Julia Kollewe 

Wall Street, European stocks rise to new record highs on Omicron optimism – as it happened

Optimism sweeps through travel, banking and energy sectors as Omicron fears recede
  
  

The New York Stock Exchange.
The New York Stock Exchange. Photograph: John Minchillo/AP

Closing summary

Global stocks are rocketing, as 2022 got off to a good start on financial markets, with fears over the severity of the Omicron variant receding.

Japan’s Nikkei jumped 1.77% to a six-week closing high in its first trading day of the new year, after a strong Wall Street performance on Monday and a softer yen boosted carmakers.

The dollar rose to its highest level since 2017 against the yen, after US Treasury yields jumped with traders betting on an early Federal Reserve rate hike to combat red-hot inflation, running at an annual rate of 6.8%. Sterling has risen against the euro, on expectations of further UK interest rate hikes after December’s surprise rise from the Bank of England, while the European Central Bank is not expected to act on rates this year.

The FTSE 100 index in London has risen to its highest level in nearly two years, adding 122 points, or 1.65%, to 7,507, by mid-afternoon on its first trading day of 2022. The pan-European Euro Stoxx 600 hit a fresh record high the second day in a row (Europe and Wall Street reopened on Monday), gaining as much as 1.1% to 495.46. The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 on Wall Street have also reached new all-time peaks.

Colin Asher, senior economist at Mizuho, told Reuters:

As far as markets are concerned, Omicron is in the rear view mirror.

The main focus was on a collapse in demand and now because demand has recovered so quickly, the focus is more on the supply… it will prolong supply chain delays and push prices higher rather than push activity down.

Oil prices rose as much as 2% as oil producers from the Opec cartel and its allies, including Russia, agreed to stick with their planned increase for February, on the assumption that Omicron would have only a small impact on demand. Brent crude gained $1.25 to $80.21 a barrel while US light crude added $1.12 to $77.21 a barrel.

Our main stories today:

Thank you for reading, and Happy New Year! We’ll be back again tomorrow. Bye! - JK

Updated

The US manufacturing survey from the Institute for Supply Management has shown weaker activity in the sector, with the main index falling to 58.7 in December from 61.1 in November. ISM highlighted “very robust orders,” though.

Dow Jones, S&P 500 hit fresh record highs

The opening bell has rung on Wall Street, and the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 have hit fresh record highs.

The Dow rose 163 points, or 0.45%, to 36,748 while the S&P 500 gained 15 points, or 0.3%, to 4,811 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq also added 15 points, or 0.1%, to 15,847.

The FTSE 100 index in London has powered 120 points, or 1.6%, ahead to 7,505 while Germany’s Dax is up 1.1% at 16,200, France’s CAC is 1.56% higher at 7,329 and Italy’s FTS MiB has gained 1.2% to 28,066.

The pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 has also hit a fresh record high, rising 1.1% to 495.46.

Updated

Swedbank's ex-CEO charged over money laundering scandal

Sweden’s Economic Crime Authority has charged Swedbank’s former chief executive Birgitte Bonnesen over alleged economic crimes in relation to a Baltic money laundering scandal that rocked the bank three years ago.

The authority said in a statement that the former CEO was being charged with gross swindling as the primary count, or with serious market manipulation in the second instance, Reuters reported.

Swedbank said last year it would not file claims for damages against its former top executive and board for the financial year 2019, when the Swedish banking group came under investigation over money-laundering breaches in the Baltics.

When Bonnesen was sacked by Swedbank in March 2019, she was the second Nordic banking boss to be ousted within months amid money laundering allegations. Thomas Borgen resigned from Denmark’s largest lender, Danske Bank, last autumn.

US stocks set for record open

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones and the S&P 500, which closed at record levels last night, are set for a record open, as worries about the Omicron variant subsided. Futures are pointing to a further 141 point gain for the Dow, a 15 point rise for the S&P 500 and a 21 point increase for the Nasdaq.

Over here, the FTSE 100 has climbed 108 points, or 1.47%, to 7,493. Germany’s Dax is 154 points ahead, a near-1% gain, at 16,174 while France’s CAC has added 103 points, or 1.4%, to 7,320 and Italy’s FTSE MiB has jumped 286 points, or 1%, to 28,017.

Updated

News round-up

Britain’s manufacturers have suffered a drop in export demand amid pressure from Covid and Brexit, according to fresh data that shows supply chain disruption and staff shortages held back the economy in December.

