Andrew Sparrow 

Reeves’s growth plans ‘exactly what economy needs’ say UK business groups – as it happened

Prime minister faced MPs in Commons after chancellor backed runway expansion at Heathrow
  
  

Chancellor Rachel Reeves.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves. Photograph: WPA/Getty Images

What thinktanks are saying about Rachel Reeves' speech

And here are comments on the Rachel Reeves speech from thinktanks.

From an analysis by Theo Bertram, a former Labour adviser who now runs the Social Market Foundation (centrist)

Today marks a decisive shift in the politics and policy of this government. Both the strategy and substance are changing, and Labour are taking risks with both.

Labour has always talked about growth as a key mission but until now the emphasis was squarely on laying the blame on the previous administration. It went too far in that regard, giving the impression not just of being slowed but trapped by the Conservative economic legacy. Today, with just one brief reference to ‘the nightmarish inheritance’ in Keir Starmer’s article in The Times, the Prime Minister is instead bullish …

Both Starmer and Reeves talked about their strategy in the terms of economic theory (something that Starmer rarely does). He describes ‘a supply-side expansion of the nation’s productive power’. Removing regulatory barriers, cutting red tape, and supply-side expansion: the remarkable thing about these goals is that they are the same goals of recent Conservative governments, under both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss. The big difference this time is that Labour is not promising tax cuts.

This may be viewed as a weakness – what is supply side reform if businesses are hit by a growing fiscal burden? But Labour sees this as a strength. In its view, tax cuts only offer a short term “sugar high”. Starmer and Reeves have chosen the harder path, grinding away at regulatory barriers to growth. But having staked everything on that approach, including the economy and their political careers, there is reason for optimism that they might actually make progress this time.

From an analysis by Greg Thwaites at the Resolution Foundation (centrist/left-leaning)

The chancellor’s speech today provided some more detail on how the government plans to boost growth. One can begin to discern the outlines of a growth strategy taking shape, and it is increasingly clear what this government wants to be known for: building things.

Life is never really this simple, but if Margaret Thatcher’s defining economic legacy was to privatise, Tony Blair’s was to invest in human capital, and David Cameron’s was to rein in public spending, then Reeves’ evolving approach is about construction—of roads, railways, reservoirs, homes, and thereby, she hopes, a stronger economy. Her growth strategy is becoming more concrete in both senses of the word.

From Eleanor Shearer, senior research fellow at Common Wealth (leftwing, greenish)

Labour still lacks a convincing account of what is wrong with our economy. Nothing that the chancellor said today on the need for “sound public finances” or “cutting red tape” would have been out of place in a speech from any politician of the last 15 years.

Rather than getting to the heart of the matter — that we have an economy structured to put profit over people and planet — the Government has instead borrowed their big ideas from private developers, asset managers and industry lobbyists and announced a smattering of projects mainly across the South East, with the hope that benefits will trickle down to everyone else.

From an analysis by Alex Chapman, senior economist at the New Economics Foundation (leftwing)

Rachel Reeves’ commitment to Heathrow expansion relies on flawed economics. By the government’s own metrics, airport expansion won’t deliver serious economic growth. Business air travel peaked two decades ago and a new runway won’t change that.

​The primary impact will be to encourage UK households to spend their cash overseas, depriving high streets and domestic destinations of spending. The UK’s domestic tourism industry is already suffering. Growth in incoming tourists has been outnumbered 3:1 by Brits leaving for trips abroad. More outbound flights will deprive British regions of vital spending and is an ​‘anti-levelling up’ move.

There are some comments from more rightwing thinktanks at 2.47pm.

Environmentalists criticise Reeves' speech, and urge her to stop 'demonising nature protection'

Business groups (see 1.56pm) and right-leaning thinktanks (see 2.47pm) have welcomed the Rachel Reeves speech, but environmental groups have been very critical. Here are some of their comments.

From Roger Mortlock, CPRE chief executive at the countryside charity CPRE (formerly Campaign to Protect Rural England), said:

The single biggest threat to the countryside is climate change. If the government expands Heathrow, Luton, City and Gatwick airports, the increase in carbon emissions will make a mockery of its commitment to reaching net zero by 2030.

Airport expansion will do nothing to boost UK growth. There has been no net increase in air travel for business purposes or in jobs in air transport since 2007. Recent research from the New Economic Foundation indicates that airport expansion will drive significant tourism revenue abroad, not bring it to the UK. To create the jobs of the future we need investment in low-carbon industries and transport, not more unsustainable expansion of the UK’s airports.

From Richard Benwell, CEO of Wildlife and Countryside Link, a coalition of environmental groups

The chancellor has again tried to pit nature and development against one another. It is utterly wrong to describe nature-lovers as ‘blockers’. We are a nation of nature-lovers and environmental rules are vital to protect wildlife, but with intelligent planning it is perfectly possible to achieve development and environmental recovery together.

HS2 is a prime example of bad planning in a rush for growth and ‘leaving it up to developers’. HS2 had 10 years to work out what to do about rare bats, but it delayed and dithered and made costly mistakes. These errors will only be repeated if a blinkered focus on growth ignores the opportunities to create a better system.

Unthinking deregulation is simply not the answer. The rules are there to protect rare chalk streams, harvest mice and water voles, temperate rainforests and wildflower meadows - the rare and wonderful wildlife that make our country special. They’re there to protect the parks and green places that bring communities to life. We are ready to support planning reform that supports nature recovery and infrastructure, but that can only happen if that government takes the environment seriously and stops demonising nature protection.

From David Walsh, head of public affairs at WWF, the wildlife charity

There is no trade-off between economic growth and net zero. As the chancellor rightly recognises, building a clean economy is the industrial opportunity of the 21st century. Now is the time to put pounds back in people’s pockets by insulating homes, decarbonising power, and investing in public transport.

But the chancellor is making a serious mistake by prioritising costly projects like airport expansions that take decades to build, send carbon emissions skywards, and leave real growth stuck on the runway.

