DAX is down 1.4%
  • France’s CAC 40 is down 1.6%
  • Spain’s IBEX is down 1.6%
  • The pan-European Stoxx 600 is down 1%

Introduction: Stocks drop as retail frenzy prompts investor caution

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

Stocks are slipping as investors pulled back from risky bets that could be foiled by an army of small investors intent on propping up some of Wall Street’s most-shorted shares.

Small traders who have been organising on social media platforms including Reddit to squeeze major hedge funds, have started to pile back in to some of their favourite targets after Robinhood and other online brokers reversed restrictions on shares including ailing shop GameStop. (It came after fury from traders who filed a class action suit against Robinhood.)

GameStop shares had plunged 44% after restrictions were imposed on Thursday, marking its first decline in six days and cutting its gains for the week to just 200%. But the trade restriction reversal sent shares up about 60% in after hours trading to around $311.

But investors are spooked by the unpredictable volatility, with hedge funds now reportedly starting to scrape “foul mouthed” online message boards to try get some sense of where organised retail investors might pour their money next.

US stocks managed to recover from a lower base, after posting some of the biggest losses in three months. The Dow and S&P 500 rose nearly 1% while the Nasdaq gained 0.5%.

However, investors have been more caution overseas, with Asian shares dropping across the board. The Nikkei 225 feell 1.9%, the Heng Seng dropped nearly 0.7% and the Shanghai Composite fell 0.6%

Europe is also set to fall into the red at the start of trading:

European shares are not being helped by the battle over Covid vaccine sales. As Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK, explains:

An added concern is the prospect of a slower vaccine rollout, as well as disruption to vaccine supplies, as the EU weights the prospect of export controls on vaccine supplies, thus raising the political temperature amongst those who have managed to coordinate their vaccine rollout program better.

In a separate development European Council President Charles Michel even raised the prospect of seizing control of vaccine production in an attempt to get its own botched vaccine program back on track, after the likes of parts of Spain, France and Germany ran out of vaccine supplies.

The agenda:

  • 8.55am GMT: German unemployment for January
  • 9.00am GMT: Germany flash Q4 GDP
  • 1.30pm GMT: US Core PCE price index for December / US personal spending / US personal income
 

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