Go-Ahead has halted the trading of its shares on the London Stock Exchange after the train and bus operator failed to file its financial results because of issues surrounding a £25m breach of Southeastern’s railway franchise agreement.

Burger King has become the first fast food restaurant to launch vegan nuggets in the UK today.

Shares in the embattled Chinese property developer Evergrande rose after being suspended.

Ministers have greater powers to block foreign takeovers of British firms after new rules came into effect on Tuesday giving them more scope to unpick deals that have the potential to harm national security.

The National Security and Investment Act, which enhances existing powers, is described by the government as the “biggest shake-up of the UK’s national security regime for 20 years”.

The number of UK first-time homebuyers has hit its highest level since 2002, according to a new estimate.

Despite the uncertainty generated by the pandemic and strong house price growth, the number of first-time buyer transactions in 2021 is estimated to be 408,300, according to Yorkshire Building Society.

The US electric carmaker Tesla has been criticised for opening a new showroom in the capital of Xinjiang, a region at the heart of years-long campaign by Chinese authorities of repression and assimilation against the Uyghur people.

Elizabeth Holmes, founder of Theranos, has been found guilty on four of 11 charges of fraud, concluding a high profile trial that captivated Silicon Valley and chronicled the missteps of the now-defunct US blood testing startup.

Can London stock market shake off dinosaur image to boldly go?

Bethany Beckett, UK economist at Capital Economics, has also looked at the £1.2bn rise in UK consumer borrowing in November, up from £800m in October and the eighth month of increases, and what it means for consumer spending. She says that the strength is unlikely to have lasted.

  • The healthy rise in consumer credit in November adds to evidence that economic activity strengthened in the middle of Q4. But that feels like a distant memory now. Against a backdrop of surging Covid-19 cases, we suspect that households’ appetite for unsecured borrowing has dropped back since then.
  • These data tally with the similarly big 1.2% month on month rise in retail sales in November and point to a pick-up in consumer spending ... It appeared that households were well on their way towards a return to more ‘normal’ borrowing and saving behaviour as the economy picked up some momentum. And the improvement wasn’t just limited to households: non-financial businesses took on £2.1bn more in loans, which marked a significant increase over October’s £0.6bn rise and was driven by a big rise in lending to large businesses.
  • Mortgage borrowing also rose strongly, from £1.1bn in October to £3.7bn in November. But a large part of that was a rebound following unusually low levels of borrowing in October after the stamp duty holiday was phased out. Indeed, mortgage approvals ticked down, from 67,103 to 66,964 in November. Finally, the further fall in the annual growth rate ... in November offers some support to our forecast that current high rates of CPI inflation will be temporary.
  • But the strong November data are old news now. We suspect that surging virus cases will have knocked borrowing since then. And with households facing a squeeze from higher inflation and taxes in the coming months, consumer spending may struggle to make much headway over the next few quarters.

Laura Suter, head of personal finance at the stockbroker AJ Bell, says the spike in consumer borrowing in November suggests people started their Christmas shopping early.

The nation got a head-start on its Christmas shopping this year, with the combination of Black Friday discounts, and worries about delivery delays and stock shortages all meaning that spending shot up in November. The nation is rapidly forgetting its frugal lockdown ways, with borrowing rising and the amount we’ve stashed away in savings falling, even compared to pre-pandemic levels.

Brits turned to the plastic for their pre-Christmas shopping, with £900m added to credit card debt in November, taking total net borrowing in the month to £1.2bn – the highest level since lockdown eased in July 2020. It’s a stark contrast to November last year, when Brits actually repaid £915m of credit card debt rather than adding to borrowing. It even looks high when compared to the pre-pandemic December peak of £681m being spent on plastic in December 2019.

The good savings habits many people got into during lockdown also showed signs of dwindling in November, with the amount saved into cash accounts below pre-pandemic levels. In November £4.5bn was saved in banks and building society accounts and another £200m with NS&I – 60% lower than the average of the past 12 months.

The average interest rate on those savings increased by just 1 basis point in the month, showing why the nation’s enthusiasm for saving might be wearing a little thin, as they are rewarded with such measly returns. We’ll see this interest figure tick up slightly in December’s data, following the Bank of England’s rate hike, but it’s unlikely to be enough to drive a savings revolution among the population.

The EY Item Club forecasting group is cautiously optimistic about the UK manufacturing outlook this year.

It highlights that manufacturing bottlenecks eased at the close of 2021, and expects the situation to continue to improve in the first six months of this year.