Updated

The Women’s Budget Group, a feminist economics thinktank, thinks Rachel Reeves should have put more emphasis on social care in her growth speech. In a statement the WBG director Mary-Ann Stephenson said:

The chancellor’s focus on investment is welcome, and the rise in average GDP spending to 2.6% is a positive step. However, prioritising physical infrastructure alone misses a critical barrier to a thriving economy.

Our economy is being held back because people can’t access social care, get the right medical treatment when they need it, or because they cannot afford or secure a nursery place for their child. These services - our social infrastructure - are on their knees. Waiting for the economy to grow before investing in these services overlooks a critical point: public services are the backbone of a strong economy, not a consequence of it.

What’s more, the care sector is an inherently green sector: our analysis has shown that investment in the care sector could create 2.7 times as many jobs as the same investment in construction and produce 30% less greenhouse gas emissions.

Deputy FM Kate Forbes says she's 'deeply disappointed' by lack of pro-Scotland measures in Reeves' speech

The SNP government in Edinburgh has said it is “deeply disappointed” by Rachel Reeves’ growth speech because of the lack of measures that will help Scotland. In a formal government response, Kate Forbes, the deputy first minister, said:

I welcome the chancellor’s attempt to outline an economic plan, after the very legitimate concerns around her approach to growth which have been raised by many since the UK budget, in particular the damaging decision to raise employers’ national insurance contributions.

However, I am deeply disappointed in the lack of any initiatives which would directly benefit Scotland - especially given our energy expertise, strengths in new technologies like space and AI, world-leading universities and colleges, highly skilled workforce and our reputation as a world-class entrepreneurial nation.

For instance, there is no mention of Grangemouth and I am concerned that UK government investment is being further concentrated in prosperous areas in the South East of England and around Oxford and Cambridge. This will deepen concerns that Scotland is being treated as an afterthought by this UK government.

Updated

Liz Kendall confirms welfare cap breached by £8.6bn in 2024/25, but blames Tories

Liz Kendall, the work and pensions secretary, has confirmed that the welfare cap – a supposed limit on certain types of welfare spending – was breached in the last financial year.

Kendall said that the cap (£137.4bn) was exceeded by £8.6bn in 2024/25, but that this had been expected for almost two years.

In a written ministerial statement, she said:

The forecast breach, due in particular to expected higher expenditure on universal credit and disability benefits, is unavoidable given the inheritance from the last government.

The likely scale of the eventual breach has been known since March 2023. No action was taken by the previous administration to avoid it.

Whilst this government has already shown that it will not shy away from difficult decisions, this breach could only have been addressed through implementing immediate and severe cuts to welfare spending. This would not have been the right course of action.

In her statement Kendall confirmed that measures will be announced later this year to control welfare spending, including reforms to health and disability spending, and measures to tackle welfare fraud.

George Osborne introduced the cap when he was chancellor in 2014. It imposes a supposed limit that can be spent on certain types of benefit (comprising roughly half total welfare spending) and, if a government breaches the cap, it must make a statement explaining itself. This was supposed to incentivise ministers to cut spending.

But economists question its value. This is the fourth time the cap has been breached, and governments have responded to these breaches by changing the level at which the cap applies. In the budget last year Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, updated the cap for 2029-30, and MPs are voting on that this afternoon.

More than 1,000 people who have sought support from the vaccine damage payment scheme after being injured or bereaved as a result of Covid jabs have been waiting more than a year for a decision on their application, the Covid inquiry has been told. PA Media reports:

Sarah Moore, a partner at law firm Leigh Day, told the inquiry today that there is a “real world impact” from delays.

It comes as she suggested a “bespoke compensation scheme or support scheme” specifically for those affected by Covid vaccinations should be put in place.

The vaccine damage payment scheme was set up as a result of the 1979 Vaccine Damage Payment Act and offers a tax-free payment of £120,000 to those who have been left severely disabled or bereaved as a result of vaccination.

However, Moore said that a change of government between 1978 and 1979 meant that the legislation was “hastily put together”.

She told the inquiry there have been 17,519 applications to the vaccine damage payment scheme following adverse reactions to Covid vaccines, and only 55% have had a decision.

“Of those 8,000 approximately who are still waiting for a decision, 1,027 people have been waiting for 12 months, 438 people have been waiting for more than 18 months, and 126 people have been waiting for more than two years now,” Moore added.

Alex Wickham from Bloomberg says Rachel Reeves’ speech has gone down well with centre-right thinktanks.

Centre-right think tanks are praising Reeves’ speech, while the main complaints come from climate groups on the left. Perhaps suggests she has begun to make a successful move back to the middle ground of British politics after the budget. And presents a big problem for Kemi Badenoch?

CPS @rcolvile: “The vast bulk of the Chancellor’s speech was hugely welcome”

Britain Remade @samrichardswebb: “For too long, Britain has failed to build the new homes, clean energy infrastructure, and transport links we desperately need. Today’s speech contained concrete steps towards changing that”

IEA @TomClougherty: “The Chancellor is saying all the right things on growth and should be applauded for many of the decisions she has taken today”

Conservative Environment Network @samuelhall0: “These are good market-friendly policies that Conservatives will regret not delivering in government”

Number of people thinking Britain right to leave EU hits record low, at 30%, poll suggests

On Friday it will be the fifth anniversary of the day the UK left the European Union. YouGov says the number of people who thnk that was the right decision is down to a record low in its polling, at 30%.

YouGov says only 11% of people, and only 22% of people who voted leave, think it has been a success.

And it says that 55% of people are in favour of rejoining.

Starmer accuses Tories of being 'coalition of blockers' as he defends Reeves' plan for growth

Here is the PA Media story on PMQs.

Keir Starmer has claimed the Conservatives are the “coalition of blockers” as he defended his government’s growth proposals and employment law reforms.

The prime minister highlighted opposition to airport expansion and a rail project from Tory frontbenchers, which prompted opposition leader Kemi Badenoch to brand Labour “hypocrites” for raising their own objections in the past.

Starmer, who dubbed the government the “coalition of builders”, was also urged by Badenoch to drop a series of measures contained in the employment rights bill because they “fail his growth test”.

After Badenoch told Starmer to “stop being a lawyer and start being a leader”, Starmer replied: “We know she is not a lawyer, she is clearly not a leader, if she keeps on like this, she is going to be the next lettuce.”

His remark was a nod to Liz Truss’s 49-day long premiership, which saw the Daily Star live-stream a lettuce to see if it would last longer than her tenure in No 10.

The bill raised at PMQs includes measures to introduce day-one protections from unfair dismissals, make changes to sick pay and ensures guaranteed hours on zero-hours contracts.

Badenoch said the government has “embraced a series of Conservative policies” before urging Starmer to “drop” the bill as it “clearly fails the prime minister’s growth test”, adding Whitehall analysis suggests it will cost businesses £5bn a year.

Starmer said the government was “not taking lectures” from the Conservatives.

Badenoch said the legislation would make it “harder for business to hire new employees”, adding: “This isn’t an employment bill. It’s an unemployment bill. Given these clauses, will he drop his bill and show that he is not anti-growth?”

Starmer replied: “We believe in giving people proper dignity and protection at work. That’s why we’re proud of our record of supporting workers. They consistently vote against any protection for working people.”

Updated

Peter Mandelson calls past remarks about Trump ‘ill-judged and wrong’

Peter Mandelson has said his past remarks that Donald Trump was “a danger to the world” were “ill-judged and wrong” before his expected confirmation as ambassador to the US, Eleni Courea reports.

A Conservative spokesperson declined to say whether or not Kemi Badenoch agreed with Suella Braverman when she said yesterday it was not impossible that Britain could have an Islamist government within the next 20 years. Badenoch had not had time to read the speech, the spokesperson said. But he did say Badenoch was in favour of “free speech” for MPs.

The spokesperson also dismissed suggestions that donors would be flocking to Reform UK, who held a £25,000-per-head dinner in Mayfair this week for wealthy people who might want to support the party. “There are lots of donors out there,” the spokesperson said.

'Exactly what economy needs' - business groups welcome plans in Reeves' growth speech

Business groups have strongly welcomed the measures in Rachel Reeves’ speech this morning.

Rain Newton-Smith, CEO at the CBI, said:

It’s crunch time for growth and today the chancellor has heeded business’ call to go further and faster. This is most evident in ministers grasping decisions that have sat on the desk of government for too long. This positive leadership and a clear vision to kickstart the economy and boost productivity is welcome …

The chancellor’s announcements are smart, looking to leverage the UK’s strengths including our world class universities, innovation and openness to global talent.

Shevaun Haviland, director general of the British Chambers of Commerce, said:

The chancellor has laid down a clear marker on her intent to push for growth and these proposals can light the blue touchpaper to fire up the UK economy.

Expanding our international airport capacity, investing in modern roads and railways, and rebalancing the planning system all send signals that the UK is building for a better future.

And Tina McKenzie, policy chair of the Federation of Small Businesses, said:

Today’s rallying cry for government to choose growth is exactly what the economy needs. It sends a strong, confident message that from now on growth comes first, and any barriers to that will be erased.

During PMQs, in his exchanges with Kemi Badenoch, Keir Starmer said:

We are the coalition of builders; they are the coalition of blockers.

It was reminscent of Liz Truss using her Tory conference speech as PM to attack the “anti-growth coalition” (a term that also could be applied to many Tory MPs, although Truss did not acknowledge that).

At the post-PMQs briefing, asked if Keir Starmer thought that Sadiq Khan was a blocker in the light of his opposition to a Heathrow third runway (see 11.36am), a Labour spokesperson replied:

No, we agree with the mayor of London that growth must come hand-in-hand with our climate obligations, and that’s why the chancellor set out that we support a third runway.

That will be in line with our climate obligations and we look forward to working closely with the mayor throughout the process.

The Treasury has now posted the text of Rachel Reeves’ speech this morning on its website.

PMQs - snap verdict

Kemi Badenoch has not yet found a route to winning at PMQs, and she did not manage it today. There was a brief moment, at the start of her second question, that summed up her predicament.

Badenoch accused Starmer of not answering her point about the employment rights bill “because he doesn’t know about it” and she went on to say that last week Starmer “misled the house” because he told her that an amendment to the schools bill had been tabled (addressing a potential flaw in the schools bill Badenoch was highlighting) – when in fact the amendment hadn’t been tabled, just announced. (When colleagues last checked, it still had not been tabled.) But the Speaker, Lindsay Hoyle intervened, because MPs are not allowed to accuse each other of deliberately misleading the house, and so Badenoch had to reword her point.

It was not a major gaffe. But it came across as a setback, indicative of inexperience – even though what Badenoch was saying was 100% correct. Similarly, her overall line of attack today had some substance and merit. Yet, for various reason, it had little cut-through.

On the plus side, for the second week in a row, Badenoch chose to raise a mainstream, important policy issued and devote all her questions to thrashing it out in some detail. This is a welcome relief from the ‘What’s Elon been tweeting about overnight?’ approach (and probably a more reliable guide to electoral recovery – although, these days, God knows?)

Badenoch focused on the employment rights bill, and she argued that, because businesses say it will cost them £5bn a year, it would be bad for growth. She also claimed, in particular, that it did not pass Starmer’s own growth test.

Yesterday, the prime minister set his growth test. He said, ‘if a policy is good for growth, the answer is yes. If it’s not, the answer is no’. This morning the chancellor embraced a series of Conservative policies, although many are welcome, they will take years to deliver …

Let’s look at the employment bill. The government’s own figures say it will cost businesses £5bn a year. It clearly fails the prime minister’s growth test. Will he drop it?

The government argues in its impact assessment that the costs to business of the bill (relatively easy to quantify) are justified by the benefits (which are harder to measure), and this was the argument that Starmer deployed.

We believe in giving people proper dignity and protection at work. That’s why we’re proud of our record of supporting workers. They consistently vote against any protection for working people.

We are driving growth on behalf of working people. Good work rights are consistent with growth, every good business knows that.