Martin Beck, chief economic advisor to the EY Item Club, says:

Some positive supply-side developments went alongside growth in input costs falling back from November’s record high, although growth in factory gate prices accelerated to a new survey peak. Whether these patterns continue has been made more uncertain by global restrictions put in place in response to the spread of the more transmissible Omicron Covid-19 variant. These restrictions are likely to slow the rate at which pressure on supply chains is reduced.

However, if, as the EY Item Club expects, bottlenecks meaningfully ease during the second half of 2022, strong orders data and elevated backlogs should set manufacturers up for a decent 2022, even as consumer spending patterns continue their, currently interrupted, rotation back from goods to services.

UK and European shares are still pushing higher, as optimism about Omicron is spreading.

  • FTSE 100 index up 94 points, or 1.28%, at 7,479
  • Germany’s Dax up 0.66% at 16,125
  • France’s CAC up 1.2% at. 7,305
  • Italy’s FTSE MiB up 0.68% at 27,919

Britain's exporters to be slowest to recover from Covid

The survey also showed that Britain’s manufacturers have suffered a drop in export demand amid pressure from Covid and Brexit, writes our economics correspondent Richard Partington.

The latest snapshot from IHS Markit and the Chartered Institute of Procurement and Supply (Cips) showed growth in UK factory output was limited in December by Covid restrictions and Brexit weighing on orders and pushing up costs.

According to the survey of 650 manufacturers, which is tracked by the government and the Bank of England for early warning signs from the economy, inflows of new work from overseas dropped for the fourth month in a row.

While firms reported continued growth at the end of last year and a slight easing of supply chain delays, manufacturers warned that logistics issues, Brexit difficulties and the possibility of further pandemic restrictions at home and overseas had still damaged export demand at the end of the year.

With new trade restrictions since leaving the EU and the impact of the pandemic, Britain’s exporters are set to be the slowest to recover from Covid-19 across major European economies, according to research by Euler Hermes.

The Paris-based trade credit insurer forecasts UK exports won’t recover to pre-pandemic levels until 2023, leaving the UK lagging European counterparts with Germany and Italy expected to recover in 2021 and other nations in 2022.

It comes despite an uptick in demand for manufactured goods across advanced economies as consumers turn to purchasing physical products while pandemic restrictions limit appetite for services.

Ana Boata, head of economic research at Euler Hermes, said: “Our forecasts show that Brexiting in times of Covid-19 has hindered exporters’ capacity to benefit from the strong upswing in demand that lockdown has presented.”

She said fresh post-Brexit border controls on UK imports at the start of 2022 would bring more disruption, while the Omicron coronavirus variant would add to severe uncertainty facing firms.

“British exporters have been tasked with sailing increasingly perilous trade waters in recent years – another 12 months of headwinds could be enough to sink many.”

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, has looked at this in more detail:

The small pick-up in the output index of Markit’s survey to 53.6 in December, from 52.7 in November, shows that the manufacturing sector’s recovery has not been slowed by Omicron yet, though the impact of the new variant likely will build in January, as worker absenteeism rises and global supply chains come under renewed stress.

The new orders index edged up to 55.1 in December, from 54.5 in November, thereby remaining above its 30-year average, 52.7. Another month of strong employment growth and an improvement in suppliers’ delivery times enabled growth in manufacturing output to speed up and work backlogs to increase at the slowest rate since February. Supply chain disruptions, however, likely will worsen this month, given that Brexit customs checks have been bolstered and Omicron likely will lead to renewed factory closures in Asia.

Meanwhile, the output price index edged up to a new record-high of 74.3 in December, from 74.0 in November, as manufacturers offloaded the burden of soaring energy prices. As a result, core goods CPI inflation looks set to rise further in the first half of 2022, contributing to the peaking of the headline rate at about 6% in April.

Let’s return to the UK manufacturing survey. Rob Dobson, director at IHS Markit, which compiled the survey, said:

UK manufacturing production rose at the quickest pace in four months in December, supported by increased intakes of new work, efforts to reduce backlogs of work and higher employment.

While the uptick in growth is a positive step, the upturn remains subdued compared to the middle of the year, as supply chain constraints and weak export performance constrained attempts to raise production further. Manufacturers indicated that logistic issues, Brexit difficulties and the possibility of further Covid restrictions (at home and overseas) had all hit export demand at the end of the year.