But it was not just the argument that gave him the edge. For once, he sounded genuinely passionate. He engaged directly with what Badenoch was saying, and he answered her bluntly and powerfully. (“Will he drop these measures from the bill?” – “No, I think they are good for workers and good for growth.”) Maybe it was being accused of being dishonest early, maybe employment rights engages his innate leftism more than other topics, but for whatever reason he sounded effective.

Starmer was also a bit more withering than usual about the Tories’ record, which worked well today. This is a factor that gives him a structural advantage at PMQs – and will continue to do so for a long period of time.

But there was one other moment that helped Starmer this week. For some time now Badenoch has been using the “lawyer, not a leader” jibe against Starmer. It is not a fair criticism (nobody could have crushed Corbynism in the Labour party, as Starmer did, without strong leadership qualities), but it is a neat line, it’s memorable and it probably does encapsulate a lot of the negativity people feel about Starmer’s mangerialism.

Referring to the employment rights bill, Badenoch said:

This bill is terrible for business, but it is great employment for lawyers. I know the prime minister loves the legal profession, but he needs to stop being a lawyer and start being a leader.

And Starmer replied:

I understand she likes straight talking, she is talking absolutely nonsense. She knows that anybody that understands anything about the bill or any employment law will know you can’t start in the morning and go to the tribunal in the afternoon.

Now, we know she is not a lawyer, she is clearly not a leader, if she keeps on like this, she is going to be the next lettuce.

It is not the wittiest line ever. But the Commons at noon on a Wednesday is a cheap audience (or at least, for Starmer, 401 of them are) and in PMQs terms that was a decisive blow.

Andrew Rosindell (Con) says his constituents are shocked by the ONS projection saying the population will rise to 72m. Who voted for that? There is no mandate for that.

Starmer says Rosindell should talk to his leader. Net migration went through the roof under the Tories and Badenoch was “cheering it on”, he claims.

And that is the end of PMQs.

Updated

Calvin Bailey (Lab) asks about 10 service personnel killed on a flight over Iraq during the war. He names them all, and asks the PM to join him in commemorating their service.

Starmer does so. He also pays tribute to Bailey for his service in the RAF.

Emily Thornberry (Lab) asks about a constituent who was sacked from MI6 for being gay. Will the government redress this wrong?

Starmer says this is an important issue. The government has approved compensation for armed forces personnel who were sacked for being gay. He says the Foreign Office will look at this issue.

John Milne (Lib Dem) asks what helps councils and hospices are getting with the cost of the rise of national insurance.

Starmer says councils got a funding increase this year.

Gordon McKee (Lab) asks about DeepSeek and AI. To develop AI, you need lots of energy, and cold weather. Scotland has both, he says. So will the government promote AI in Scotland.

Starmer says it is good to hear a Labour voice promoting development in Scotland, in contrast to the SNP.

Updated

Clive Jones (Lib Dem) asks about the Royal Berkshire hospital in Reading. Why is it acceptable for people to have to wait another 18 years for it to be repaired.

Starmer says, under the Tories, there was only “a pretend plan” for this hospital. That is unforgiveable, he says.

Luke Charters (Lab) asks about paternity leave.

Starmer says the government is extending parental rights. The Conservatives want to roll them back, he says.

Updated

Paul Kohler (Lib Dem) says he went into politics as a consequence of being the victim of an attack. A restorative justice programme made a big difference to his family. Will the PM extend these schemes?

Starmer says he has seen the power of restorative justice schemes. Victims should have access to them, he says.

Ian Roome (Lib Dem) also asks about the hospital in Barnstaple. Will extra funding be available?

Starmer says under the Tories funding was not available for the North Devon hospital. He says Labour does have a plan to fund it.

Updated

Jack Abbott (Lab) asks if Starmer will back a bypass project for Ipswich.

Starmer says the government will fast-track decisions on at least 150 infrastructure projects.

Gavin Robinson, the DUP leader, thanks the government for its help for Northern Ireland after the recent storm.

He asks about the Omagh bombing. A public inquiry was set up. But Ireland has not had its own inquiry, which it should because the bomb was prepared in the Republic. Will Starmer push for one?

Starmer says this was a “heinous and cowardly terrorist attack” that shocked the world. He says he welcomes the Irish government’s offer to cooperate with the UK inquiry.

Starmer refuses to say if he will open talks with EU on joining PEM Europe-wide customs scheme, as Lib Dems propose

Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, says on a recent visit to a hospital in Barnstable, he was told it was like a “ticking time bomb”. It needed 12 operating theatres, but only has four. And rebuilding plans have been delayed.

Starmer says people are right to feel angry and betrayed by the last government. It had a hospital rebuilding programme, but those hospitals were never going to be built.

Davey says he will keep coming back to hospitals and social care.

The chancellor says the UK needs to go further and faster on growth, he says. He says the Lib Dems agree. So will the PM join the customs union? When he goes to Brussels on Monday, will he open talks on joing the PEM, the Europe-wide customs scheme?

Starmer says the government has clear red lines on the customs union and the single market.

He does not address the question about PEM.

Badenoch says only business can create growth. She praises the approach being taken by President Trump, and President Milei in Argentina. If Starmer won’t drop the employment bill, what is the point of his growth test?

Starmer says Badenoch has a nerve. The Tories destroyed the economy, he says.

Badenoch says the employment bill is only benefiting the trade unions.

Starmer says she should keep up. The CBI have backed the chancellor’s speech, he says.

Badenoch says the employment bill will allow people to start a job in the morning, and go to a tribunal in the afternoon. He is a lawyer not a leader. Will he drop it?

Starmer says Badenoch does not know what she is talking about. You cannot start work and go to a tribunal that afternoon. Badenoch is not a lawyer, she is not a leader, but she is in danger of being a lettuce.

Updated

Badenoch says the only policies Labour has were thought up by the Tories. It is necessary to get people off sickness and into work. But the employment bill will do the opposite. Will the government drop them?

No, says Starmer. “I think they’re good for workers and good for growth,” he says.

He says the Tories claim to be in favour of airport expansion, but the shadow transport secretary is opposing an airport expansion plan.

Badenoch says Starmer won’t talke about the employment rights bill because he does not know about it. Last week he spoke about an amendment that had not been tabled. He does not know what is going on. Will Starmer drop the bill?

Starmer says the government believes in giving people proper dignity and protection at work. The Tories always vote against this, he says.

The government is supporting growth. The only policy Badenoch has is to shrink pensions, he says.

Kemi Badenoch says Starmer said yesterday policies would have to pass a growth test – if they were good for growth, they would be approved.

When the Conservatives left office, they had the fastest growth in the G7, she says.

She says the employment bill will cost business £5bn. It fails Starmer’s growth test. Will he drop it?

Starmer says the idea that the Tories left a golden legacy was tested at the election.

Damien Egan (Lab) asks Starmer to confirm that Labour won’t means test the state pension.

Starmer does confirm that. There will be no means testing of the pension under Labour, he says.

When Kemi Badenoch talks about means testing, she means a cut, he says.

Keir Starmer starts by talking about the recent storm, saying he spoke to leaders in Scotland and Northern Ireland over the weekend, paying tribute to people working on the front line.

He says delivering growth is the government’s number one priority. He summarises Rachel Reeves’ speech, saying the government is going further and faster on growth.

Starmer faces Badenoch at PMQs

Keir Starmer is getting ready for PMQs. Here is the list of MPs down to ask him a question.

In her speech today Rachel Reeves announced plans to speed up the opening of a new station at Tempsford in Bedfordshire, on the East Coast Mainline. She also spoke at length about how new development was held up in the UK by planning laws and local opposition.

There is a good example of this sort of nimbyism in a Mail story from last August about plans to build new homes in Tempsford. The story appears under the headline: “Starmer’s village of the damned? Furious families face new build hell as thinktank urges Labour to turn sleepy historic 600-people hamlet into 350,000 population metropolis.”

John McDonnell, the former shadow chancellor and a longstanding opponent of a third runway at Heathrow, thinks Rachel Reeves’ announcement could do “irreperable” damage to Labour. He posted this on social media.

This is such a huge political, economic & especially environmental mistake that sadly I fear it will inflict an irreparable scale of damage on the government.

Sadiq Khan, the Labour mayor of London, has confirmed that he remains opposed to a third runway at Heathrow. In a statement this morning he said:

I remain opposed to a new runway at Heathrow airport because of the severe impact it will have on noise, air pollution and meeting our climate change targets.

I will scrutinise carefully any new proposals that now come forward from Heathrow, including the impact it will have on people living in the area and the huge knock-on effects for our transport infrastructure.

Despite the progress that’s been made in the aviation sector to make it more sustainable, I’m simply not convinced that you can have hundreds of thousands of additional flights at Heathrow every year without a hugely damaging impact on our environment.

Backing Heathrow 3rd runway 'most irresponsible announcement' since Truss's mini-budget, say Greens

The Green party has described the decision to approve a new runway at Heathrow as “the most irresponsible announcement from any government” since the Liz Truss mini-budget. This is from the Green MP Siân Berry.

The chancellor talked about the ‘costs of irresponsibility’ but expanding airports in the face of a climate emergency is the most irresponsible announcement from any government I have seen since the Liz Truss budget.

The chancellor also talked about ‘the sights and sounds of the future’, but these will be dismal for millions if the government doesn’t take the action the UK has promised to cut carbon. We are already seeing the impact of climate breakdown on extreme weather and this will only get worse if ministers remain distracted by the lobbying of the most wasteful form of transport.

We are also expecting formal planning decisions from ministers on Gatwick and Luton airport expansion, which the Chancellor pre-empted today. Giving these permissions in the month before vital new advice arrives from the Climate Change Committee, is nothing short of reckless.

The Conservatives have also released a statement responding to Rachel Reeves’ speech. Mel Stride, the shadow chancellor, said:

The biggest barriers to growth in this country are Rachel Reeves, Keir Starmer and their job destroying budget - and nothing in the chancellor’s speech proved otherwise.

What’s worse, the anti-growth chancellor could not rule out coming back with yet more tax rises in March.

This is a Labour government run by politicians who do not understand business, or where wealth comes from. Under new leadership, the Conservatives will continue to back businesses and hold this government to account.

The Liberal Democrats are the most pro-European of the main UK parties and recently they firmed up their Brexit reversal credentials, firmly coming out in favour of rejoining the customs union. Their response to Rachel Reeves’ speech focuses on the fact that she hardly mentioned the EU. Daisy Cooper, the Lib Dem deputy leader and Treasury spokesperson, said:

The chancellor’s blinkered approach on Europe is holding back British businesses and stifling growth.

If this government was serious about boosting growth, it would start negotiating a new UK-EU trade deal with a bespoke customs union at its heart.

This is the single biggest lever ministers could pull to turbocharge our economy. The refusal of the chancellor to even consider it shows a worrying lack of ambition.

Q: [From Natasha Clark from LBC] Companies says 10,000 retail jobs are at risk because of your plans. Are you gaslighting British business?

Reeves says the Heathrow expansion could create 100,000 jobs. And other plans she announced will create jobs too. So the plans are good for wealth creation, she says.

And that’s the end of the press conference.

Updated

Q: [From Sophie Huskisson from the Daily Mirror] Are you worried deregulation could be bad for safety?

Reeves says the government has made commitments to learn lessons from the Grenfell fire tragedy. The government will not renege on those commitments, she says.

Updated

Q: [From City A.M] Is intervening with regulators good for business?

Reeves says businesses know what is best for investment. They have complained about regulations.

There’s a lack of predictability in our regulators, which is bad for business and bad for our economy. So I won’t apologise for wanting to reform how regulation works in Britain.

Reeves does not rule out using spring statement to make tax changes

Q: [From Daniel Martin from the Telegraph] Can you rule out introducing tax and spending measures in the spring statement? You might be missing your fiscal rules by then.

Reeves says that is two months away. She won’t give a running forecast. A lot can change, she says.

But she says the fiscal rules are non-negotiable.

I am not going to write five years’ worth of budgets in the first six months of office, but that was a once-in-a-generation budget to fix the inheritance and to draw a line under the economic and fiscal mismanagement of the Conservatives.