Although supply chains remain severely stretched, there are at least signs that the situation is stabilising, with vendor delivery times lengthening to the weakest extent for a year in December. This helped take some of the heat out of input price increases, but cost inflation remained sufficiently steep to necessitate the sharpest rise in factory gate selling prices on record. With restrictions and Omicron cases both rising, the growth and inflation backdrops could change again in the early part of 2022.

Updated

Go-Ahead halts share trading

Go-Ahead has halted the trading of its shares on the London Stock Exchange after the bus and rail operator failed to file its financial results due to issues surrounding a £25m breach of Southeastern’s railway franchise agreement, reports Mark Sweney.

The transport group, which was stripped of the contract to operate the computer network in September, said that it is continuing to work closely with its auditor Deloitte to attempt to publish its results for the year to 3 July by the end of the month.

In December the company, which apologised for “serious” failings in its railway business after it was found not to have declared more than £25m in taxpayer funding that should have been returned, said that the scandal would mean it would miss the six-month deadline for filing its annual results and have to suspend its shares under UK regulatory rules.

The announcement of the impending trading suspension prompted a 25% fall in the company’s share price, which ended the year at 667p, giving Go-Ahead a market value of £288m at the close of the last day the company’s shares traded on New Year’s Eve. Go-Ahead’s shares were officially suspended on Tuesday morning.

Pound close to two-year high on rate rise bets

On the currency markets, the pound is trading close to two-year highs against the euro, as gilt yields rose on growing expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates again next month.

The UK central bank surprised markets with its first rate rise in three years at its December meeting.

In the eurozone, no rate increases are expected this year while in the US, markets are forecasting the first hike by May, followed by two more increases later this year.

The pound reached 86.65p against the euro, the highest since February 2020, and slipped 0.2% against the dollar to $1.35.

Oil prices are rising ahead of the monthly meeting of the Opec oil cartel, where major producers are expected to agree to stick to their planned supply increase.

Brent crude is up 0.5% at $79.39 a barrel while US crude has advanced nearly 0.6% to $76.51 a barrel.

Opec+, which includes Opec producers led by Saudi Arabia as well as allies including Russia, has raised its output target each month since August by 400,000 barrels per day.

The independent housing analyst Anthony Codling said:

Mortgage approvals flatlined in November 2021 at 66,964, just 139 fewer than in October 2021, very interestingly both months’ mortgage approvals were very close to the ten year average of 65,534.

It appears that absent the stamp duty holiday activity in the UK housing market has quickly returned to normal. Perhaps, when it comes to moving home, macroeconomic events do not impact household decisions as much as we may believe. If you have changed job or your family has outgrown its current home, concerns about inflation and COVID are secondary, and if you have to move, you generally do.

UK consumer borrowing surges

Separate figures from the Bank of England show that British consumers borrowed the most in 16 months in November.

Consumer credit rose by a net £1.2bn, more than expected, most of which was borrowed on credit cards. It was the biggest increase since July 2020.

Mortgage approvals were the lowest since June 2020 after the phasing out of a stamp duty holiday. Approvals for house purchase totalled 67,000 in November, close to the 12-month average up to February 2020 of 66,700.

However, net mortgage lending to individuals increased to £3.7bn in November from £1.1bn in October, suggesting the housing market remains buoyant.

Updated

Simon Jonsson, head of industrial products at KPMG UK, said:

It is pleasing to see that demand for manufactured goods remains robust, but inflation across a broad range of factory inputs, plus trade friction, is biting into productivity.

Supply chain challenges persist for many manufacturers, who will be hoping the impacts of Omicron don’t worsen the situation further.

In the face of this challenge, manufacturers need to focus on how they can absorb, or pass on, these inflationary pressures. In 2022, productivity improvements will be key. Inflationary pressures may be the catalyst for accelerating technology investments, both on the factory floor and in the back office.

UK factory growth revised up, inflation high

UK factory activity grew more quickly than initially estimated in December and supply chain problems eased a little, according to a survey.

The final reading of the IHS Markit/CIPS manufacturing purchasing managers’ index for December was 57.9, up from a preliminary reading of 57.6 and not far off November’s three-month high of 58.1. The survey said:

Although a slight easing in supply chain delays helped lift output volumes and take some of the heat out of input price increases, logistic disruptions and staff shortages were nonetheless still stymieing the overall pace of expansion.

Companies maintained a positive outlook at the end of 2021. The majority of firms (63%) forecast that production would increase over the coming 12 months, compared to only 6% anticipating a contraction. Optimism reflected expectations of renewed global economic growth, planned investment and hopes for less disruption caused by Covid-19, Brexit and supply chain issues.