Updated

Q: [From Heather Stewart from the Guardian] Do you regret the gloomy tone you adopted after the election, and did you and the PM talk down the economy?

Reeves says she faced a very difficult situation. If she had shied away from those difficult decisions, the situtation would be worse today, she says.

She says interest rates have been cut twice since Labour was elected. Inflation is close to target. And wages are rising at twice the rate of inflation. So stability has returned, she says.

Q: [From Harriet Line from the Daily Mail] Will you drop the employment rights bill, which business say is adding to their costs.

Reeves backs the bill, saying a secure workforce is a more productive workforce.

Updated

Q: [From Christopher Hope from GB News] Will you impose a cap on net migration? And will you publish your tax returns?

Reeves says the government is committed to getting net migration down.

She thanks Hope for reminding people the tax return deadline is coming up. But she says chancellors have not published their tax returns in the past, and she does not plan to.

Q: [From Andy Bell from 5 News] Business say the biggest problem is the new taxes they face. Will you roll them back? And can you rule out further tax increases for business?

Reeves says she has not heard any “serious alternative” to her plans. The Tories back the investment in the budget, but not the tax rises that will finance those plans.

She says the CBI has backed the plans announced today. Other business leaders are supportive too.

Q: Will you rule out further tax rises?

Reeves says she won’t write five years’ of budgets. But that was a “once in a generation budget”.

Q: [From Ed Conway from Sky News] Some of these plans will take a long time to come to fruition. How will you judge if this is working? GDP? GDP per capita? Living standards?

Reeves says the Plan for Change says the government wants living standards to improve.

She says there is no point in announcing infrastructure plans if you are not also changing planning rules. The government is doing that, she says.

Reeves is now taking questions.

Q: [From Chris Mason from the BBC.] What happens if this is not enough?

Reeves says her plans show this is government with ambition.

She says the UK is not connected to other places around the world, because the slots are not available at Heathrow. The government is turning that around, she says.

Reeves finally gets to the end.

This is a government on the side of working people, taking the right decisions to secure their future, to secure our future, stepping up to the challenges that we face, ending the era of low expectations, putting Britain on a different path, delivering for the British people.

And I am determined, this government is determined, to do just that. Thank you.

The speech lasted 48 minutes.

Reeves is on her peroration.

Now is the time to grasp the huge opportunity in front of us by backing a third runway at Heathrow.

We can make Britain the world’s best connected place to do business.

That is what it takes to make decisions in the national interest, and that is what I mean by going further and faster to kickstart economic growth.

Actually, it’s not the peroration.

(As a speaker, Reeves is not very good at signalling to an audience when she is coming to an end, or when they are meant to applaud.)

Reeves confirms backing for 3rd runway at Heathrow, and says she wants plan brought forward by summer

Reeves is now talking about Heathrow.

The question of whether to give Heathrow, our only hub airport, a third runway has run on for decades.

The last full length runway in Britain was built in the 1940s no progress in 80 years.

Why is this so damaging? It’s because Heathrow is at the heart of the UK’s openness as a country. It connects us to emerging markets all over the world, opening up new opportunities for growth.

Around three quarters of all long haul flights in the UK go from Heathrow. Over 60 per cent of UK air freight comes through Heathrow, and about 15 million business travelers used Heathrow in 2023.

But for decades, its growth has been constrained. Successive studies have shown that this really matters for our economy. According to the most recent study from Frontier Economics, a third runway could increase potential GDP by 0.43% by 2050. Over half, 60% of that boost would go to areas outside of London and the south-east.

She criticises the last government for not acting to ensure a third runway was built.

So I can confirm today that this government supports a third runway at Heathrow and is inviting proposals to be brought forward by the summer.

We will then take forward a full assessment through the airport National Policy Statement. This will ensure that the project is value for money, and our clear expectation is that any associated surface transport costs will be financed through private funding, and it will ensure that a third runway is delivered in line with our legal, environmental and climate objectives.

Updated

Reeves restates the claim that the Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor could add £78bn to the size of the economy by 2035.

This is contested. See 10.08am.

Reeves says Moderna have finished their new vaccine production and R&D site in Harwell, Oxfordshire. The firms has committed to invest over £1bn in R&D in the UK.

Reeves is now running through her plans for the “Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor”.

There is a good summary at 9.49am.

Reeves says she will back efforts to reopen Doncaster Sheffield aiport

Reeves says the government is supporting the redevelopment of Old Trafford in Manchester.

And there is the first mention of an airport – but it’s not Heathrow.

The last government stood by as Doncaster Sheffield airport was closed by its owner despite the overwhelming support for it to stay open …

So I can announce today that we will work with Doncaster council and the mayor of South Yorkshire, Oliver Coppard, to support their efforts to recreate South Yorkshire airport city as a thriving regional airport.

Updated

Reeves list transport projects in the north of England being backed by the government.

And she says the Treasury is also reviewing its green book, the rules that determine which investment projects are deemed worthy of public support. This is to ensure more projects get backed outside London and the south-east.

Reeves says promoting growth is something that will benefit the whole of the country.

Our mission to grow the economy is about raising living standards in every single part of the United Kingdom. Manchester is home to the UK’s fastest growing tech sector. Leeds is one of the largest financial services centers outside of London. Great northern cities have so much potential and promise, which are brilliant metro mayors Andy Burnham and Tracy Brabin are working hard to realise, just like other metro mayors.

Updated

Reeves says there is more to do.

While we have huge amounts of potential, the structural problems in our economy run deep, and the low growth of the last 14 years cannot just be turned around overnight.

Today she wants to go further and faster, she says.

Updated

Reeves says she can announce plans to remove barriers “to deliver 16 gigawatts of offshore wind by designating new marine protected areas to enable the development of this technology in areas like East Anglia and Yorkshire”.

And she says the government is exploring private finance options to fund the lower Thames crossing.

Reeves announces two new investments from the National Wealth fund:

-£65m for Connected Kerb – for its electric vehicle charging network

-£28m for Cornish metals – helping it provide the raw materials needed for solar panels

Updated

Reeves says rules being changed so developers can 'stop worrying about bats and newts'

Reeves is now talking about the planning and infrastructure bill.

As Keir Starmer has done, she criticises the rules that led to HS2 spending £100m on a bat tunnel.

The problems in our economy, the lack of bold reform that we have seen over decades, can be summed up by £100m pounds bat tunnel built for HS2 – the type of decision that has made delivering major infrastructure in our country far too expensive.

So we are reducing the environmental requirements placed on developers when they pay into a nature restoration fund that we have created so they can focus on getting things built – and stop worrying about the bats and the newts – to build a new infrastructure like nuclear power plants, train lines and wind farms more quickly.

Reeves is now summarising other reform plans either announced by the government, or in the pipeline, including immigration, pensions, regulation and planning.

A final plan to make regulation work better will be published in March, she says.

DWP plans to reform health and disability benefits to be set out before end of March, Reeves says

Reeves says the government will reform welfare. That means “looking at areas that have been ducked for too long, like the rising cost of health and disability benefits”.

She says Liz Kendall, the work and pensions secretary, will set out plans for reform ahead of the spring statement (scheduled for 26 March).

Reeves is now taking about the reform part of her strategy.

She says the government will be guided by what is in the national interest, and that means building on our special relationship with the United States under President Trump”.

But it also means resetting the relationship with the EU.

Reeves says the UK needs good relations with fast-growing economies, and she defends her trade trip to China. And she says Jonathan Reynolds, the business secretary, is going to India next month for trade talks.

In her speech Reeves says she had to take difficult decisions in her budget to guarantee stability.

She claims the opposition have presented no alternative.

I accept that there are costs to responsibility, but the costs of irresponsibility would have been far higher. Those who oppose my budget know that too. That is why, since October, I have seen no alternative put forward by the opposition parties, no alternative to deal with the challenges that we face, no alternative to restoring economic stability and therefore no plan for driving economic growth.

Reeves says her stratagy has three elements: stability, reform and investment.

On stability, she says “it is the rock upon which everything else is built”. She goes on:

Economic stability is the precondition for economic growth. That’s why the first piece of legislation that we passed as a government was the Budget Responsibility Act, so that never again can we see our independent forecasters sidelined, and never again will we see a repeat of the Liz Truss mini-budget.

Reeves says the supply side of the economy has been held back.

Politicians have lacked the courage to confront the factors holding back growth.

They have accepted the status quo. They have been the barrier, not the enablers, of change.

Reeves says a government that removes barriers will be the solution to the country’s challenges.

Reeves says promoting growth is about making 'working people better off'

Rachel Reeves is speaking now.

She starts by saying promoting growth is about “making working people better off”.

Without economic growth, we cannot improve the living standards of ordinary working people, because growth isn’t simply about lines on a graph. It’s about the pounds in people’s pockets, the vibrancy of our high streets and the thriving businesses that create wealth, jobs and new opportunities for us, for our children and grandchildren.

We will have succeeded in our mission when working people are better off.

The Treasury says unleashing the potential of the Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor (see 9.49am) “will add up to £78bn to the UK economy according to industry experts”.

Chris Giles, the Financial Times’ economics commentator, says that, while the policy proposals are good, the £78bn figure is meaningless.

This is a worthwhile project - seek growth where companies want to locate new activity - but HMT announcement marred by a horrible £78bn number

Utterly meaningless and completely undefined

It’s almost 3% of GDP, so you’d think they would explain it more (if it were meaningful)

These are from Andrew Sentance, a former chief economist at British Airways.

If Rachel Reeves throws her weight behind a Heathrow 3rd runway, hers will be the 4th gov’t to support it since 2000. Blair (2003) Brown (2009) and May (2018) also supported it. But nothing happened due to environmental/local objections. Same outcome is likely this time round.

It’s no good Rachel Reeves committing her gov’t to expanding airports when the promised runways don’t get built. UK has built only one new runway (Manchester) since the 1950s. Plans for a Heathrow 3rd runway have been in place since 2003. But nothing is built or is likely to be!

Updated

The Treasury did not mention Heathrow in its advance press notice. In their London Playbook briefing for Politico this morning, Andrew McDonald and Bethany Dawson suggest that, even though all the speculation has been about Heathrow, the more significant news today may be about other airports. They say:

The expectation — reported first in Bloomberg last week and widely today — is that Reeves will offer political support to expanding three airports: Luton, Gatwick and Heathrow. But while her support is important, she can’t actually bulldoze the process. Gatwick and Luton have both submitted “development consent orders” for expansion, but the decisions — due by Feb. 27 and April 3 respectively — are quasi-judicial ones for Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander.

Just a thought: One possible outcome, of course, is that one or both of those DCOs — Gatwick’s being due sooner — just happens to be approved today, giving Reeves a big fat airport-shaped thing to talk about. Your author and POLITICO’s Dan Bloom were asking round the houses last night and didn’t get any denials.

What Reeves is proposing to boost 'Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor'

The Treasury’s overnight briefing on Rachel Reeves’ speech focused on plans to develop “the Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor”. Here is an extract from the press notice with details of what is being proposed. I’ll post it here at length because it is not available yet online.

The Environment Agency has lifted its objections to a new development around Cambridge that could unlock 4,500 new homes and associated community spaces such as schools and leisure facilities as well as office and laboratory space in Cambridge City Centre. This was only possible as a result of the government working closely with councils and regulators to find creative solutions to unlock growth and address environmental pressures.

That the government has agreed for water companies to unlock £7.9bn investment for the next 5 years to improve our water infrastructure and provide a foundation for growth. This includes nine new reservoirs, such as the new Fens Reservoir serving Cambridge and the Abingdon Reservoir near Oxford.

Confirming funding towards better transport links in the region including funding for East-West Rail, with new services between Oxford and Milton Keynes this year and upgrading the A428 to reduce journey times between Milton Keynes and Cambridge.

Prioritisation of a new Cambridge Cancer Research Hospital as part of the New Hospitals Programme bringing together Cambridge University, Addenbrookes Hospital and Cancer Research UK.