Inflationary pressures remained high. Prices charged by factories rose at their fastest pace on record. The report explained:

December saw a further substantial increase in average input prices, with the rate of inflation staying among the steepest seen in the survey history. There were reports of higher costs for chemicals, electronics, energy, food products, metals, timber and wood. Freight, shipping and air transportation costs were also higher, while ongoing supply disruptions, raw material shortages and issues relating to Brexit and Covid-19 also led to higher prices paid.

Updated

German unemployment falls more than expected

German unemployment fell more than expected in December, according to official data, suggesting that the jobs market in Europe’s largest economy remains resilient despite rising Covid-19 infections.

The Labour Office said the number of people out of work dropped by 23,000 in seasonally adjusted terms to 2.405 million. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a decline of 15,000. The jobless rate fell to 5.2%, the lowest since March 2020, when Germany and other countries entered their first coronavirus lockdown.

Labour Office head Detlef Scheele said:

The labour market developed well at the end of the year. The recovery of the previous months continued.

However, he cautioned that the jump in Covid-19 cases and renewed restrictions to contain the spread of Omicron increased uncertainty.

Burger King launches vegan nuggets

Burger King says it has become the first fast food chain in the UK to sell vegan nuggets, as the industry tries to cash in on the popularity of plant-based alternatives.

The world’s second-largest hamburger chain is launching the nuggets today. They are made from soy and plant proteins “to taste the same as their meat originals” and are certified by the Vegan Society, the company said.

Two years ago, Burger King UK launched a plant-based burger that turned out not to be suitable for vegetarians due to the way it is cooked.

Can the London stock market shake off its dinosaur image? It is facing a barrage of criticism, with global investors likening it to a “global backwater” struggling to attract and retain growth companies that excite investors and are building the 21st-century economy, writes my colleague Graeme Wearden, who tracks the markets closely.

However, after a surge of stock flotations in 2021, including cutting-edge firms such as Oxford Nanopore, and new listing rules, London’s status as a global financial centre could brighten in 2022.

Currently, the FTSE 100 index of blue-chip companies looks dated. Technology only makes up about 2% of the London market, compared with 20% across global markets.

Updated

Airlines and travel stocks jump

Airlines and travel stocks are surging this morning, amid relief that while Covid infections have reached new record highs, the Omicron variant may be less severe than feared.

In London, British Airways owner IAG is the biggest riser on the FTSE 100 index, up 8.6%, while Premier Inn owner Whitbread is almost 3% higher. Oil giants BP and Shell also rose, as the optimism spread across energy, banking and other sectors.

The FTSE is 1.1% higher at 7,467, rising to the highest levels since February 2020, as UK stocks caught up with the rest of Europe after yesterday’s bank holiday in the UK.

The pan-European Euro Stoxx 600 hit a new record high this morning, after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones on Wall Street closed at all-time highs last night. Europe’s travel and leisure index jumped 2.5% to its highest level in more than six weeks.

Ryanair and the Hungarian airline Wizz Air both jumped 8%.

Wizz Air said it carried 2.6 million passengers in December, up nearly 300% from a year earlier, and it announced it would launch new routes from its Gatwick Airport base to 14 destinations including Faro and Catania.

Updated

French inflation remained at 2.8% in December, against expectations of a small uptick to 2.9%, according to the Insee statistical agency.

By comparison, inflation is at 5.1% in the UK, and 6.8% in the US.

Europe’s Stoxx 600 has hit a fresh all-time high, rising 0.7% to 493.3. Germany’s DAx is up 0.3%, France’s CAC rose 0.8% and Spain’s Ibex gained 0.7%.

Updated

FTSE 100 index rises 1% in early trading

And we’re off: The FTSE 100 index in London has jumped more than 1% to 7,461 in the first couple of minutes of trading, a gain of 77 points. The more domestically-focused FTSE 250 is also over 1% ahead.

Updated

Iris Pang, chief economist for Greater China at ING, has looked at the Chinese PMI data.

The Caixin manufacturing PMI confirmed the expansion of activity shown by the official PMI a few days back. This follows a turn in policy direction from aggressive reform to stabilisation. We shall see more growth from various industries in 2022 with a highlight being green objectives.

We expect that domestic demand for manufacturing should go up in 2022. Within China, Covid cases have been contained in Xi’an, and there have been only around 100-200 daily cases, which is not particularly worrying.

The Chinese New Year begins on 1st February this year. We expect retail sales and transport spending to increase from last year’s holiday period. Real estate developers have restarted sales and construction is back to normal levels. This should provide some support for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity.

Export demand should also increase slightly. Although Omicron is a concern, we see that retail and job markets in the West have picked up. This should provide some support for growth for China’s exporters, but there is lingering uncertainty stemming from the difficult relationship between China and the US.

Evergrande shares rise after being suspended

Shares in embattled Evergrande rose after the Chinese property developer resumed trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Tuesday, reports my colleague Mark Sweney.

China’s second-biggest developer halted trading on Monday after receiving an order from authorities at Danzhou city in Hainan on 30 December telling it to demolish 39 under-construction buildings at the Ocean Flower Island project.

The struggling company, which has seen its market value plunge almost 90% over the last year, saw its stock rise by almost 2% in trading on the Hang Seng on Tuesday.

“The company will actively communicate with the [Hainan] authority in accordance with the guidance of the decision letter and resolve the issue properly,” Evergrande said in a filing to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

It comes after Evergrande said its sales for 2021 plunged 39% from the year before to $69.5bn (£51.6bn). Evergrande is struggling to repay more than $300bn (£222bn) in liabilities by selling assets and shares.

Nearly $20bn of international market bonds were deemed to be in cross-default by ratings firms last month after it missed payments.

The property developer missed new coupon payments worth $255m due last Tuesday though both have a 30-day grace period.

Introduction: stocks rise on Omicron optimism, oil prices dip

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

It’s the first day of trading in London today, as UK stock markets were shut for the New Year’s bank holiday yesterday. Stock trading will start in about half an hour.

Oil prices rose slightly this morning before dipping 0.3%, ahead of the Opec oil cartel’s monthly meeting.

China’s factory activity grew at its fastest pace in six months in December, indicated by the latest Caixin/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index. The overall index rose to 50.9 in December, from 49.9 in November. Other Asian indices also pointed to expansion. Many Asian stock markets rose, with Japan’s Nikkei up 1.77% while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dipped 0.3%.

In Germany, retail sales rose unexpectedly in November, according to official figures released at the crack of dawn. Sales were up 0.6%, beating expectations of a 0.5% drop. Germany’s Federal Statistical Office said turnover in retail trade recorded a new record high in 2021, although clothing retailers suffered losses for the second year of the pandemic.

European shares bounced to record highs on their first day of trading yesterday, with traders betting on steady economic recovery despite the surge in Covid infections caused by the Omicron variant.

Europe’s benchmark index, the Stoxx 600, hit a record intraday high of 491.73 points and later closed at 489.99, up 0.45%. It recorded a 22.4% rise last year, its second-best annual performance in more than a decade.

The US, French and German stock markets all had a stellar year in 2021 and outpaced the UK’s FTSE 100 index, which rallied 14.3%, its best year since 2016, as UK stocks recovered from the pandemic shock of 2020. Despite the recovery, the FTSE 100 ended the year 6.5% below its peak of 7,903 points, which was set in May 2018. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 index jumped by 27% in 2021, achieving 70 record closing highs.

Apple became the first US company to be valued at over $3tn on Monday as the tech company continued its phenomenal share price growth, tripling in value in under four years. Tesla jumped 13.5% after reporting breath-taking car sales last quarter and last year.

Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, says:

Globally, there is a lot of news regarding the rising omicron cases, but there is also a lot of news that the omicron cases are not as deadly as the previous variants of Covid. And investors prefer focusing on a glass half full rather than a glass half empty at the start of the year.

However, many market strategists are cautious about 2022, predicting measly increases of 4% to 7% for the FTSE 100. Inflation has jumped to 5.1% in the UK and 6.8% in the US and is set to go even higher, meaning interest rates are on the rise, while China is expected to spoil the party with tighter credit and regulations.

In the US, Elizabeth Holmes, founder of Theranos, has been found guilty on four of 11 charges of fraud, concluding a high profile trial that captivated Silicon Valley and chronicled the missteps of the now-defunct blood testing startup.

The Agenda

  • 7.45am GMT: France inflation for December (forecast: 2.9%)
  • 8.55am GMT: Germany unemployment for December
  • 9.30am GMT: Bank of England mortgage approvals and consumer credit for November
  • 9.30am GMT: UK Markit/CIPS manufacturing PMI for December
  • 3pm US ISM Manufacturing PMI for December

Updated

 

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