Support for the development of new and expanded communities in the Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor and a new East Coast Mainline station in Tempsford, to expand the region’s economy.

That she welcomes Cambridge University’s proposal for a new large scale innovation hub in the city centre. As the world’s leading science and tech cluster by intensity, Cambridge will play a crucial part in the government’s modern Industrial Strategy.

A new Growth Commission for Oxford, inspired by the Cambridge model, to review how best we can unlock and accelerate nationally significant growth for the city and surrounding area.

Appointment of Sir Patrick Vallance as Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor Champion to provide senior leadership to ensure the Government’s ambitions are delivered.

The briefing includes more specific detail about transport. This is what it says about rail services.

The chancellor today announced that delivery of a new East Coast Mainline station in Tempsford will be accelerated by 3-5 years. The station will link services directly to London, with services in under an hour. It will eventually also be an interchange with the East West Rail station.

And this is what it says about the A428.

The A428 (Black Cat to Caxton Gibbet) scheme will improve journeys between Milton Keynes, Bedford and Cambridge. The scheme will see a new 10-mile dual carriageway delivered, as well as three grade separated junctions, three tier at Black Cat roundabout (A1/A421) and two tier at Cambridge Road (B1428) and Caxton Gibbet (A428/A1198) junctions, respectively. Main construction began in December 2023 and the road is expected to open in 2027.

Reynolds claims there's 'no tension between being ambitious on climate and ambitious on growth'

Jonathan Reynolds, the business secretary, told the Today programme that he did not agree with Dale Vince about Heathrow expansion being incompatible with climate commitments. Reynolds told the programe:

There is no tension between being ambitious on climate and being ambitious on growth.

We need to decarbonise aviation come what may. There are jobs in that. There is a whole industry in sustainable aviation fuel which we are committed to.

“ut the business case, the economic case for aviation, for a services led economy, for the fact that airports are our major ports in terms of goods entering the country, is very strong indeed.

This country has attracted more investment in renewables than other comparable European countries.

We need to be ambitious both for decarbonisation and for the economy and the two things go hand in hand.

Heathrow expansion 'wrong kind of growth', says Labour donor and energy boss Dale Vince

The Labour donor and energy boss Dale Vince ridiculed the Rachel Reeves’ expected support in her speech for a third runway at Heathrow, calling the move “an illusion of growth”.

Vince told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme:

I think it’s a mistake. Actually, I think it’s an illusion of growth.

It’ll take 10 years to build a runway, cost maybe £50bn. It’ll create the wrong kind of growth – we’ll be exporting tourism money abroad, creating a bigger imbalance than we already have, and it will come at the expense of our carbon-cutting effort.

Reflecting on the government’s green agenda he said:

It’s the wrong kind of growth ... we can have growth but we shouldn’t try to get it in these ways that increase our carbon emissions.

We’ve got to decarbonise energy, transport and food, and at the moment we’re on course to do energy, and we won’t do that with this Heathrow expansion, which is a big mistake.

UK ‘can’t afford’ not to build runways, says Jonathan Reynolds, ahead of Rachel Reeves’ growth speech

Good morning. Rachel Reeves is today delivering a speech on growth that has been subject to almost as much advance pitch-rolling and pre-briefing as you get for a budget. And no wonder, because she is hoping that it will do almost as much work, politically at least, as a budget. Although she has not had to unravel the mega, £25bn tax raising package she announced in October, it suppressed business confidence more than she expected and there now seems to be a Westminster consensus that she included a bit too much gloom powder in the cake mix.

Here is our preview of what Reeves will say today, by Pippa Crerar and Heather Stewart.

If you judge a speech by the advance headlines (and, yes, that is exactly how some people in government do judge these things), the pre-speech part of the exercise has gone well.

Jonathan Reynolds, the business secretary, has been giving interviews this morning and on BBC Breakfast he defended the plan to green-light airport expansion, including a third runway at Heathrow.

I want people to know that things that have been too difficult in the past will be focused on, will be changed, will be delivered on, by this government.

It’s not just about aviation expansion, there’s a whole range of things.”

We’re not going to have endless judicial reviews effectively try to second-guess democratically-elected decisions from the elected government of the day. We will follow process, but that process has got to be one that can deliver the things.

We simply cannot afford to say we don’t build reservoirs any more, we don’t build railways, we don’t build runways. That’s not good enough, we will be left behind.

Keir Starmer has delivered a similar message in an article for the Times. This is what he says about why the government is committed to deregulation.

There is a morass of regulation that effectively bans billions of pounds more of investment from flowing into Britain. Thickets of red tape that, for all the Tories talked a good game, was allowed to spread through the British economy like Japanese knotweed. Our pledge today is that this government will do what they could not. We will kick down the barriers to building, clear out the regulatory weeds and allow a new era of British growth to bloom.

This may seem like an unusual goal for Labour politicians. But deregulation is now essential for realising Labour ambitions in this era — a crucial component of my Plan for Change. If we don’t deregulate the planning system, then we cannot spread the security of home ownership to the next generation. If we don’t simplify environmental protections, then we cannot decarbonise our electricity grid and generate cheaper, homegrown energy. And if we don’t curb regulator overreach, then we won’t unlock the investment needed for a more prosperous future.

Labour politicians also know that, whatever they say on policy, the only dead cert way of impressing a rightwing paper is by invoking Margaret Thatcher, and so in his article Starmer has a go at that too (explaining the splash headline above).

In the 1980s, the Thatcher government deregulated finance capital. In the New Labour era, globalisation increased the opportunities for trade. This is our equivalent.

Here is the agenda for the day.

9.30am: Sir Peter Schofield, permanent secretary at the Department for Work and Pensions, gives evidence to the Commons work and pensions committee.

9.30am: Amanda Pritchard, NHS England’s chief executive, and other officials give evidence to the Commons health committee.

10am: Rachel Reeves delivers her speech on growth.

Noon: Keir Starmer faces Kemi Badenoch at PMQs.

2.30pm: Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, gives evidence to the Commons Treasury committee.

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Updated

 

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